U.S. Trade Deficit Hit Decade High in October -- update
December 06 2018 - 1:38PM
Dow Jones News
By Sharon Nunn
WASHINGTON -- The U.S. trade deficit reached its highest level
in 10 years in October, led in part by tax-cut-driven domestic
demand and a potentially tariff-related fall in exports.
The foreign-trade gap in goods and services rose 1.7% from the
prior month to a seasonally adjusted $55.5 billion in October, the
Commerce Department said Thursday. This is the largest deficit
since October 2008. Imports grew 0.2% in October, while exports
edged down 0.1%. The nonoil deficit is at a record level and
"rising steadily," said Ian Shepherdson, chief economist at
Pantheon Economics.
"Pumping up domestic demand with fiscal easing and picking
fights with trading partners does that," Mr. Shepherdson wrote in a
note to clients.
The jump in imports was driven by ramped-up demand in the U.S.
Americans have more money in their pockets after the Trump
administration's late-2017 tax cuts took effect at the beginning of
this year, and when Americans shop, they tend to buy foreign-made
goods.
On top of that, American wholesalers and manufacturers have
experienced supply constraints this year, partly stemming from a
shortage of qualified truck drivers to move goods around the
country. This may encourage further importing by domestic
buyers.
The drop in exports, meanwhile, was partly driven by a decline
in soybean exports, which had contributed significantly to economic
growth this year following a surge of exported soybeans ahead of
looming tariffs.
In an attempt to close the widening trade gap, the Trump
administration placed tariffs on billions of dollars of
foreign-made products, including steel and solar panels. Foreign
countries have placed retaliatory tariffs on U.S.-made products,
though U.S. and Chinese officials recently agreed to hold off on
any further trade barriers for 90 days while they negotiate.
October's exports drop "partly reflects the continued drop-back
in soybean shipments to China following the imposition of
tariffs....But there has also been a more general collapse in
overall goods exports to China, which have now fallen by 30% over
the past 12 months," said Andrew Hunter, U.S. economist at Capital
Economics.
The deficit could worsen as the dollar strengthens, making
U.S.-produced products more expensive to foreign buyers. Economic
growth globally appears to be cooling, which could also hamper
demand from abroad.
International trade data can be volatile from month to month. In
the first 10 months of 2018, the overall trade deficit increased
11.4% in October when compared with the same period in 2017.
Historically speaking, the U.S. imports more good than it
exports, but runs a modest trade surplus for services. Economists
attribute the chronic trade deficit the U.S. has faced for decades
to Americans consuming more than they produce relative to the rest
of the world's economies.
Write to Sharon Nunn at sharon.nunn@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
December 06, 2018 13:23 ET (18:23 GMT)
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