U.S. Businesses See Limited Recovery Evidence Through Mid-May
May 27 2020 - 3:43PM
Dow Jones News
By Paul Kiernan
WASHINGTON -- U.S. businesses saw limited evidence of a recovery
in recent weeks, with economic activity continuing to decline amid
the coronavirus pandemic, the Federal Reserve said Wednesday.
The labor market continued to deteriorate and consumer spending
fell further as retailers and restaurants remained largely closed
in most of the country through mid-May, the Fed said in its
periodic report of anecdotes from businesses around the country
known as the "beige book."
"Although many contacts expressed hope that overall activity
would pick up as businesses reopened, the outlook remained highly
uncertain and most contacts were pessimistic about the potential
pace of recovery," the central bank said.
The latest edition of the beige book contains information
through May 18, some two months after nonessential businesses
around the country shut down to help contain the spread of the
novel coronavirus.
Leisure and hospitality continued to see the most severe effects
of efforts to contain the pandemic. Travel-industry contacts in the
Boston area reported that large conventions have been canceled
through early fall, costing the hotel industry 200,000 room-nights
as a result. A beach-area contact in New England reported a "stark
increase in inquiries about bankruptcy procedures from small
retailers."
The Fed's contacts in commercial real estate, meanwhile,
reported that large numbers of retail tenants had deferred or
missed rent payments.
Despite higher prices for some groceries such as meat and fresh
fruit, the Fed said, pricing pressures were "steady to down
modestly on balance." Weak demand forced sellers to offer discounts
for apparel, hotel rooms and airfare, while new safety protocols,
personal protective equipment and social-distancing guidelines
imposed new costs on firms.
Still, there were a few signs of a nascent recovery in some
areas.
In the New York Fed's district, which includes the virus's U.S.
epicenter, "business contacts tended to be less pessimistic than in
the prior report about the near-term outlook, and those in the
manufacturing, construction, real estate, and health services
sectors expected modest improvement." While consumer spending
continued to decline overall, "there have been scattered reports of
a nascent recovery in early May."
And in the Cleveland Fed's district, some retailers started to
bring back staff in limited numbers as businesses were allowed to
reopen, while one staffing firm reported that his clients were
starting to increase hours or bring back laid-off workers.
Firms in several parts of the country reported concerns that
generous unemployment benefits might make it more difficult to
rehire workers. A federal stimulus law temporarily provides a $600
federal supplement to normal unemployment insurance, which is
allowing lower-wage workers who were laid off to earn more money
than when they were working.
But unemployment benefits were just one of several challenges.
In a survey of firms conducted by the Philadelphia Fed on
impediments to rehiring workers, 33% noted fear of infection, 25%
noted lack of child care, and 29% pointed to the lure of expanded
unemployment benefits.
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
May 27, 2020 15:28 ET (19:28 GMT)
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