Impeachment Trial Ramps Up Political Spending
January 24 2020 - 5:59AM
Dow Jones News
By Gabriel T. Rubin
IMPEACHMENT CASH DASH: The cash spigots flow as the Senate
deliberates over President Trump's impeachment. The Trump campaign
says it has seen a 20%-30% jump in fundraising because of
impeachment. Vulnerable senators in both parties face intense
scrutiny from groups who threaten major expenditures against them
if they vote the wrong way on conviction and lesser votes such as
compelling certain witnesses to testify. The conservative American
Action Network is spending $2.5 million on digital and TV ads
during the trial against swing-district House Democrats and a total
of $11 million in ads focused on impeachment. Donation pages on the
GOP platform WinRed that include the word "impeach" or
"impeachment" raised over 300% more than non-impeachment pages.
With Republican senators such as Cory Gardner, Susan Collins and
Martha McSally taking the brunt of Democratic spending, Doug Jones
and Gary Peters are the Democrats most in the Republican line of
fire. Dark money group America First Policies debuted a $450,000 ad
buy in Alabama this week targeting Jones for "standing with the
radical left" on impeachment. Even out-of-cycle senators are taking
a moment to fill their coffers with impeachment money: Ted Cruz,
who isn't up for re-election until 2024, urged supporters to donate
to him "to know if you're on the President's team."
At least one politician is taking a different approach: Sen.
Michael Bennet, a Democratic presidential candidate, says he "will
not conduct any campaign fundraising while the trial is in
session."
REPUBLICANS see danger and opportunity in post-2020
reapportionment that determines how many congressional seats each
state gets. Most new seats are likely to be in states that
currently lean Republican such as Texas and Idaho. But the GOP may
lose seats in blue states where legislatures could choose to
eliminate a Republican-leaning seat in a rural area while
preserving left-leaning suburban and urban seats in places like New
York and Illinois.
The continuing national realignment making the expanding suburbs
bluer and the emptying rural areas redder only exacerbates those
trends. "We're growing in shrinking areas and shrinking in growing
areas," said Republican State Leadership Committee President Austin
Chambers. That adds pressure to maintain their grip on diversifying
states such as North Carolina and Texas, where Democrats have made
inroads: "We're trying to make sure they don't do to us what we did
to them," Chambers said of the GOP's 2010 romp at the state level
that allowed them to draw congressional maps for the past
decade.
PLANNED PARENTHOOD ACTION FUND's endorsement of Susan Collins'
opponent in the Maine Senate race, Sara Gideon, marks perhaps a
final break with Senate Republicans among organizations that
support abortion rights. PPFA didn't endorse Collins or her
opponent in 2014, and they haven't endorsed or donated to a
Republican Senate candidate since giving $5,000 to Mark Kirk's
failed re-election bid in Illinois in 2016. In 2017 the group did
honor Collins for being an "outspoken champion for women's
health."
Republican Majority for Choice, which once backed candidates
like Collins who support Roe v. Wade, shut its doors in 2018 after
its leaders concluded that the GOP's "big tent has collapsed for
good." Similarly, very few antiabortion lawmakers remain in the
Democratic ranks. "Sen. Collins has not changed, but leadership at
Planned Parenthood certainly has," Sen. Collins's campaign
spokesman Kevin Kelley said.
OBAMA ADMINISTRATION alumni see City Hall as the next step after
the White House. Mary Miller, a former top Obama Treasury
Department official, announced a run for Baltimore mayor on the
heels of former Treasury staffer Paige Cognetti becoming mayor of
Scranton, Pa. Another former Treasury official, Luke Bronin, is the
mayor of Hartford, Conn. Shaun Donovan, President Obama's Secretary
of Housing and Urban Development, has been widely reported to be
interested in the New York mayoralty, though he passed on
challenging Bill de Blasio's re-election in 2017. Rahm Emanuel, the
dean of municipally minded Obama alumni, wrapped up his two-term
run in Chicago in 2019.
PRESIDENT TRUMP TWEETED in response to Fox News and Fox Business
programming 657 times during 2019, according to an estimate by the
liberal watchdog group Media Matters. That was around 10% of his
total tweets for the year. The network's "Fox & Friends"
morning show was live-tweeted the most, at least 206 times, more
than 35 other Fox shows he responded to.
CENSUS BUREAU gets love-bombed by outside groups wanting to get
everyone counted. The online response option has the unintended
consequence of making it much easier for its tens of thousands of
partner groups to help people respond. But that can infringe on the
confidentiality of collecting census data. It also can create
confusion about who's who and who's doing what.
The bureau is circulating a delicately worded note to set ground
rules for volunteers, including a reminder that they state that
they aren't Census Bureau employees and an admonishment not to
collect data door-to-door on their own. "We want to reduce concerns
about impostors so the public will be motivated to open the door
for census takers," the note says.
MINOR MEMOS: Sen. Kyrsten Sinema of Arizona adds color to somber
impeachment trial proceedings with a fuzzy pink coat.... Sen. Tom
Carper of Delaware sneaks up behind Rep. Mark Meadows of North
Carolina during the impeachment press conference to play
reporter.... "What would Washington be without its gossip, and what
would the gossip be worth just now without impeachment?" asked the
New York Herald during President Andrew Johnson's impeachment trial
in March 1868.
Write to Gabriel T. Rubin at gabriel.rubin@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
January 24, 2020 05:44 ET (10:44 GMT)
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