America Movil CFO Says Court Ruing Won't Hurt Earnings
May 05 2011 - 7:40PM
Dow Jones News
A Mexican Supreme Court ruling this week enforcing the
interconnection rates set by the telecommunications regulator while
they are disputed in court won't affect the earnings or investment
plans of the country's largest mobile phone operator, America Movil
SAB (AMX.MX, AMX) unit Telcel, a top company official said
Thursday.
America Movil Chief Financial Officer Carlos Garcia Moreno said
in an interview that the Supreme Court ruling doesn't alter
companies' right to challenge regulators' decisions in court,
although it affects the timing as mobile operators will have to
receive and pay the lower rates set by Cofetel until a final
decision is reached.
The lower rates would "marginally affect flows, but not
earnings," Garcia Moreno said. It also won't affect America Movil's
plans to invest more than $8 billion this year in the 18 countries
where it operates. Telcel said it's investing more than $1 billion
this year as it continues expanding its nationwide 3.5G data
network.
Cofetel sets interconnection rates when there is disagreement
among operators, and recently set rates of 39 Mexican cents, or
about 3 U.S. cents, per minute for completing calls on mobile
networks in disputes involving America Movil unit Telcel, and
several other mobile and fixed-line operators. Other resolutions
are pending.
A number of fixed and mobile operators have rejected an
agreement among Telcel, America Movil's fixed-line unit, Telefonos
de Mexico SAB (TELMEX.MX, TMX), and the local mobile unit of
Spain's Telefonica SA (TEF), which set a rate of 95 Mexican cents a
minute in 2011 for mobile call termination.
The Supreme Court decision doesn't affect that agreement, but
the rates that others pay those companies will probably come down
to the 39 Mexican cents a minute figure, UBS said in a report,
adding that it will mostly affect fixed-to-mobile calls. "The
question is who takes a lower [mobile termination rate] and whether
it goes to the price," UBS said. "Some players might still not
effectively cut payments on concerns that legal challenges could
prevail."
UBS said the court ruling was "negative, but relatively small"
for America Movil.
Deutsche Bank said in a report that "while recent rulings by the
Mexican regulatory agencies and the Supreme Court point towards
difficult operating conditions for AMX, after digging deeper into
the issues our conclusion is that any financial impact on AMX in
the medium term should be limited. We thus see recent correction in
the stock a good buying opportunity."
America Movil L shares closed up 0.2% Thursday, at MXN30.71,
after falling around 7% over the previous three sessions.
Rival operators and Mexican regulators say that with about 70%
of Mexico's mobile phone users, Telcel inhibits competition by
charging other operators more in termination rates than it charges
its own customers for calls within its own network. Telcel defends
the lower rates for its customers, saying the practice is common in
all markets where there is competition.
The company also plans to appeal against a $1 billion fine
imposed last month by the country's antitrust regulator for
allegedly using its market weight and termination fees to displace
competitors.
America Movil Chief Executive Daniel Hajj said in a conference
call with analysts on Tuesday that Telcel has been lowering
interconnection rates every year for the last five or six years.
"We are not against reducing the interconnection rate. It's clear
that the government wants to reduce the interconnection at a faster
pace," Hajj said. But reducing rates at a faster pace could bring
about a lack of investment in the sector, he added.
Garcia Moreno rejected assertions that Mexico's interconnection
rates are among the most expensive internationally, saying that in
2006-2009 in dollar terms they were below the median of 17 western
European countries, and only slightly higher in 2010 after the peso
appreciated.
He attributed the drop in the company's share price this week
largely to the Supreme Court ruling, considering that the company's
second-quarter earnings report released late Monday was neutral for
the market.
America Movil reported a higher-than-expected 5.9 million
wireless subscriber additions, above expectations of 4.6 million,
although Telmex proved a drag on overall margins. The second
quarter is seasonally strong for subscriber adds because of
Mother's Day, so the company could end up revising its subscriber
guidance higher, Garcia Moreno said. Earlier this year, Hajj
estimated 2011 subscriber growth of 16 million to 17 million.
Garcia Moreno said Telcel, which up to 2005 had enormous weight
in America Movil, now accounts for just over 20% of the company's
overall revenue, and he defended America Movil's track record
expanding across the Americas. Through investment, coverage, having
the latest technology and applying aggressive marketing, the
company went from practically nothing to more than 53 million
subscribers in Brazil, and also grew from small beginnings in
Argentina, Colombia, the U.S. and elsewhere, he said.
"That's what the market recognizes," he said. Investors who
follow telcos across the globe "know what we've done being
competitive...it's not something that anyone handed over to
us."
-By Anthony Harrup, Dow Jones Newswires; (5255) 5980-5176,
anthony.harrup@dowjones.com
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