Can Crypto Rally Keep Up? This Indicator May Suggest So
March 21 2023 - 10:00AM
NEWSBTC
Data shows the crypto market sentiment has become less positive in
recent days, something that could allow the latest rally to extend
further still. Euphoria Doesn’t Seem To Have Hit Crypto Market Yet
According to data from the on-chain analytics firm Santiment,
positive sentiment has declined in the market despite the price
surge. The relevant indicator here is the “social volume,” which
measures the total number of social media text documents that
contain a given keyword. The text documents referred to here can be
a variety of things, like tweets, Reddit threads, forum posts,
Telegram messages, and more. These documents are counted on the
basis of whether they mention the keyword at least once. If a
document contains the term five times, it will still only
contribute to the social volume by one unit, not five. In the
context of the current discussion, the keywords of interest are
those related to “crypto.” Santiment has calculated the total
social volume of such terms and then filtered it for keywords that
hint at what the general market sentiment is, to see whether there
are more positive or negative mentions related to digital assets
currently. Related Reading: Shiba Inu Sees Outflow Of $270 Million
From Crypto.com, Bullish Sign? Here is a chart that shows the trend
in the social volumes for positive and negative crypto mentions
over the past month: Looks like both the metrics have seen a
decline in their values in recent days | Source: Santiment on
Twitter To be more specific, for filtering the social volume for
positive sentiment, Santiment has only selected the crypto text
documents that contain these keywords: buy, buying, bought, bottom,
bottomed, and bullish. Similarly, the firm has chosen these terms
for filtering out the negative sentiment: sell, selling, sold, top,
topped, and bearish. As you can see in the above graph, the social
volumes of both positive and negative sentiment-related terms have
declined in the past week, despite the fact that coins like Bitcoin
have seen a sharp rally during the period. This suggests that
discussion around the market has gone down recently. Something to
note, however, is that the decline in the negative sentiment has
been slower than in the positive sentiment. This means that the two
social volumes have approached each other in the last few days,
implying that the sentiment is trending toward neutral. Related
Reading: Bitcoin Shows 35.8% Weekly Gains: Why This Means The Top
Is Near After this shift in the investor mentality, around 5.45% of
the total crypto social volume is now made up of positive keywords,
while about 3.81% contains negative terms. Historically, prices of
assets in the sector have topped when investors have experienced
euphoria (that is, a state of highly positive sentiment), while
fear and disbelief have paved way for price surges. As the market
is clearly not experiencing high levels of positive sentiment right
now, and on the contrary, is observing the negative sentiment
closing in on the gap, there is an improved probability that the
rally could continue further. BTC Price At the time of writing,
Bitcoin is trading around $28,000, up 13% in the last week. BTC
continues to hang onto $28,000 | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView
Featured image from Kanchanara on Unsplash.com, charts from
TradingView.com, Santiment.net
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