Bitcoin Bear Markets Compared: How Much Longer Till The Bottom? | BTCUSD November 9, 2022
November 09 2022 - 04:36PM
NEWSBTC
In this episode of NewsBTC’s daily crypto technical analysis
videos, we are examining past Bitcoin bear markets to see how much
further we could have before a bottom is in. Take a look at the
video below: VIDEO: Bitcoin Price Analysis (BTCUSD): November 9,
2022 Bitcoin price continues to set new low after low now that
support has been decisively broken. Related Reading: Bitcoin
Bloodbath Takes Crypto To New Bear Market Lows | BTCUSD November 8,
2022 Expanded Flat Corrective Pattern Fills Out Further The market
is clearly bearish, but on the brighter side we have what could be
the final wave in an expanded flat pattern. The push to new
lows continues to fill out what could be a large falling wedge
pattern. But considering the price action and sentiment out there,
it is challenging to consider any bullish thesis. Bitcoin price is
now at the 0.5 retracement using Fibonacci on log settings. But
that isn’t very reassuring. Given the expectations for the $14K and
$13K area, either Bitcoin price action stops short of that level,
or slices right through it. Has the corrective pattern completed? |
Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com Related Reading: Bitcoin Price:
Can Cyclical Tools Predict The Next Bubble? | BTCUSD November 7,
2022 Bitcoin Bear Market Worst-Case Scenario In these next charts,
the worst case scenario would involve filling a BTC CME gap at
under $10,000. Not only is there confluence there with diagonal
uptrend support, but that is roughly 85% retracement from the
peak. This is notable, because during the 2018 bear market,
BTC fell by 84%, and in the 2015 bear market it dropped 86%. If you
average out those two samples, you get an 85% retracement on
average. Much like the top cryptocurrency peaked well below the ROI
levels of past bull runs, bear markets won’t see as much of a
decline either. The idea is that Bitcoin volatility is
disappearing over time. BTC Futures gap presents worst-case
scenario | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com Related Reading:
Litecoin Recovery To End Ongoing Crypto Darkness? LTCUSD November
2, 2022 When Will BTC Put In a Bottom? On the topic of time, time
is most certainly a factor in bear markets. The 2018 bear market
took roughly 12 months to reach a bottom, or the same amount of
time since the second peak of the BTC double top through now.
The 2015 bear market took 14 months to find a bottom. If we count
the first peak in Bitcoin, the bear market has been the longest
ever at 19 months before reaching a bottom. How much longer can the
bear market last? | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com Learn crypto
technical analysis yourself with the NewsBTC Trading Course. Click
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for exclusive daily market insights and technical analysis
education. Please note: Content is educational and should not
be considered investment advice. Featured image from
iStockPhoto, Charts from TradingView.co
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