U.S. Dollar Higher On Rate Hike Hopes
May 13 2021 - 3:25AM
RTTF2
The U.S. dollar spiked higher against its most major
counterparts in the European session on Thursday, as
higher-than-expected U.S. inflation in April fueled speculations
that the Fed might resort to tightening of monetary policy sooner
than expected.
Overnight data showed that the U.S. annual inflation rate jumped
to the highest in 13 years and well above forecasts, while the
monthly gauge rose the most since 2009.
Expectations for a Fed rate hike have been pushed forward, with
investors pricing in an 80 percent chance of an increase as early
as December next year.
Although the Fed has played down the risk of inflation,
investors fear that persistent inflationary pressures could force
it to tighten policy sooner than thought.
Fed vice chair Richard Clarida said on Wednesday that the recent
rise in prices could be temporary and it has not changed the
central bank's stance of keeping monetary policy loose.
Investors await the producer price index and initial jobless
claims data due later in the day for more direction.
The greenback rebounded to 0.9092 against the franc, from a low
of 0.9066 seen at 3:15 am ET. Should the greenback strengthens
further, it is likely to test resistance around the 0.92
region.
The greenback appreciated to a 3-day high of 1.4006 against the
pound and a 1-week high of 1.2051 against the euro, after declining
to 1.4078 and 1.2106, respectively in early deals. Next key
resistance for the greenback is likely seen around 1.37 against the
pound and 1.18 against the euro.
The greenback rose to a 6-day high of 1.2157 against the loonie
and 9-day highs of 0.7688 against the aussie and 0.7135 against the
kiwi, up from its prior lows of 1.2104, 0.7748 and 0.7179,
respectively. The greenback is seen finding resistance around 1.25
against the loonie, 0.75 against the aussie and 0.70 against the
kiwi.
On the other hand, the greenback reversed from an early near a
5-week high of 109.79 against the yen, with the pair trading at
109.62. If the greenback falls further, it is likely to test
support around the 108.00 region.
Data from the Ministry of Finance showed that Japan posted a
current account surplus of 2,650.1 billion yen in March- up 37.3
percent on year.
That missed expectations for a surplus of 2,796.2 billion yen
and was down from 2,916.9 billion yen in February.
The U.S. weekly jobless claims for the week ended May 8 and PPI
for April will be featured in the New York session.
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