DiscoverGold
1 week ago
Big Money Dumping Microsoft Could Benefit Long-Term Investors
By: Lucas Downey | April 11, 2025
🔸 Forced selling drives shares of Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) to fall.
MSFT is a household name in technology. It develops and supports software, services, devices, and solutions for businesses and individuals around the world. Its cloud and AI businesses could produce another several years of success after decades of growth.
But like many other stocks, MSFT has gone through a bad period of forced selling recently. Each red bar in the chart below signals unusually large volumes in MSFT shares. They reflect our proprietary Big Money outflow signal, pushing the stock lower:
It’s no wonder MSFT shares are down 10% this year. MAPsignals data shows how Big Money investors are shedding this quality name.
Time to Buy Microsoft?
When best-of-breed stocks are sold hard, history shows it’s often a buying opportunity for long-term investors. Institutional volumes reveal plenty. Each red bar below signals unusually large outflow volumes in MSFT shares:
Source: www.mapsignals.com
Look at the stretch in 2022 – red bars for nearly a year. Capitulation was in full effect and share values fell. But those who bought during that time have profited handsomely since, even with the latest dips.
See, despite the near-term volatility, there’s a powerful fundamental story happening with Microsoft.
Microsoft Fundamental Analysis
A healthy fundamental backdrop makes this company worth investigating. As you can see, MSFT has had strong sales and earnings growth, as well as healthy profits:
🔸 3-year sales growth rate (+13.5%)
🔸 3-year EPS growth rate (+13.9%)
🔸 Profit margin (+36%)
Source: FactSet
Also, EPS is estimated to ramp higher this year by +13.4%.
MSFT has a track record of strong financial performance.
Marrying great fundamentals with our proprietary software has found some big winning stocks over the long term.
Microsoft has been a top-rated stock at MAPsignals. That means the stock has unusual buy pressure and growing fundamentals. We have a ranking process that showcases stocks like this on a weekly basis.
It’s made the rare Top 20 report multiple times in the last decade. The blue bars below show when MSFT was a top pick…sending shares upward:
Source: www.mapsignals.com
Look at all those Top 20 signals and look how much share values have grown. Even those who bought before the 2022 decline have gained. And those brave enough to buy when the stock was down, like in 2022, were rewarded even more.
Tracking unusual volumes reveals the power of money flows.
This is a trait that most outlier stocks exhibit…the best of the best. Big Money demand drives stocks upward.
Microsoft Price Prediction
Given the fundamentals, it wouldn’t surprise to see the stock rise once again with Big Money support. Great companies don’t stay down forever.
Big Money selling in the shares is signaling to take notice. Given the historical gains, strong fundamentals, and recent big selling, this stock could be worth a spot in a diversified portfolio.
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DiscoverGold
1 week ago
Microsoft (MSFT) Stock Weakens as Bullish Case Gets Cloudy
By: Schaeffer's Investment Research | April 10, 2025
🔸 Wedbush lowered its price target on MSFT to $475 from $550
🔸 The stock helped lead yesterday's tech rally
Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:MSFT) stock is taking a breather after a massive 10% rally on Wednesday. The tech heavyweight was last seen 1.6% lower premarket, following a cautious note from Wedbush, who lowered his price target on MSFT to $475 from $550, while maintaining its "outperform" rating. The firm cited rising tariff-related uncertainty, stating that the escalating “game of poker” between the U.S. and China presents near-term risks for companies with global supply chains -- including Microsoft.
MSFT’s sharp rebound yesterday snapped a five-day losing streak and is now facing off with the 50-day moving average. The bounce comes after the stock hit a low of $344.79 on Monday -- its lowest level since November 2023. Despite the recovery, MSFT remains down 7.4% year to date and continues to face technical resistance from several key moving averages.
Wall Street remains overwhelmingly bullish on Microsoft stock, with 43 of 46 analysts maintaining a “buy” or better rating on the stock. However, the optimism may be overextended, as the average 12-month price target of $498.01 represents a 29.5% premium to Wednesday’s close. This suggests that expectations could be due for a reset, if macro uncertainty continues to weigh on the tech sector.
With MSFT’s Schaeffer’s Volatility Scorecard (SVS) at just 27 out of 100, the stock has tended to underperform the volatility priced into its options. This low reading makes the security a compelling candidate for premium-selling strategies, particularly for traders expecting muted movement in the near term.
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DiscoverGold
2 weeks ago
Microsoft, turning 50, dials up Copilot actions to stay in AI game
By: Reuters | April 4, 2025
Thousands of people swooned in a dark conference hall that felt more like a rock concert when a Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) product manager demonstrated the company’s latest feature: how to sum numbers in Excel, with the click of a button.
"It was literally like Mick Jagger walked out," said Yusuf Mehdi, Microsoft’s consumer chief marketing officer, who started as an intern.
That was more than 30 years ago. On Friday, the day Microsoft turned 50, the company’s leaders and staff gathered at its headquarters in Redmond, Washington, to remember the software maker’s glory days while trumpeting what they hope will bring it into the future: more powerful artificial intelligence.
Copilot, Microsoft’s AI assistant, is gaining a host of new features to make it more proactive. The version for consumers will start remembering personal facts about them. It will offer birthday reminders or support ahead of a presentation, or consumers can opt out, Mehdi said in an interview.
Copilot likewise will personalize podcasts and shopping recommendations, and it will let consumers task their AI to book events for them, or send a friend a gift while checking in for guidance. "It frees you up," said Mehdi.
Microsoft is hardly first to roll out action-taking or "agentic" software. As with rival systems, the AI will work best on popular sites where Microsoft has done some behind-the-scenes technical work, like with 1-800-Flowers.com and OpenTable, Mehdi said.
Mehdi recalled days when Microsoft was smaller and growing. He said CEO Bill Gates could devour three books’ worth of information from one day to the next, at a time when the co-founder still worked on Microsoft software. Mehdi watched Steve Ballmer, Gates’ eventual successor, chant "developers, developers, developers!" in a sweat-drenched shirt to rouse a crowd into the ".net" era.
Microsoft went from top of the pack to badly bruised in a high-profile lawsuit that U.S. antitrust enforcers brought against it in 1998. Years later, younger companies and startups, among them Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL) and ChatGPT creator OpenAI, beat it to the punch on key AI developments.
Satya Nadella, Microsoft’s current CEO, is not standing still. The leader who turned Microsoft into the No. 2 cloud powerhouse challenged his executives at an internal summit this week, recalled Mehdi: "How do we rethink the way that we build the software?"
Nadella voiced a similar point at Microsoft’s Redmond event on Friday, where he, Gates and Ballmer made a rare public appearance. Ballmer reprised his "developers!" chant as well.
Nadella said the company was not simply celebrating its past 50 years. "Our future will not be defined by what we have built, but what we empower others to build," he said.
Gates added: "We’re on the verge of something even more profound than what came for those first 50 years."
Microsoft is iterating on its chatbot technology in a crowded field that includes Elon Musk’s xAI and Anthropic. It has added Copilot to its heavily used productivity suites for business while giving consumers a distinctive version.
"It’s warm; it has that personality," said Mehdi. Some users have taken to this, while others find it asks too many questions, he said.
"When we get to now be more personalized, we can start to get smarter," Mehdi said. "We’re part way through that journey."
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DiscoverGold
3 weeks ago
$MSFT - After closing decisively below the 100 week MA, a bear market is confirmed...
By: CyclesFan | March 30, 2025
• $MSFT - After closing decisively below the 100 week MA, a bear market is confirmed. The minimal target is a test of the 2021 high at 350, but it could decline all the way to the 200 week MA that's currently at 334, which isn't much lower. It's only 11% lower than Friday's close.
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DiscoverGold
3 weeks ago
MSFT Microsoft just slipped into a Stage 4 decline on the Weinstein Indicator...
By: TrendSpider | March 30, 2025
• Microsoft just slipped into a Stage 4 decline on the Weinstein Indicator, breaking below key support as relative performance craters, now lagging over 80% of the S&P. While earnings remain strong, the canceled data center projects and falling RP tell a different story. With the 30-week SMA curling lower and downtrend momentum accelerating, MSFT shifted from leader to liability.
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DiscoverGold
1 month ago
$MSFT - Technically, it closed the week below the 100 week MA, but only barely and with a green candle that indicates that next week is likely to be an up week...
By: CyclesFan | March 16, 2025
• $MSFT - Technically, it closed the week below the 100 week MA, but only barely and with a green candle that indicates that next week is likely to be an up week, so I'm not calling for it being in a bear market just yet. If it closes below the 100 WMA next week, that will change.
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doc2016
1 month ago
thinking majorana...key areas of research; gemini ai says:"what is quantum gravity
Quantum gravity is a field of theoretical physics that seeks to describe gravity according to the principles of quantum mechanics. Essentially, it's an attempt to unify two of the most successful, yet seemingly incompatible, theories in physics:
General Relativity:
This theory, developed by Albert Einstein, describes gravity as the curvature of spacetime caused by mass and energy. It excels at explaining large-scale phenomena like the orbits of planets and the expansion of the universe.
Quantum Mechanics:
This theory governs the behavior of matter and energy at the smallest scales, such as atoms and subatomic particles. It has been incredibly successful in explaining the electromagnetic, strong, and weak forces.
The Problem:
General relativity and quantum mechanics work exceptionally well in their respective domains, but they break down when applied to situations where both gravity and quantum effects are significant.
These situations occur in extreme environments like:
The centers of black holes
The very early universe, moments after the Big Bang
The Goal:
Quantum gravity aims to create a single, consistent framework that can describe all four fundamental forces of nature (gravity, electromagnetism, strong force, and weak force).
It seeks to understand the fundamental nature of spacetime at the Planck scale, the smallest possible length scale in the universe.
Challenges:
Gravity is incredibly weak compared to the other forces, making it extremely difficult to detect quantum gravitational effects.
Developing a consistent mathematical framework that reconciles general relativity and quantum mechanics has proven to be a formidable challenge.
Key Areas of Research:
String Theory:
This theory proposes that fundamental particles are actually tiny vibrating strings.
Loop Quantum Gravity:
This approach quantizes spacetime itself, suggesting that it is made up of discrete loops.
Quantum gravity is one of the most significant unsolved problems in physics. Its resolution would revolutionize our understanding of the universe.
Sources and related content
"=============================
fundamental particles? ferminon; vibrating strings? twisted photons/light.
msft is going for string theory and quantum gravity?
and msft is said to be relieving itself of leases of some data centers. perhaps, money better spent with project stargate and allies open ai, softbank, and oracle. yes, oracle. and nvidia cuda-q and integration with quantum computing like ionq, which has partnership with us air force, state of maryland, univ of maryland. quantum simulations of many type of quantum computing to try to obtain an unbiased solution. knowledge of quantum computing needed to unify...perhaps even the string theory and embodiment in the majorana semi/superconductor fermion?
DiscoverGold
3 months ago
Microsoft defended AI spending despite DeepSeek pressure
By: Schaeffer's Investment Research | January 30, 2025
• Microsoft Stock's Worst Day Since October
MSFT is down 6% to trade at $416.03 at last glance, pacing for its fourth daily loss in five and worst day since October, but a floor at $410 looks ready to contain this pullback. The tech giant beat top- and bottom-line estimates during its fiscal second quarter, but it also issued a dismal cloud growth outlook and defended increased spending on artificial intelligence (AI) despite DeepSeek pressure.
The equity attracted six price-target cuts in response, the worst from BMO to $500 from $510. The biggest loser on the Dow today, MSFT is also the second most-traded stock in the options pits with triple the intraday average volume. Most popular by far is the weekly 1/31 420-strike call, where positions are being opened.
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