Report of Foreign Private Issuer

 

Pursuant to Rule 13a-16 or 15d-16 of 

the Securities Exchange Act of 1934

 

28 April 2023

 

Commission file number: 001-10306

 

Form 6-K

 

NatWest Group plc

 

Gogarburn 

PO Box 1000 

Edinburgh EH12 1HQ 

Scotland 

United Kingdom

 

(Address of principal executive offices)

 

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant files or will file annual reports under cover of Form 20-F or Form 40-F.

 

Form 20-F                                              Form 40-F    

 

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant by furnishing the information contained in this Form is also thereby furnishing the information to the Commission pursuant to Rule 12g3-2(b) under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934.

 

Yes                                                                 No  X 

 

If “Yes” is marked, indicate below the file number assigned to 

the registrant in connection with Rule 12g3-2(b): 82-            

 

This report on Form 6-K, except for any information contained on any websites linked or documents referred to in this report, shall be deemed incorporated by reference into the company’s Registration Statement on Form F-3 (File No. 333-261837) and to be a part thereof from the date on which this report is filed, to the extent not superseded by documents or reports subsequently filed or furnished.

 

 

Forward-looking statements 

Cautionary statement regarding forward-looking statements 

Certain sections in this document contain ‘forward-looking statements’ as that term is defined in the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, such as statements that include the words ‘expect’, ‘estimate’, ‘project’, ‘anticipate’, ‘commit’, ‘believe’, ’should’, ‘intend’, ‘will’, ‘plan’, ‘could’, ‘probability’, ‘risk’, ‘Value-at-Risk (VaR)’, ‘target’, ‘goal’, ‘objective’, ‘may’, ‘endeavour’, ‘outlook’, ‘optimistic’, ‘prospects’ and similar expressions or variations on these expressions. In particular, this document includes forward-looking targets and guidance relating to financial performance measures, such as income growth, operating expense, RoTE, ROE, discretionary capital distribution targets, impairment loss rates, balance sheet reduction, including the reduction of RWAs, CET1 ratio (and key drivers of the CET1 ratio including timing, impact and details), Pillar 2 and other regulatory buffer requirements and MREL and non-financial performance measures, such as NatWest Group’s initial area of focus, climate and ESG-related performance ambitions, targets and metrics, including in relation to initiatives to transition to a net zero economy, Climate and Sustainable Funding and Financing (CSFF) and financed emissions. In addition, this document includes forward-looking statements relating, but not limited to: implementation of NatWest Group’s purpose-led strategy and other strategic priorities (including in relation to: phased withdrawal from ROI, cost-controlling measures, the creation of the C&I franchise and the progression towards working as One Bank across NatWest Group to serve customers); the timing and outcome of litigation and government and regulatory investigations; direct and on-market buy-backs; funding plans and credit risk profile; managing its capital position; liquidity ratio; portfolios; net interest margin and drivers related thereto; lending and income growth, product share and growth in target segments; impairments and write-downs; restructuring and remediation costs and charges; NatWest Group’s exposure to political risk, economic assumptions and risk, climate, environmental and sustainability risk, operational risk, conduct risk, financial crime risk, cyber, data and IT risk and credit rating risk and to various types of market risk, including interest rate risk, foreign exchange rate risk and commodity and equity price risk; customer experience, including our Net Promotor Score (NPS); employee engagement and gender balance in leadership positions.

 

Limitations inherent to forward-looking statements 

These statements are based on current plans, expectations, estimates, targets and projections, and are subject to significant inherent risks, uncertainties and other factors, both external and relating to NatWest Group’s strategy or operations, which may result in NatWest Group being unable to achieve the current plans, expectations, estimates, targets, projections and other anticipated outcomes expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. In addition, certain of these disclosures are dependent on choices relying on key model characteristics and assumptions and are subject to various limitations, including assumptions and estimates made by management. By their nature, certain of these disclosures are only estimates and, as a result, actual future results, gains or losses could differ materially from those that have been estimated. Accordingly, undue reliance should not be placed on these statements. The forward-looking statements contained in this document speak only as of the date we make them and we expressly disclaim any obligation or undertaking to update or revise any forward-looking statements contained herein, whether to reflect any change in our expectations with regard thereto, any change in events, conditions or circumstances on which any such statement is based, or otherwise, except to the extent legally required.

 

Important factors that could affect the actual outcome of the forward-looking statements 

We caution you that a large number of important factors could adversely affect our results or our ability to implement our strategy, cause us to fail to meet our targets, predictions, expectations and other anticipated outcomes or affect the accuracy of forward-looking statements described in this document. These factors include, but are not limited to, those set forth in the risk factors and the other uncertainties described in NatWest Group plc’s Annual Report on Form 20-F and its other filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. The principal risks and uncertainties that could adversely NatWest Group’s future results, its financial condition and/or prospects and cause them to be materially different from what is forecast or expected, include, but are not limited to: economic and political risk (including in respect of: political and economic risks and uncertainty in the UK and global markets, including due to high inflation, supply chain disruption and the Russian invasion of Ukraine); uncertainty regarding the effects of Brexit; changes in interest rates and foreign currency exchange rates; and HM Treasury’s ownership as the largest shareholder of NatWest Group plc); strategic risk (including in respect of the implementation of NatWest Group’s purpose-led Strategy; future acquisitions and divestments; phased withdrawal from ROI and the transfer of its Western European corporate portfolio); financial resilience risk (including in respect of: NatWest Group’s ability to meet targets and to make discretionary capital distributions; the competitive environment; counterparty and borrower risk; prudential regulatory requirements for capital and MREL; liquidity and funding risks; changes in the credit ratings; the requirements of regulatory stress tests; model risk; sensitivity to accounting policies, judgments, assumptions and estimates; changes in applicable accounting standards; the value or effectiveness of credit protection; the adequacy of NatWest Group’s future assessments by the Prudential Regulation Authority and the Bank of England; and the application of UK statutory stabilisation or resolution powers); climate and sustainability risk (including in respect of: risks relating to climate change and the transitioning to a net zero economy; the implementation of NatWest Group’s climate change strategy, including publication of an initial climate transition plan in 2023 and climate change resilient systems, controls and procedures; climate-related data and model risk; the failure to adapt to emerging climate, environmental and sustainability risks and opportunities; changes in ESG ratings; increasing levels of climate, environmental and sustainability related regulation and oversight; and climate, environmental and sustainability-related litigation, enforcement proceedings and investigations); operational and IT resilience risk (including in respect of: operational risks (including reliance on third party suppliers); cyberattacks; the accuracy and effective use of data; complex IT systems; attracting, retaining and developing senior management and skilled personnel; NatWest Group’s risk management framework; and reputational risk); and legal, regulatory and conduct risk (including in respect of: the impact of substantial regulation and oversight; compliance with regulatory requirements; the outcome of legal, regulatory and governmental actions and investigations; the transition of LIBOR other IBOR rates to replacement risk-free rates; and changes in tax legislation or failure to generate future taxable profits).

 

NatWest Group – Form 6-K Q1 Results 2023 

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Forward-looking statements continued 

Climate and ESG disclosures 

Climate and ESG disclosures in this document are not measures within the scope of International Financial Reporting Standards (‘IFRS’), use a greater number and level of judgements, assumptions and estimates, including with respect to the classification of climate and sustainable funding and financing activities, than our reporting of historical financial information in accordance with IFRS. These judgements, assumptions and estimates are highly likely to change over time, and, when coupled with the longer time frames used in these disclosures, make any assessment of materiality inherently uncertain. In addition, our climate risk analysis, net zero strategy, including the implementation of our climate transition plan remain under development, and the data underlying our analysis and strategy remain subject to evolution over time. The process we have adopted to define, gather and report data on our performance on climate and ESG measures is not subject to the formal processes adopted for financial reporting in accordance with IFRS and there are currently limited industry standards or globally recognised established practices for measuring and defining climate and ESG related metrics. As a result, we expect that certain climate and ESG disclosures made in this document are likely to be amended, updated, recalculated or restated in the future. Please also refer to the cautionary statement in the section entitled ‘Climate-related and other forward-looking statements and metrics’ of the NatWest Group 2022 Climate-related Disclosures Report.

 

Cautionary statement regarding Non-IFRS financial measures and APMs 

NatWest Group prepares its financial statements in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP). This document may contain financial measures and ratios not specifically defined under GAAP or IFRS (‘Non-IFRS’) and/or alternative performance measures (‘APMs’) as defined in European Securities and Markets Authority (‘ESMA’) guidelines. APMs are adjusted for notable and other defined items which management believes are not representative of the underlying performance of the business and which distort period-on-period comparison. Non-IFRS measures provide users of the financial statements with a consistent basis for comparing business performance between financial periods and information on elements of performance that are one-off in nature. Any Non-IFRS measures and/or APMs included in this document, are not measures within the scope of IFRS, are based on a number of assumptions that are subject to uncertainties and change, and are not a substitute for IFRS measures.

 

The information, statements and opinions contained in this document do not constitute a public offer under any applicable legislation or an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy any securities or financial instruments or any advice or recommendation with respect to such securities or other financial instruments.

 

Introduction 

Presentation of information 

‘Parent company’ refers to NatWest Group plc and ‘NatWest Group’ and ‘we’ refers to NatWest Group plc and its subsidiary and associated undertakings. The term ‘NWH Group’ refers to NatWest Holdings Limited (‘NWH’) and its subsidiary and associated undertakings. The term ‘NWM Group’ refers to NatWest Markets Plc (‘NWM Plc’) and its subsidiary and associated undertakings. The term ‘NWM N.V.’ refers to NatWest Markets N.V. The term ‘NWMSI’ refers to NatWest Markets Securities, Inc. The term ‘RBS plc’ refers to The Royal Bank of Scotland plc. The term ‘NWB Plc’ refers to National Westminster Bank Plc. The term ‘UBIDAC’ refers to Ulster Bank Ireland DAC.

 

NatWest Group publishes its financial statements in pounds sterling (’£’ or ’sterling’). The abbreviations ’£m’ and ’£bn’ represent millions and thousands of millions of pounds sterling, respectively, and references to ‘pence’ or ‘p’ represent pence where the amounts are denominated in pounds sterling (‘GBP’). Reference to ‘dollars’ or ’$’ are to United States of America (‘US’) dollars. The abbreviations ’$m’ and ’$bn’ represent millions and thousands of millions of dollars, respectively. The abbreviation ’€’ represents the ‘euro’, and the abbreviations ’€m’ and ’€bn’ represent millions and thousands of millions of euros, respectively.

 

To aid readability, this document retains references to EU legislative and regulatory provisions in effect in the UK before 1 January 2021 that have now been implemented in UK domestic law. These references should be read and construed as including references to the applicable UK implementation measures with effect from 1 January 2021.

 

Non-IFRS financial information 

NatWest Group prepares its financial statements in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP). This document contains a number of adjusted or alternative performance measures, also known as non-GAAP or non-IFRS performance measures. These measures are adjusted for notable and other defined items which management believe are not representative of the underlying performance of the business and which distort period-on-period comparison. The non-IFRS measures provide users of the financial statements with a consistent basis for comparing business performance between financial periods and information on elements of performance that are one-off in nature. The non-IFRS measures also include the calculation of metrics that are used throughout the banking industry. These non-IFRS measures are not measures within the scope of IFRS and are not a substitute for IFRS measures. For further information please refer to page 34.

 

NatWest Group – Form 6-K Q1 Results 2023 

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NatWest Group plc 

Q1 2023 Form 6-K 

Chief Executive, Alison Rose, commented: 

“NatWest Group’s strong performance in Q1 2023 is underpinned by our robust balance sheet, our high levels of capital and liquidity and our well-diversified loan book. Through a period of significant macro disruption and uncertainty, we continue to stand alongside the people, families and businesses we serve, providing targeted support and growing our lending responsibly.

 

Our disciplined and consistent approach to risk management means that arrears and impairments remain low. By monitoring customer behaviour and looking closely for signs of financial distress, we are able to put in place proactive measures to help those who are struggling right now and those who are worried about the future.

 

As we continue to make progress against our strategic priorities, NatWest Group is well positioned to navigate this challenging operating environment and to deliver sustainable growth and returns by responding to new and emerging trends that are shaping the lives of our customers.”

 

Strong Q1 2023 performance  

Q1 2023 attributable profit of £1,279 million, a return on equity of 13.8% and a return on tangible equity of 19.8%.

 

Total income of £3,876 million increased by £868 million, or 28.9%, compared with Q1 2022. Total income, excluding notable items, increased by £1,036 million, or 37.2%, compared with Q1 2022 principally reflecting the impact of volume growth and yield curve movements.

 

Net interest margin (NIM) of 2.25% was 14 basis points higher compared with Q4 2022. Bank NIM of 3.27% was 7 basis points higher than Q4 2022.

 

Operating expenses of £1,988 million were £168 million or 9.2% higher compared with Q1 2022. Other operating expenses were £214 million, or 12.5%, higher than Q1 2022 driven by increased staff costs due to a one-off cost of living payment of around £60 million, increased costs in areas of strategic investment and costs in relation to our withdrawal from the Republic of Ireland. The cost:income ratio was 51.3% at Q1 2023. The cost:income ratio (excl. litigation and conduct) was 49.8% at Q1 2023.

 

A net impairment charge of £70 million, or 7 basis points of gross customer loans, principally reflected the continued strong performance of our lending book. Levels of default remain stable and at low levels across the portfolio.

 

Net loans to customers of £374.2 were £7.9, or 2.2% higher compared with Q4 2022. Net loans to customers excluding central items increased by £5.7 billion to £352.4 billion, or 1.6%, primarily reflecting £3.9 billion of mortgage growth in Retail Banking and, a £1.6 billion increase in Commercial & Institutional.

 

Customer deposits of £430.5 billion were £19.8 billion, lower compared with Q4 2022. Customer deposits excluding central items reduced by £11.1 billion, or 2.6%, in the quarter reflecting around £8 billion higher customer tax payments, competition for deposits and an overall market liquidity contraction.

 

The loan:deposit ratio (LDR) was 87% at Q1 2023. The loan:deposit ratio (excl. repos and reverse repos) was 83% at Q1 2023, with customer deposits exceeding net loans to customers by around £55 billion.

 

The liquidity coverage ratio (LCR) of 139%, representing £43.4 billion headroom above 100% minimum requirement, decreased by 6 percentage points compared with Q4 2022 primarily due to reduced customer deposits and lending growth.

 

Common Equity Tier (CET1) ratio of 14.4% was 20 basis points higher than Q4 2022 principally reflecting the attributable profit partially offset by a £2.0 billion increase in risk-weighted assets (RWAs) and a £0.5 billion ordinary dividend accrual.

 

As at 26 April 2023 we had completed £458 million of the £800 million share buyback programme announced as part of our year end 2022 results.

 

RWAs increased by £2.0 billion in the quarter to £178.1 billion largely reflecting lending growth and a £1.1 billion increase associated with the annual update to operational risk balances.

 

Outlook (1)  

We retain the outlook guidance provided in the 2022 Annual Report on Form 20-F.

 

(1)The guidance, targets, expectations and trends discussed in this section represent NatWest Group plc management’s current expectations and are subject to change, including as a result of the factors described in the NatWest Group plc Risk Factors in the 2022 Annual Report on Form 20-F. These statements constitute forward-looking statements. Refer to Forward-looking statements in this announcement.

 

NatWest Group – Form 6-K Q1 Results 2023 

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Business performance summary

 

   Quarter ended
   31 March  31 December  31 March
   2023  2022  2022
Summary consolidated income statement  £m  £m  £m
Net interest income  2,902  2,868  2,027
Non-interest income  974  840  981
Total income  3,876  3,708  3,008
Litigation and conduct costs  (56)  (91)  (102)
Other operating expenses  (1,932)  (2,047)  (1,718)
Operating expenses  (1,988)  (2,138)  (1,820)
Profit before impairment losses/releases  1,888  1,570  1,188
Impairment (losses)/releases  (70)  (144)  36
Operating profit before tax  1,818  1,426  1,224
Tax charge  (512)  (46)  (386)
Profit from continuing operations  1,306  1,380  838
Profit/(loss) from discontinued operations, net of tax  35  (56)  63
Profit for the period  1,341  1,324  901
          
Performance key metrics and ratios         
Notable items within income (1)  £56m  £(58)m  £224m
Total income excluding notable items (1)  £3,820m  £3,766m  £2,784m
Climate and sustainable funding and financing (2)  £7.6bn  £6.4bn  £5.6bn
Bank net interest margin (1)  3.27%  3.20%  2.45%
Bank average interest earning assets (1)  £360bn  £356bn  £335bn
Cost:income ratio (excl. litigation and conduct) (1)  49.8%  55.2%  57.1%
Loan impairment rate (1)  7bps  16bps  (4)bps
Profit attributable to ordinary shareholders  £1,279m  £1,262m  £841m
Total earnings per share attributable to ordinary shareholders - basic (3)  13.2p  13.1p  8.1p
Return on tangible equity (RoTE) (1)  19.8%  20.6%  11.3%
   As at
   31 March  31 December  31 March
   2023  2022  2022
Balance sheet  £bn  £bn  £bn
Total assets  695.6  720.1  785.4
Net loans to customers - amortised cost  374.2  366.3  365.3
Net loans to customers excluding central items (1)  352.4  346.7  330.2
Loans to customers and banks - amortised cost and FVOCI  385.8  377.1  375.7
Total impairment provisions (4)  3.4  3.4  3.6
Expected credit loss (ECL) coverage ratio  0.9%  0.9%  1.0%
Assets under management and administration (AUMA) (1)  35.2  33.4  35.0
Customer deposits  430.5  450.3  482.9
Customer deposits excluding central items (1,5)  421.8  432.9  447.9
Liquidity and funding         
Liquidity coverage ratio (LCR)  139%  145%  167%
Liquidity portfolio  210  226  275
Net stable funding ratio (NSFR)  141%  145%  152%
Loan:deposit ratio (excl. repos and reverse repos) (1)  83%  79%  73%
Total wholesale funding  79  74  76
Short-term wholesale funding  25  21  22
Capital and leverage         
Common Equity Tier (CET1) ratio (6)  14.4%  14.2%  15.2%
Total capital ratio (6)  19.6%  19.3%  20.4%
Pro forma CET1 ratio (excl. foreseeable items) (7)  15.7%  15.4%  16.1%
Risk-weighted assets (RWAs)  178.1  176.1  176.8
UK leverage ratio  5.4%  5.4%  5.5%
Tangible net asset value (TNAV) per ordinary share (8)  278p  264p  269p
Number of ordinary shares in issue (millions) (8)  9,581  9,659  10,622

 

(1) Refer to the Non-IFRS financial measures appendix for details of the basis of preparation and reconciliation of non-IFRS financial measures and performance metrics.
(2) NatWest Group uses its climate and sustainable funding and financing inclusion criteria to determine the assets, activities and companies that are eligible to be included within its climate and sustainable funding and financing targets. This includes both provision for funding and financing, including provision of services for underwriting issuances and private placements. Up to 31 March 2023 we have provided £40.2 billion against our target to provide £100 billion climate and sustainable funding and financing between 1 July 2021 and the end of 2025. As part of this, we aim to provide at least £10 billion in lending for EPC A- and B-rated residential properties between 1 January 2023 and the end of 2025. During Q1 2023 we provided £7.6 billion climate and sustainable funding and financing, which included £1.3 billion in lending for EPC A- and B-rated residential properties.
(3) On 30 August 2022 the issued ordinary share capital was consolidated in the ratio of 14 existing shares for 13 new shares. The average number of shares for earnings per share has been adjusted retrospectively.
(4) Includes £0.1 billion relating to off-balance sheet exposures (31 December 2022 - £0.1 billion; 31 March 2022 - £0.1 billion).
(5) Central items includes Treasury repo activity and Ulster Bank Republic of Ireland.
(6) Refer to the capital, liquidity and funding risk section for details of basis of preparation.
(7) The pro forma CET1 ratio at 31 March 2023 excludes foreseeable items of £2,351 million; £1,479 million for ordinary dividends and £872 million foreseeable charges (31 December 2022 excludes foreseeable items of £2,132 million; £967 million for ordinary dividends and £1,165 million foreseeable charges; 31 March 2022 excludes foreseeable charges of £1,623 million, £1,096 million for ordinary dividends and £527 million foreseeable charges).
(8) The number of ordinary shares in issue excludes own shares held. Comparatives for the number of shares in issue and TNAV per ordinary share have not been adjusted for the effect of the share consolidation referred to in footnote 3 above.

 

NatWest Group – Form 6-K Q1 Results 2023 

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Business performance summary

Chief Financial Officer review

We delivered a strong operating performance in the first quarter with a return on equity of 13.8% and a RoTE of 19.8%. Total income of £3,876 million increased by £868 million, or 28.9%, compared with Q1 2022. Total income, excluding notable items, was up by 37.2% on the prior year and we continue to see low levels of default across our portfolio. We have seen strong lending growth in the first quarter balanced across the book and, whilst we have seen outflows in customer deposits as a result of tax payments, market movements and customer behaviour, we remain in a strong liquidity position, with a LCR of 139%, representing £43.4 billion headroom above 100% minimum requirement, and an LDR of 83%. Our CET1 ratio remains strong at 14.4%. We remain on track to achieve the targets we announced as part of the full year results in February 2023.

 

Financial performance  

Total income increased by 28.9% to £3,876 million compared with Q1 2022. Total income, excluding notable items, was £1,036 million, or 37.2%, higher than Q1 2022 driven by volume growth, favourable yield curve movements and a strong performance in Commercial & Institutional trading income.

 

NIM of 2.25% was 14 basis points higher compared with Q4 2022. Bank NIM of 3.27% was 7 basis points higher than Q4 2022, principally reflecting the beneficial impact of recent base rate rises partially offset by reduced mortgage margins.

 

In line with our expectations, operating expenses of £1,988 million were £168 million or 9.2% higher compared with Q1 2022. Other operating expenses were £214 million, or 12.5%, higher than Q1 2022 principally driven by increased staff costs due to a one-off cost of living payment of around £60 million, increased strategic investment costs, such as Financial Crime and Data, and exit costs in relation to our withdrawal from the Republic of Ireland. We remain on track to deliver on our full year cost guidance.

 

A net impairment charge of £70 million principally reflects a £114 million charge in Retail Banking partially offset by modelled good book releases in Commercial & Institutional. Levels of default remain stable and at low levels across the portfolio. Compared with Q4 2022, our ECL provision remained flat at £3.4 billion and our ECL coverage ratio has decreased from 0.91% to 0.89%. We retain post model adjustments of £0.3 billion related to economic uncertainty, or 9.7% of total impairment provisions. Whilst we are comfortable with the strong credit performance of our book, we will continue to assess this position regularly and are closely monitoring the impacts of inflationary pressures on the UK economy and our customers.

 

As a result, we are pleased to report an attributable profit for Q1 2023 of £1,279 million, with earnings per share of 13.2 pence, a return on equity of 13.8% and RoTE of 19.8%.

 

Net loans to customers increased by £7.9 billion in Q1 2023 primarily reflecting £3.9 billion of mortgage lending growth in Retail Banking, a £1.6 billion increase in Commercial & Institutional and a £2.3 billion increase in Treasury reverse repo balances. Retail Banking gross new mortgage lending was £9.5 billion in the quarter compared with £9.1 billion in Q1 2022 and £11.5 billion in Q4 2022. Within Commercial & Institutional, growth was largely in Corporate & Institutions partly offset by UK Government Scheme repayments of £0.7 billion in the quarter.

 

Up to 31 March 2023 we have provided £40.2 billion against our target to provide £100 billion climate and sustainable funding and financing between 1 July 2021 and the end of 2025. As part of this we aim to provide at least £10 billion in lending for EPC A- and B-rated residential properties between 1 January 2023 and the end of 2025. During Q1 2023 we provided £7.6 billion climate and sustainable funding and financing, which included £1.3 billion in lending for EPC A- and B-rated residential properties.

 

Customer deposits decreased by £19.8 billion in the quarter, including an £8.7 billion reduction in Central items & other related to our exit from the Republic of Ireland and Treasury repo activity. Customer deposits excluding central items reduced by £11.1 billion reflecting customer tax payments which were higher than previous years, competition for deposits and an overall market liquidity contraction. 68% of personal(1) deposits and 39% of total customer deposits were insured at the end of Q1 2023. Looking ahead, we now expect full year 2023 customer deposits excluding central items to be stable to modestly lower than the £432.9 billion reported at full year 2022, although we recognise that balance movements are challenging to predict with significant uncertainties around macroeconomic factors, customer behaviour and market dynamics.

 

TNAV per share increased by 14 pence in the quarter to 278 pence primarily reflecting the attributable profit.

 

Capital and leverage 

The CET1 ratio remains robust at 14.4%, or 14.3% excluding IFRS 9 transitional relief, and increased by 20 basis points in the quarter principally reflecting the attributable profit, partially offset by a £2.0 billion increase in RWAs and an £0.5 billion ordinary dividend accrual. NatWest Group’s total loss absorbing capacity ratio was 32.4%.

 

We have made good progress on the £800 million share buyback programme announced as part of our 2022 year end results, with £458 million completed as at 26 April 2023.

 

RWAs increased by £2.0 billion in the quarter to £178.1 billion largely reflecting lending growth and a £1.1 billion increase associated with the annual update to operational risk balances.

 

Funding and liquidity  

The LCR decreased by 6 percentage points to 139%, representing £43.4 billion headroom above 100% minimum requirements primarily due to reduced customer deposits and lending growth, partially offset by new issuances during the quarter. Our primary liquidity at Q1 2023 was £149 billion and £120 billion, or 81%, of this was cash at central banks. Total wholesale funding increased by £5.0 billion in the quarter to £79.5 billion. 

 

(1)Personal deposits are ring fenced bank deposits attributable to individuals and sole traders, and excludes Ulster Bank RoI.

 

NatWest Group – Form 6-K Q1 Results 2023 

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Business performance summary 

Retail Banking

 

   Quarter ended
   31 March  31 December  31 March
   2023  2022  2022
   £m  £m  £m
Total income  1,604  1,617  1,217
Operating expenses  (696)  (658)  (645)
   of which: Other operating expenses  (693)  (670)  (591)
Impairment losses  (114)  (87)  (5)
Operating profit  794  872  567
          
Return on equity (1)  30.0%  34.7%  23.1%
Net interest margin (1)  2.99%  3.02%  2.43%
Cost:income ratio (excl. litigation and conduct) (1)  43.2%  41.4%  48.6%
Loan impairment rate (1)  22bps  17bps  1bp

 

   As at
   31 March  31 December  31 March
   2023  2022  2022
   £bn  £bn  £bn
Net loans to customers (amortised cost)  201.7  197.6  184.9
Customer deposits  184.0  188.4  189.7
RWAs  55.6  54.7  52.2

 

(1)Refer to the Non-IFRS financial measures appendix for details of the basis of preparation and reconciliation of non-IFRS financial measures and performance metrics.

 

In Q1 2023, Retail Banking continued to pursue sustainable growth with an intelligent approach to risk, delivering a return on equity of 30.0% and an operating profit of £794 million.  

 

Retail Banking provided £1.2 billion of climate and sustainable funding and financing in Q1 2023.  

 

-Total income was £387 million, or 31.8%, higher than Q1 2022 reflecting continued strong loan growth and higher deposit income supported by interest rate rises, partially offset by a reduction in mortgage margins, lower deposit balances and non-repeat of insurance profit share from Q1 2022.

 

-Net interest margin was 3 basis points lower than Q4 2022 reflecting lower mortgage margins, largely offset by higher deposit returns and non-repeat of the Q4 2022 review of mortgage customer repayment behaviour.

 

-Operating expenses of £696 million were £51 million or 7.9% higher compared with Q1 2022. Other operating expenses were £102 million, or 17.3%, higher than Q1 2022 reflecting continued investment in the business and higher pay awards to support our colleagues with cost of living challenges, increased investment in financial crime prevention, increased data costs and increased restructuring costs.

 

-A net impairment charge of £114 million in Q1 2023 as stage 3 defaults remain stable.

 

-Customer deposits decreased by £4.4 billion, or 2.3%, in Q1 2023 reflecting the impact of customer tax payments which were higher than previous years, lower household liquidity and increased competition for savings balances. Personal current account balances decreased by £2.6 billion and personal savings decreased by £1.8 billion in Q1 2023. We have seen growth in our fixed term savings products in Q1 2023.

 

-Net loans to customers increased by £4.1 billion, or 2.1%, in Q1 2023 mainly reflecting continued mortgage growth of £3.9 billion, or 2.1% with gross new mortgage lending of £9.5 billion, representing flow share of around 16%, particularly benefitting from elevated application volumes received in September and October 2022.  Cards balances increased by £0.2 billion, or 4.5%, and personal advances increased by £0.1 billion, or 1.3% in Q1 2023 with strong customer demand and disciplined credit risk appetite.

 

-RWAs increased by £0.9 billion or 1.6% primarily reflecting lending volume growth and an increase associated with the annual update to operational risk balances.

 

NatWest Group – Form 6-K Q1 Results 2023 

6  

 

 

Business performance summary

Private Banking

 

   Quarter ended
   31 March  31 December  31 March
   2023  2022  2022
   £m  £m  £m
Total income  296  310  216
Operating expenses  (155)  (198)  (139)
   of which: Other operating expenses  (152)  (188)  (138)
Impairment (losses)/releases  (8)  (2)  5
Operating profit  133  110  82
          
Return on equity (1)  28.5%  24.2%  18.2%
Net interest margin (1)  4.83%  5.19%  3.07%
Cost:income ratio (excl. litigation and conduct) (1)  51.4%  60.6%  63.9%
Loan impairment rate (1)  17bps  4bps  (11)bps
Net new money (£bn) (1)  0.6  0.3  0.8

 

   As at
   31 March  31 December  31 March
   2023  2022  2022
   £bn  £bn  £bn
Net loans to customers (amortised cost)  19.2  19.2  18.7
Customer deposits  37.3  41.2  40.3
RWAs  11.4  11.2  11.5
Assets under management (AUMs) (1)  29.6  28.3  29.6
Assets under administration (AUAs) (1)  5.6  5.1  5.4
Total assets under management and administration (AUMAs) (1)  35.2  33.4  35.0

 

(1)Refer to the Non-IFRS financial measures appendix for details of the basis of preparation and reconciliation of non-IFRS financial measures and performance metrics.

 

In Q1 2023, Private Banking provided a strong operating performance, delivering a return on equity of 28.5%, and an operating profit of £133 million.

 

Private Banking provided £0.1 billion of climate and sustainable funding and financing in Q1 2023.

 

-Total income was £80 million, or 37.0%, higher than Q1 2022 reflecting higher deposit income supported by interest rate rises, partially offset by a reduction in mortgage margins and lower deposit balances.

 

-Net interest margin was 36 basis points lower than Q4 2022 reflecting lower mortgage margins, lower deposit volumes and increased capital issuance and funding costs.

 

-Operating expenses of £155 million were £16 million or 11.5% higher compared with Q1 2022. Other operating expenses were £14 million, or 10.1%, higher than Q1 2022 due to the impact of pay awards to support colleagues with cost of living challenges, and increased investment in technology and FTE to support AUMA growth propositions.

 

-A net impairment charge of £8 million in Q1 2023 reflects good book increases predominantly generated from probability of default movements.

 

-AUMAs increased by £1.8 billion, or 5.4%, in Q1 2023 primarily reflecting AUM net new money of £0.6 billion, representing 7.3% of opening AUMA balances and positive investment market movements.

 

-Customer deposits decreased by £3.9 billion, or 9.5% in Q1 2023 driven by tax outflows which were higher than previous years, as well as increased competition for savings balances. We have seen growth in our fixed term savings products in Q1 2023.

 

-Net loans to customers remained flat in Q1 2023.

 

NatWest Group – Form 6-K Q1 Results 2023 

7  

 

 

Business performance summary 

Commercial & Institutional

 

   Quarter ended
   31 March  31 December  31 March
   2023  2022  2022
   £m  £m  £m
Net interest income  1,261  1,276  803
Non-interest income  692  543  572
Total income  1,953  1,819  1,375
          
Operating expenses  (1,003)  (1,031)  (922)
   of which: Other operating expenses  (959)  (989)  (880)
Impairment releases/(losses)  44  (62)  11
Operating profit  994  726  464
          
Return on equity (1)  19.5%  13.7%  8.8%
Net interest margin (1)  3.90%  3.89%  2.69%
Cost:income ratio (excl. litigation and conduct) (1)  49.1%  54.4%  64.0%
Loan impairment rate (1)  (13)bps  19bps  (3)bps

 

   As at
   31 March  31 December  31 March
   2023  2022  2022
   £bn  £bn  £bn
Net loans to customers (amortised cost)  131.5  129.9  126.6
Customer deposits  200.5  203.3  217.9
Funded assets (1)  320.4  306.3  334.6
RWAs  104.8  103.2  100.3

 

(1)Refer to the Non-IFRS financial measures appendix for details of the basis of preparation and reconciliation of non-IFRS financial measures and performance metrics.

 

During Q1 2023, Commercial & Institutional delivered a strong performance with a return on equity of 19.5% and an operating profit of £994 million.

 

Commercial & Institutional provided £6.3 billion of climate and sustainable funding and financing in Q1 2023.

 

-Total income was £578 million, or 42.0%, higher than Q1 2022 reflecting higher deposit returns from an improved interest rate environment, lending volume growth, credit and debit card fees and higher markets income.

 

-Net interest margin was 1 basis point higher than Q4 2022 driven by higher deposit returns partly offset by increased capital issuance and funding costs.

 

-Operating expenses of £1,003 million were £81 million or 8.8% higher compared with Q1 2022. Other operating expenses were £79 million, or 9.0%, higher than Q1 2022 as expected reflecting continued investment in the business and ongoing support to our colleagues with cost of living challenges.

 

-A net impairment release of £44 million in Q1 2023 reflecting modelled good book releases. Stage 3 defaults remain stable and at low levels.

 

-Customer deposits decreased by £2.8 billion, or 1.4% in Q1 2023 primarily due to overall market liquidity contraction. The impact was mainly in Business Banking and Commercial Mid-market, partly offset by growth in Corporate & Institutions balances.

 

-Net loans to customers increased by £1.6 billion, or 1.2%, in Q1 2023 due to strong performance from origination deals and private financing activity within Corporate & Institutions and Commercial Mid-market growth in revolving credit facility utilisation, partly offset by UK Government scheme repayments of £0.7 billion.

 

-RWAs increased by £1.6 billion, or 1.6%, in Q1 2023 primarily reflecting increased client lending facilities, partly offset by a reduction in market risk RWAs.

 

NatWest Group – Form 6-K Q1 Results 2023 

8  

 

 

Business performance summary 

Central items & other

 

   Quarter ended
   31 March  31 December  31 March
   2023  2022  2022
   £m  £m  £m
Continuing operations         
Total income  23  (38)  200
Operating expenses (1)  (134)  (251)  (114)
   of which: Other operating expenses  (128)  (200)  (109)
   of which: Ulster Bank RoI  (145)  (310)  (113)
Impairment releases  8  7  25
Operating (loss)/profit  (103)  (282)  111
   of which: Ulster Bank RoI  (159)  (354)  (63)
          
   As at
   31 March  31 December  31 March
   2023  2022  2022
   £bn  £bn  £bn
Net loans to customers (amortised cost) (2)  21.8  19.6  35.1
Customer deposits  8.7  17.4  35.0
RWAs  6.3  7.0  12.8

 

(1) Includes withdrawal-related direct program costs of £49 million for the quarter ended 31 March 2023 (31 December 2022 - £151 million; 31 March 2022 - £10 million).
(2) Excludes £0.5 billion of loans to customers held at fair value through profit or loss (31 December 2022 - £0.5 billion; 31 March 2022 - nil).

 

-Total income was £177 million lower than Q1 2022 primarily reflecting lower gains on interest and FX risk management derivatives not in accounting hedge relationships, reduced Business Growth Fund gains, lower gains on liquidity asset bond sales, and the effect of withdrawing operations from the Republic of Ireland.

 

-Operating expenses of £134 million were £20 million or 17.5% higher compared with Q1 2022. Other operating expenses were £19 million, or 17.4%, higher than Q1 2022 primarily reflecting higher costs in relation to programme withdrawal costs in the Republic of Ireland.

 

-Customer deposits decreased by £8.7 billion, or 50.0%, in Q1 2023 primarily reflecting the continued withdrawal of our operations from the Republic of Ireland and Treasury repo activity. Ulster Bank RoI customer deposit balances were £1.8 billion as at Q1 2023.

 

-Net loans to customers increased £2.2 billion in Q1 2023 mainly due to reverse repo activity in Treasury.

 

NatWest Group – Form 6-K Q1 Results 2023 

9  

 

 

Segment performance

 

  Quarter ended 31 March 2023
  Retail Private Commercial & Central items Total NatWest
  Banking Banking Institutional & other Group
  £m £m £m £m £m
Continuing operations          
Income statement          
Net interest income 1,492 229 1,261 (80) 2,902
Non-interest income 112 67 692 103 974
Total income 1,604 296 1,953 23 3,876
Direct expenses (209) (56) (358) (1,309) (1,932)
Indirect expenses (484) (96) (601) 1,181
Other operating expenses (693) (152) (959) (128) (1,932)
Litigation and conduct costs (3) (3) (44) (6) (56)
Operating expenses (696) (155) (1,003) (134) (1,988)
Operating profit/(loss) before impairment losses/releases 908 141 950 (111) 1,888
Impairment (losses)/releases (114) (8) 44 8 (70)
Operating profit/(loss)  794 133 994 (103) 1,818
           
Total income excluding notable items (1) 1,604 296 1,947 (27) 3,820
           
Additional information          
Return on tangible equity (1) na na na na 19.8%
Return on equity (1) 30.0% 28.5% 19.5% nm na
Cost:income ratio (excl. litigation and conduct) (1) 43.2% 51.4% 49.1% nm 49.8%
Total assets (£bn) 227.2 28.1 399.0 41.3 695.6
Funded assets (£bn) (1) 227.2 28.1 320.4 40.5 616.2
Net loans to customers - amortised cost (£bn) 201.7 19.2 131.5 21.8 374.2
Loan impairment rate (1) 22bps 17bps (13)bps nm 7bps
Impairment provisions (£bn) (1.7) (0.1) (1.5) (0.1) (3.4)
Impairment provisions - stage 3 (£bn) (1.0) (0.7) (0.1) (1.8)
Customer deposits (£bn) 184.0 37.3 200.5 8.7 430.5
Risk-weighted assets (RWAs) (£bn) 55.6 11.4 104.8 6.3 178.1
RWA equivalent (RWAe) (£bn) 56.4 11.4 106.2 6.9 180.9
Employee numbers (FTEs - thousands) 13.9 2.2 12.4 33.3 61.8
Third party customer asset rate (1) 2.94% 4.07% 5.38% nm nm
Third party customer funding rate (1) (0.83%) (1.15%) (0.87%) nm nm
Bank average interest earning assets (£bn) (1) 202.1 19.2 131.3 na 360.0
Bank net interest margin (1) 2.99% 4.83% 3.90% na 3.27%

 

nm = not meaningful, na = not applicable

 

(1)Refer to the Non-IFRS financial measures appendix for details of the basis of preparation and reconciliation of non-IFRS financial measures and performance metrics.

 

NatWest Group – Form 6-K Q1 Results 2023 

10  

 

 

Segment performance

 

  Quarter ended 31 December 2022
  Retail Private Commercial & Central items Total NatWest
  Banking Banking Institutional & other Group
  £m £m £m £m £m
Continuing operations          
Income statement          
Net interest income 1,505 251 1,276 (164) 2,868
Non-interest income 112 59 543 126 840
Total income 1,617 310 1,819 (38) 3,708
Direct expenses (202) (62) (396) (1,387) (2,047)
Indirect expenses (468) (126) (593) 1,187
Other operating expenses (670) (188) (989) (200) (2,047)
Litigation and conduct costs 12 (10) (42) (51) (91)
Operating expenses (658) (198) (1,031) (251) (2,138)
Operating profit/(loss) before impairment losses/releases 959 112 788 (289) 1,570
Impairment (losses)/releases (87) (2) (62) 7 (144)
Operating profit/(loss) 872 110 726 (282) 1,426
           
Total income excluding notable items (1) 1,617 310 1,838 1 3,766
           
Additional information          
Return on tangible equity (1) na na na na 20.6%
Return on equity (1) 34.7% 24.2% 13.7% nm na
Cost:income ratio (excl. litigation and conduct) (1) 41.4% 60.6% 54.4% nm 55.2%
Total assets (£bn) 226.4 29.9 404.8 59.0 720.1
Funded assets (£bn) (1) 226.4 29.9 306.3 57.9 620.5
Net loans to customers - amortised cost (£bn) 197.6 19.2 129.9 19.6 366.3
Loan impairment rate (1) 17bps 4bps 19bps nm 16bps
Impairment provisions (£bn) (1.6) (0.1) (1.6) (0.1) (3.4)
Impairment provisions - stage 3 (£bn) (0.9) (0.7) (0.1) (1.7)
Customer deposits (£bn) 188.4 41.2 203.3 17.4 450.3
Risk-weighted assets (RWAs) (£bn) 54.7 11.2 103.2 7.0 176.1
RWA equivalent (RWAe) (£bn) 54.7 11.2 104.6 7.5 178.0
Employee numbers (FTEs - thousands) 14.0 2.1 12.3 33.1 61.5
Third party customer asset rate (1) 2.72% 3.62% 4.44% nm nm
Third party customer funding rate (1) (0.49%) (0.65%) (0.53%) nm nm
Bank average interest earning assets (£bn) (1) 197.4 19.2 130.3 na 355.8
Bank net interest margin (1) 3.02% 5.19% 3.89% na 3.20%

 

nm = not meaningful, na = not applicable

 

(1)Refer to the Non-IFRS financial measures appendix for details of the basis of preparation and reconciliation of non-IFRS financial measures and performance metrics.

 

NatWest Group – Form 6-K Q1 Results 2023 

11  

 

 

Segment performance

 

  Quarter ended 31 March 2022
  Retail Private Commercial & Central items Total NatWest
  Banking Banking Institutional & other Group
  £m £m £m £m £m
Continuing operations          
Income statement          
Net interest income 1,112 143 803 (31) 2,027
Non-interest income 105 73 572 231 981
Total income 1,217 216 1,375 200 3,008
Direct expenses (161) (49) (407) (1,101) (1,718)
Indirect expenses (430) (89) (473) 992
Other operating expenses (591) (138) (880) (109) (1,718)
Litigation and conduct costs (54) (1) (42) (5) (102)
Operating expenses (645) (139) (922) (114) (1,820)
Operating profit before impairment losses/releases 572 77 453 86 1,188
Impairment (losses)/releases (5) 5 11 25 36
Operating profit 567 82 464 111 1,224
           
Total income excluding notable items (1) 1,217 216 1,357 (6) 2,784
           
Additional information          
Return on tangible equity (1) na na na na 11.3%
Return on equity (1) 23.1% 18.2% 8.8% nm na
Cost:income ratio (excl. litigation and conduct) (1) 48.6% 63.9% 64.0% nm 57.1%
Total assets (£bn) 210.7 29.6 433.5 111.6 785.4
Funded assets (£bn) (1) 210.7 29.6 334.6 110.5 685.4
Net loans to customers - amortised cost (£bn) 184.9 18.7 126.6 35.1 365.3
Loan impairment rate (1) 1bp (11)bps (3)bps nm (4)bps
Impairment provisions (£bn) (1.5) (0.1) (1.6) (0.4) (3.6)
Impairment provisions - stage 3 (£bn) (0.9) (0.7) (0.4) (2.0)
Customer deposits (£bn) 189.7 40.3 217.9 35.0 482.9
Risk-weighted assets (RWAs) (£bn) 52.2 11.5 100.3 12.8 176.8
RWA equivalent (RWAe) (£bn) 52.2 11.5 102.6 13.1 179.4
Employee numbers (FTEs - thousands) 14.0 1.9 11.8 30.5 58.2
Third party customer asset rate (1) 2.59% 2.53% 2.83% nm nm
Third party customer funding rate (1) (0.05%) (0.01%) (0.02%) nm nm
Bank average interest earning assets (£bn) (1) 185.5 18.9 121.0 na 334.9
Bank net interest margin (1) 2.43% 3.07% 2.69% na 2.45%

 

nm = not meaningful, na = not applicable

 

(1)Refer to the Non-IFRS financial measures appendix for details of the basis of preparation and reconciliation of non-IFRS financial measures and performance metrics.

 

NatWest Group – Form 6-K Q1 Results 2023 

12  

 

 

Risk and capital management

  Page
Credit risk  
   Segment analysis – portfolio summary 14
   Segment analysis – loans 15
   Movement in ECL provision 15
   ECL post model adjustments 16
   Sector analysis – portfolio summary 17
   Wholesale support schemes 18
Capital, liquidity and funding risk 20

 

NatWest Group – Form 6-K Q1 Results 2023 

13  

 

 

Risk and capital management

Credit risk

Segment analysis – portfolio summary

The table below shows gross loans and ECL, by segment and stage, within the scope of the IFRS 9 ECL framework.

 

  Retail Private Commercial & Central items  
  Banking Banking Institutional & other Total
31 March 2023 £m £m £m £m £m
Loans - amortised cost and FVOCI (1)          
Stage 1 174,806 18,468 114,862 25,750 333,886
Stage 2 25,636 735 20,241 178 46,790
Stage 3 2,666 223 2,117 109 5,115
Of which: individual 175 855 35 1,065
Of which: collective 2,666 48 1,262 74 4,050
Subtotal excluding disposal group loans 203,108 19,426 137,220 26,037 385,791
Disposal group loans       1,195 1,195
Total       27,232 386,986
ECL provisions (2)          
Stage 1 243 27 395 16 681
Stage 2 498 14 444 28 984
Stage 3 971 28 719 64 1,782
Of which: individual 28 237 8 273
Of which: collective 971 482 56 1,509
Subtotal excluding ECL provisions on disposal group loans 1,712 69 1,558 108 3,447
ECL provisions on disposal group loans       49 49
Total       157 3,496
ECL provisions coverage (3)          
Stage 1 (%) 0.14 0.15 0.34 0.06 0.20
Stage 2 (%) 1.94 1.90 2.19 15.73 2.10
Stage 3 (%) 36.42 12.56 33.96 58.72 34.84
ECL provisions coverage excluding disposal group loans 0.84 0.36 1.14 0.41 0.89
ECL provisions coverage on disposal group loans       4.10 4.10
Total       0.58 0.90
           
31 December 2022          
Loans - amortised cost and FVOCI (1)          
Stage 1 174,727 18,367 108,791 23,339 325,224
Stage 2 21,561 801 24,226 245 46,833
Stage 3 2,565 242 2,166 123 5,096
Of which: individual 168 905 48 1,121
Of which: collective 2,565 74 1,261 75 3,975
Subtotal excluding disposal group loans 198,853 19,410 135,183 23,707 377,153
Disposal group loans       1,502 1,502
Total       25,209 378,655
ECL provisions (2)          
Stage 1 251 21 342 18 632
Stage 2  450 14 534 45 1,043
Stage 3 917 26 747 69 1,759
Of which: individual 26 251 10 287
Of which: collective 917 496 59 1,472
Subtotal excluding ECL provisions on disposal group loans 1,618 61 1,623 132 3,434
ECL provisions on disposal group loans       53 53
Total       185 3,487
ECL provisions coverage (3)          
Stage 1 (%) 0.14 0.11 0.31 0.08 0.19
Stage 2 (%) 2.09 1.75 2.20 18.37 2.23
Stage 3 (%) 35.75 10.74 34.49 56.10 34.52
ECL provisions coverage excluding disposal group loans 0.81 0.31 1.20 0.56 0.91
ECL provisions coverage on disposal group loans       3.53 3.53
Total       0.73 0.92

 

(1) Fair value through other comprehensive income (FVOCI). Includes loans to customers and banks.
(2) Includes £5 million (31 December 2022 – £3 million) related to assets classified as FVOCI and £0.1 billion (31 December 2022 – £0.1 billion) related to off-balance sheet exposures.
(3) ECL provisions coverage is calculated as ECL provisions divided by loans – amortised cost and FVOCI. It is calculated on third party loans and total ECL provisions.
(4) The table shows gross loans only and excludes amounts that were outside the scope of the ECL framework. Other financial assets within the scope of the IFRS 9 ECL framework were cash and balances at central banks totalling £122.2 billion (31 December 2022 – £143.3 billion) and debt securities of £30.9 billion (31 December 2022 – £29.9 billion).

 

NatWest Group – Form 6-K Q1 Results 2023 

14  

 

 

Risk and capital management

Credit risk continued

Segment analysis – loans

Total ECL coverage reduced to 0.89% in Q1 2023, from 0.91% in Q4 2022 reflecting growth in exposures to financial institutions where coverage is significantly lower and some positive trends in underlying risk metrics in Commercial & Institutional. This was partially offset by an increase in Retail Banking coverage as a result of increased ECL on unsecured portfolios and reduced write-off activity in the quarter.

 

The economic scenarios driving the ECL requirement, as well as model performance considerations, were consistent with those described in the NatWest Group plc 2022 Annual Report on Form 20-F.

 

Retail Banking – Balance sheet growth during Q1 2023 mainly reflected continued mortgage growth. Unsecured balances increased by £0.3 billion, primarily in credit cards, as a result of customer demand alongside disciplined credit risk appetite. Total ECL coverage increased from 0.81% to 0.84% during the quarter. The increase in coverage was reflective of increased Stage 3 ECL on unsecured portfolios, mainly due to reduced write-off activity in the quarter. Stable good book coverage captures continued stable portfolio performance, while maintaining sufficient ECL coverage given the increased inflationary and economic pressures on customers. Stage 2 balances increased as a result of the predicted rise in unemployment, therefore increasing IFRS 9 probability of defaults on a forward-looking basis.   

 

Commercial & Institutional – Balance sheet growth in Q1 2023 was driven by a number of corporate and financial institutions sectors. Sector appetite continues to be reviewed regularly, with particular focus on sector clusters and sub-sectors that are vulnerable to inflationary pressures or deemed to represent a heightened risk.

 

Total ECL coverage reduced, reflecting some positive trends in underlying risk metrics and a decrease in COVID-19 post model adjustments resulting in ECL releases. The coverage remains sufficient for the expected increase in charges from inflationary pressures and increases in early problem debt trends. Stage 2 ECL reduced significantly as a number of customers migrated back into Stage 1 due to the positive trends in underlying risk metrics which also resulted in an increase in Stage 1 ECL. Stage 3 ECL decreased with write-offs and releases more than offsetting flows into default.

 

Movement in ECL provision

The table below shows the main ECL provision movements during the quarter.

 

  ECL provision
  £m
At 1 January 2023 3,434
Transfers to disposal groups and reclassifications (10)
Changes in risk metrics and exposure: Stage 1 and Stage 2 15
Changes in risk metrics and exposure: Stage 3 81
Judgemental changes: changes in post model adjustments for Stage 1, Stage 2 and Stage 3 (17)
Write-offs and other (56)
At 31 March 2023 3,447

 

ECL marginally increased in Q1 2023, with increases in Stage 3 largely offset by write-offs and reductions in post model adjustments.

 

Stage 3 new defaults remained low during the quarter. Stage 3 ECL balances in Retail Banking and Business Banking portfolios have increased, mainly due to reduced write-off activity.

 

NatWest Group – Form 6-K Q1 Results 2023 

15  

 

 

Risk and capital management

Credit risk continued

ECL post model adjustments

The table below shows ECL post model adjustments.

 

  Retail Banking Private Commercial & Central  
  Mortgages Other Banking Institutional items & other Total
31 March 2023 £m £m £m £m £m £m
Economic uncertainty 96 53 6 173 5 333
Other adjustments 7 21 17 16 61
Total 103 74 6 190 21 394
             
Of which:            
- Stage 1 42 26 3 67 5 143
- Stage 2 46 48 3 119 16 232
- Stage 3  15 4 19
             
31 December 2022            
Economic uncertainty 102 51 6 191 2 352
Other adjustments 8 20 16 15 59
Total 110 71 6 207 17 411
             
Of which:            
- Stage 1 62 27 3 63 155
- Stage 2 32 44 3 139 16 234
- Stage 3  16 5 1 22

 

 

(1)

Excludes £0.3 million (31 December 2022 – £18 million) of post model adjustments for Ulster Bank RoI disclosed as transfers to disposal groups.

 

Retail Banking – The post model adjustments for economic uncertainty were held at a broadly consistent level since 31 December 2022, totalling £149 million (31 December 2022 – £153 million). The primary element of the economic uncertainty adjustment was a £123 million ECL uplift (31 December 2022 – £127 million) to capture the risk on segments of the portfolio that are more susceptible to the effects of a high-inflation environment and the effects on affordability. This focuses on key affordability lenses, including customers with lower incomes in fuel poverty, over-indebted borrowers, and customers vulnerable to a potential mortgage rate shock effect on their affordability. The small reduction in post model adjustments is supported by underlying high-risk population movements, notably in fuel poverty. Other judgmental overlays included a £20 million uplift for EAD modelling dynamics in credit cards.

 

Commercial & Institutional – The post model adjustments for economic uncertainty have seen small decreases since 31 December 2022, now totalling £173 million (31 December 2022 – £191 million). It included an adjustment of £91 million, a £16 million reduction, to cover the residual risks from COVID-19, including the risk that UK Government support schemes could affect future recoveries and concerns surrounding associated debt, to customers that have utilised UK Government support schemes. Inflation and supply chain issues continue to present significant headwinds for a number of sectors which are not fully captured in the models. An £82 million mechanistic adjustment, via a sector-level downgrade, was applied to the sectors that were considered most at risk from these headwinds.

 

NatWest Group – Form 6-K Q1 Results 2023 

16  

 

 

Risk and capital management

Credit risk continued

Sector analysis – portfolio summary

The table below shows ECL by stage, for the Personal portfolio and selected sectors of the Wholesale portfolio.

 

    Off-balance sheet    
  Loans - amortised cost and FVOCI Loan Contingent   ECL provisions 
  Stage 1 Stage 2 Stage 3 Total commitments liabilities   Stage 1 Stage 2 Stage 3 Total
31 March 2023 £m £m £m £m £m £m   £m £m £m £m
Personal 192,382 25,953 2,910 221,245 39,072 47   256 516 1,013 1,785
Mortgages 182,239 22,652 1,944 206,835 14,300   58 77 242 377
Credit cards 3,310 1,242 114 4,666 16,243   63 144 79 286
Other personal 6,833 2,059 852 9,744 8,529 47   135 295 692 1,122
Wholesale 141,504 20,837 2,205 164,546 88,863 4,526   425 468 769 1,662
Property 28,172 3,644 717 32,533 15,729 481   110 94 225 429
Financial institutions 49,684 2,207 36 51,927 17,387 1,511   40 16 12 68
Sovereign 5,341 115 28 5,484 652   13 1 4 18
Corporate 58,307 14,871 1,424 74,602 55,095 2,534   262 357 528 1,147
Of which:                      
Agriculture 3,897 947 114 4,958 949 25   22 30 50 102
Airlines and aerospace 1,030 786 17 1,833 1,544 67   7 15 7 29
Automotive 6,334 992 44 7,370 4,053 85   19 13 12 44
Chemicals 368 75 1 444 887 12   2 1 1 4
Health 4,068 878 120 5,066 589 10   21 27 44 92
Industrials 2,390 758 57 3,205 3,128 191   12 15 18 45
Land transport & logistics 4,435 659 67 5,161 3,325 189   18 17 17 52
Leisure 3,971 3,198 247 7,416 1,773 98   34 113 97 244
Mining & metals 217 226 5 448 418 5   1 5 6
Oil and gas 898 109 30 1,037 1,969 291   4 3 29 36
Power utilities 4,532 438 2 4,972 8,003 755   14 18 1 33
Retail 6,595 1,192 143 7,930 4,552 370   23 27 68 118
Shipping 205 58 4 267 98 26   1 3 2 6
Water & waste 3,286 554 15 3,855 1,793 98   5 5 4 14
Total 333,886 46,790 5,115 385,791 127,935 4,573   681 984 1,782 3,447
                       
31 December 2022                      
Personal 192,438 21,854 2,831 217,123 43,126 51   260 466 957 1,683
Mortgages 182,245 18,787 1,925 202,957 18,782   81 62 233 376
Credit cards 3,275 1,076 109 4,460 15,848   62 122 73 257
Other personal 6,918 1,991 797 9,706 8,496 51   117 282 651 1,050
Wholesale 132,786 24,979 2,265 160,030 88,886 4,963   372 577 802 1,751
Property 27,542 4,316 716 32,574 15,302 491   107 105 229 441
Financial institutions 46,738 1,353 47 48,138 18,223 1,332   32 14 17 63
Sovereign 5,458 157 26 5,641 710   15 1 3 19
Corporate 53,048 19,153 1,476 73,677 54,651 3,140   218 457 553 1,228
Of which:                      
Agriculture 3,646 1,034 93 4,773 968 24   21 31 43 95
Airlines and aerospace 483 1,232 19 1,734 1,715 174   2 40 8 50
Automotive 5,776 1,498 30 7,304 4,009 99   18 18 11 47
Chemicals 384 117 1 502 650 12   1 2 1 4
Health 3,974 1,008 141 5,123 475 8   19 30 48 97
Industrials 2,148 1,037 82 3,267 3,135 195   10 16 24 50
Land transport & logistics 3,788 1,288 66 5,142 3,367 190   13 33 17 63
Leisure 3,416 3,787 260 7,463 1,907 102   27 147 115 289
Mining & metals 173 230 5 408 545 5   1 5 6
Oil and gas 953 159 60 1,172 2,157 248   3 3 31 37
Power utilities 4,228 406 6 4,640 6,960 1,182   9 11 1 21
Retail 6,497 1,746 150 8,393 4,682 416   21 29 68 118
Shipping 161 151 14 326 110 22   7 6 13
Water & waste 3,026 335 7 3,368 2,143 101   4 4 4 12
Total 325,224 46,833 5,096 377,153 132,012 5,014   632 1,043 1,759 3,434

 

(1)

As at 31 March 2023, £142.5 billion, 69%, of the total residential mortgages portfolio had Energy Performance Certificate (EPC) data available (31 December 2022 – £138.8 billion, 68%). Of which, 42% were rated as EPC A to C (31 December 2022 – 42%). EPC data source and limitations are provided on page 69 of the 2022 NatWest Group plc Climate-related Disclosures Report.

 

NatWest Group – Form 6-K Q1 Results 2023 

17  

 

 

Risk and capital management

Credit risk continued

Wholesale support schemes

The table below shows the sector split for the Bounce Bank Loan Scheme (BBLS) as well as associated debt split by stage. Associated debt refers to the non-BBLS lending to customers who also have BBLS lending.

 

  Gross carrying amount        
  BBL   Associated debt   ECL on associated debt
  Stage 1  Stage 2 Stage 3 Total   Stage 1  Stage 2 Stage 3 Total   Stage 1 Stage 2  Stage 3
31 March 2023 £m £m £m £m   £m £m £m £m   £m £m £m
Wholesale                           
Property  946 185 44 1,175   881 209 66 1,156   10 15 25
Financial institutions 22 4 26   9 2 11   1
Sovereign 5 1 6   1 1  
Corporate 2,904 587 354 3,845   2,316 809 129 3,254   26 55 71
Of which:                          
Agriculture 205 68 4 277   826 278 26 1,130   7 13 10
Airlines and aerospace 3 1 4   2 2  
Automotive 204 31 9 244   101 32 6 139   1 3 3
Chemicals 6 1 7   9 9  
Health 153 21 4 178   278 77 12 367   2 4 4
Industrials 120 19 5 144   79 18 4 101   1 2 3
Land transport & logistics 112 23 7 142   50 17 4 71   1 2 3
Leisure 427 101 26 554   329 154 24 507   5 12 13
Mining & metals 4 1 5   6 1 7  
Oil and gas 5 2 7   3 1 4  
Power utilities 3 1 4   3 3 1 7  
Retail 507 94 24 625   282 90 15 387   4 8 10
Shipping 2 2   1 3 4  
Water & waste 14 2 1 17   10 1 2 13  
Total 3,877 777 398 5,052   3,207 1,020 195 4,422   36 70 97
                           
31 December 2022                      
Wholesale                           
Property  1,029 197 51 1,277   908 217 61 1,186   10 15 27
Financial institutions 24 4 28   9 2 11   1
Sovereign 5 1 1 7   2 2  
Corporate 3,165 629 338 4,132   2,302 872 116 3,290   26 56 69
Of which:                          
Agriculture 221 74 4 299   819 297 22 1,138   6 14 11
Airlines and aerospace 3 1 4   1 1  
Automotive 221 34 10 265   100 37 5 142   1 2 3
Chemicals 6 1 7   9 1 10  
Health 165 23 4 192   271 92 9 372   2 4 4
Industrials 131 21 5 157   77 20 4 101   1 2 2
Land transport & logistics 122 25 8 155   51 16 4 71   1 2 3
Leisure 471 108 28 607   336 161 27 524   5 12 16
Mining & metals 5 1 6   5 1 6  
Oil and gas 6 1 7   2 2 4  
Power utilities 3 1 4   3 4 7  
Retail 554 102 26 682   283 94 14 391   4 7 10
Shipping 2 2   1 3 4  
Water & waste 15 2 1 18   10 3 13  
Total 4,223 831 390 5,444   3,221 1,091 177 4,489   36 71 97

 

NatWest Group – Form 6-K Q1 Results 2023 

18  

 

 

Risk and capital management

Credit risk continued

 

Personal – Balance sheet growth during Q1 2023 mainly reflected continued mortgage growth. Unsecured balances growth, primarily in credit cards, was driven by strong customer demand alongside disciplined credit risk appetite. Total ECL coverage increased. The increase in coverage was reflective of increased Stage 3 ECL on unsecured portfolios, mainly due to reduced write-off activity in the quarter. Stable good book coverage captures continued stable portfolio performance, while maintaining sufficient ECL coverage given increased inflationary and economic pressures on customers. Stage 2 balances increased as a result of the predicted rise in unemployment, therefore increasing IFRS 9 probability of defaults on a forward-looking basis.   

 

Wholesale – Balance sheet growth was driven by an increase in exposure to corporate and financial institutions sectors. Sector appetite continues to be reviewed regularly, with particular focus on sector clusters and sub-sectors that are vulnerable to inflationary pressures or deemed to represent a heightened risk. Repayment performance under COVID-19 UK Government lending schemes is closely tracked and the value of open accounts reduced in Q1 2023 driven by scheduled repayment activity and account closures. Exposures under the BBLS that benefit from the 100% UK Government guarantee account for the majority of remaining UK Government scheme exposures. BBLS customers with missed payments continued to rise during the quarter, and there was also a modest increase in Stage 3 exposures. Stage 2 ECL reduced significantly as a number of customers migrated back into Stage 1 due to the positive trends in underlying risk metrics, also leading to an increase in Stage 1 ECL. Stage 3 ECL reduced with write-offs and releases more than offsetting flows into default.

 

NatWest Group – Form 6-K Q1 Results 2023 

19  

 

 

Risk and capital management 

Capital, liquidity and funding risk

 

Introduction

Recent banking sector events (including those resulting from the rapid rise in global interest rates) have caused macroeconomic and market uncertainty. The future impact remains uncertain. NatWest Group takes a comprehensive approach to the management of capital, liquidity and funding, underpinned by frameworks, risk appetite and policies, to manage and mitigate capital, liquidity and funding risks. The framework ensures the tools and capability are in place to facilitate the management and mitigation of risk ensuring that NatWest Group operates within its regulatory requirements and risk appetite.

 

Key developments since 31 December 2022

 

CET1 ratio

The CET1 ratio increased by 20 basis points to 14.4%. The increase in CET1 ratio was due to a £0.7 billion increase in CET1 capital, partially offset by a £2.0 billion increase in RWAs.

 

The CET1 increase was mainly driven by an attributable profit for ordinary shareholders of £1.3 billion offset by:

 

     a foreseeable ordinary dividend accrual of £0.5 billion;

 

     a £0.1 billion decrease in the IFRS 9 transitional adjustment, primarily due to the annual update in the dynamic stage transition percentage and the end of transition on the static and historic stages; and

 

     other movements on reserves and regulatory adjustments.

 

Total RWAs

Total RWAs increased by £2.0 billion to £178.1 billion mainly reflecting:

 

     an increase in credit risk RWAs of £1.7 billion, primarily due to drawdowns and new facilities within Commercial & Institutional. This was partially offset by improved risk metrics within Commercial & Institutional.

 

     an increase in operational risk RWAs of £1.1 billion following the annual recalculation.

 

     a reduction in market risk RWAs of £0.8 billion primarily due to lower volatility than in Q4 2022, combined with the prospective adjustment of the VaR model that makes it more sensitive to recent market conditions and is capitalised as Risks Not In VaR RWAs.

 

UK leverage ratio

The leverage ratio remained static at 5.4%. There was a £0.7 billion increase in Tier 1 capital offset by a £8.9 billion increase in leverage exposure. The key driver in the leverage exposure was an increase in other financial assets.

 

Liquidity portfolio The liquidity portfolio decreased by £15.6 billion to £209.9 billion, with primary liquidity decreasing by £12.9 billion to £148.7 billion. The reduction in primary liquidity is driven by a decrease in deposits, share buybacks and an increase in lending. The reduction in secondary liquidity is due to a decrease in the pre-positioned collateral at the Bank of England.

 

 

NatWest Group – Form 6-K Q1 Results 2023 

20  

 

 

Risk and capital management

Capital, liquidity and funding risk continued

Maximum Distributable Amount (MDA) and Minimum Capital Requirements

NatWest Group is subject to minimum capital requirements relative to RWAs. The table below summarises the minimum capital requirements (the sum of Pillar 1 and Pillar 2A), and the additional capital buffers which are held in excess of the regulatory minimum requirements and are usable in stress.  

 

Where the CET1 ratio falls below the sum of the minimum capital and the combined buffer requirement, there is a subsequent automatic restriction on the amount available to service discretionary payments (including AT1 coupons), known as the MDA. Note that different requirements apply to individual legal entities or sub-groups and that the table shown does not reflect any incremental PRA buffer requirements, which are not disclosable.

 

The current capital position provides significant headroom above both our minimum requirements and our MDA threshold requirements.

 

Type CET1 Total Tier 1 Total capital
Pillar 1 requirements 4.5% 6.0% 8.0%
Pillar 2A  requirements 1.7% 2.3% 3.0%
Minimum Capital Requirements 6.2% 8.3% 11.0%
Capital conservation buffer 2.5% 2.5% 2.5%
Countercyclical capital buffer (1,2) 0.8% 0.8% 0.8%
MDA threshold (3) 9.5% n/a n/a
Overall capital requirement 9.5% 11.6% 14.3%
Capital ratios at 31 March 2023 14.4% 16.6% 19.6%
Headroom (4) 4.9% 5.0% 5.3%

 

(1) The Financial Policy Committee announced an increase in the UK CCyB rate from 1% to 2% effective from 5 July 2023.
(2) The Central Bank of Ireland (CBI) announced the CCyB on Irish exposures will increase from 0% to 0.5%, applicable from 15 June 2023 with a further increase to 1.0% from 24 November 2023. The CBI has been looking to gradually build-up the CCyB to a level of 1.5% when risk conditions are deemed to be neither elevated nor subdued.
(3) Pillar 2A requirements for NatWest Group are set as a variable amount with the exception of some fixed add-ons.
(4) The headroom does not reflect excess distributable capital and may vary over time.

 

Leverage ratios 

The table below summarises the minimum ratios of capital to leverage exposure under the binding PRA UK leverage framework applicable for NatWest Group.

 

Type CET1 Total Tier 1
Minimum ratio 2.44% 3.25%
Countercyclical leverage ratio buffer (1) 0.3% 0.3%
Total 2.74% 3.55%

 

(1) The countercyclical leverage ratio buffer is set at 35% of NatWest Group’s CCyB. As noted above the UK CCyB is anticipated to increase from 1% to 2% from 5 July 2023. Foreign exposures may be subject to different CCyB rates depending on the rates set in those jurisdictions.

 

NatWest Group – Form 6-K Q1 Results 2023 

21  

 

 

Risk and capital management

Capital, liquidity and funding risk continued

Capital and leverage ratios

The tables below set out the key capital and leverage ratios. NatWest Group is subject to the requirements set out in the UK CRR therefore capital and leverage ratios are being presented under these frameworks on a transitional basis.

 

  31 March 31 December 31 March
  2023 2022 2022
Capital adequacy ratios (1) % % %
CET1 14.4 14.2 15.2
Tier 1 16.6 16.4 17.4
Total 19.6 19.3 20.4
       
Capital £m £m £m
Tangible equity 26,646 25,482 28,571
       
Prudential valuation adjustment (284) (275) (297)
Deferred tax assets (835) (912) (769)
Own credit adjustments (45) (58) (27)
Pension fund assets (235) (227) (476)
Cash flow hedging reserve 2,556 2,771 1,113
Foreseeable ordinary dividends (1,479) (967) (1,096)
Adjustment for trust assets (2) (365) (365)
Foreseeable charges - on-market ordinary share buyback programme (507) (800) (527)
Adjustments under IFRS 9 transitional arrangements 220 361 403
Insufficient coverage for non-performing exposures (22) (18) (6)
Total deductions (996) (490) (1,682)
       
CET1 capital 25,650 24,992 26,889
       
Additional Tier 1 Capital 3,875 3,875 3,875
Tier 1 capital 29,525 28,867 30,764
       
End-point Tier 2 capital  5,402 4,978 5,067
Grandfathered instrument transitional arrangements 75 75 213
Tier 2 capital 5,477 5,053 5,280
       
Total regulatory capital 35,002 33,920 36,044
       
Risk-weighted assets      
Credit risk 143,729 141,963 140,377
Counterparty credit risk 6,661 6,723 8,776
Market risk 7,547 8,300 8,550
Operational risk 20,198 19,115 19,115
Total RWAs 178,135 176,101 176,818

 

(1) Based on current PRA rules, therefore includes the transitional relief on grandfathered capital instruments and the transitional arrangements for the capital impact of IFRS 9 expected credit loss (ECL) accounting. The impact of the IFRS 9 transitional adjustments at 31 March 2023 was £0.2 billion for CET1 capital, £29 million for total capital and £37 million RWAs (31 December 2022 - £0.4 billion CET1 capital, £36 million total capital and £71 million RWAs; 31 March 2022 - £0.4 billion CET1 capital, £44 billion total capital and £28 million RWAs). Excluding these adjustments, the CET1 ratio would be 14.3% (31 December 2022 – 14.0%; 31 March 2022 – 15.0%). The transitional relief on grandfathered instruments at 31 March 2023 was £0.1 billion (31 December 2022 - £0.1 billion; 31 March 2022 - £0.2 billion). Excluding both the transitional relief on grandfathered capital instruments and the transitional arrangements for the capital impact of IFRS 9 expected credit loss (ECL) accounting, the end-point Tier 1 capital ratio would be 16.5% (31 December 2022 – 16.2%; 31 March 2022 – 17.2%) and the end-point Total capital ratio would be 19.6% (31 December 2022 – 19.2%, 31 March 2022 – 20.2%).
(2) Prudent deduction in respect of agreement with the pension fund to establish new legal structure.

 

NatWest Group – Form 6-K Q1 Results 2023 

22  

 

 

Risk and capital management

Capital, liquidity and funding risk continued

Capital and leverage ratios continued

 

  31 March 31 December 31 March
  2023 2022 2022
Leverage £m £m £m
Cash and balances at central banks 123,399 144,832 168,783
Trading assets 50,457 45,577 64,950
Derivatives 79,420 99,545 100,013
Financial assets 413,998 404,374 416,677
Other assets 22,067 18,864 25,750
Assets of disposal groups 6,283 6,861 9,225
Total assets 695,624 720,053 785,398
Derivatives      
- netting and variation margin (79,252) (100,356) (100,386)
- potential future exposures 16,981 18,327 21,412
Securities financing transactions gross up 1,880 4,147 2,838
Other off balance sheet items 45,178 46,144 43,986
Regulatory deductions and other adjustments (11,865) (7,114) (16,310)
Claims on central banks (119,981) (141,144) (165,408)
Exclusion of bounce back loans (5,052) (5,444) (7,112)
UK leverage exposure 543,513 534,613 564,418
UK leverage ratio (%) (1) 5.4 5.4 5.5

 

(1) The UK leverage exposure and transitional Tier 1 capital are calculated in accordance with current PRA rules. Excluding the IFRS 9 transitional adjustment, the UK leverage ratio would be 5.4% (31 December 2022 – 5.3%; 31 March 2022 – 5.4%).

 

Capital flow statement 

The table below analyses the movement in CET1, AT1 and Tier 2 capital for the three months ended 31 March 2023. It is presented on a transitional basis based on current PRA rules.

 

  CET1 AT1 Tier 2 Total
  £m £m £m £m
At 31 December 2022 24,992 3,875 5,053 33,920
Attributable profit for the period 1,279 1,279
Foreseeable ordinary dividends (512) (512)
Foreign exchange reserve (66) (66)
FVOCI reserve 64 64
Own credit 13 13
Share capital and reserve movements in respect of employee share schemes 56 56
Goodwill and intangibles deduction (55) (55)
Deferred tax assets 77 77
Prudential valuation adjustments (9) (9)
Net dated subordinated debt instruments 386 386
Foreign exchange movements (60) (60)
Adjustment under IFRS 9 transitional arrangements (141) (141)
Other movements (48) 98 50
At 31 March 2023 25,650 3,875 5,477 35,002

 

The CET1 increase was primarily due to the attributable profit of £1.3 billion, offset by foreseeable ordinary dividend of £0.5 billion, a £0.1 billion decrease in the IFRS 9 transitional adjustment and other movements in reserves and regulatory adjustments in the period.

 

The Tier 2 movements include €700 million 5.763% Fixed to Fixed Reset Tier 2 Notes 2034 issued in February 2023 and the derecognition of the £0.2 billion in respect of the cash tender offer for the outstanding 5.125% Subordinated Tier 2 Notes 2024 announced in March 2023. Within Tier 2, there was also a £0.1 billion increase in the Tier 2 surplus provisions.

 

NatWest Group – Form 6-K Q1 Results 2023 

23  

 

 

Risk and capital management

Capital, liquidity and funding risk continued

Risk-weighted assets

The table below analyses the movement in RWAs during the period, by key drivers.

 

    Counterparty   Operational  
  Credit risk credit risk Market risk  risk Total
  £bn £bn £bn £bn £bn
At 31 December 2022 142.0 6.7 8.3 19.1 176.1
Foreign exchange movement (0.4) (0.4)
Business movement 2.9 (0.8) 1.1 3.2
Risk parameter changes (0.3) (0.3)
Methodology changes 
Model updates (0.3) (0.3)
Acquisitions and disposals (0.2) (0.2)
At 31 March 2023 143.7 6.7 7.5 20.2 178.1

 

The table below analyses segmental RWAs.

 

          Total
  Retail Private Commercial & Central items NatWest
  Banking Banking Institutional & other (1) Group
Total RWAs £bn £bn £bn £bn £bn
At 31 December 2022 54.7 11.2 103.2 7.0 176.1
Foreign exchange movement (0.4) (0.4)
Business movement 0.9 0.2 2.6 (0.5) 3.2
Risk parameter changes  (0.3) (0.3)
Methodology changes 
Model updates (0.3) (0.3)
Acquisitions and disposals (0.2) (0.2)
At 31 March 2023 55.6 11.4 104.8 6.3 178.1
           
Credit risk 48.0 10.0 80.2 5.5 143.7
Counterparty credit risk 0.2 6.5 6.7
Market risk 0.2 7.3 7.5
Operational risk 7.2 1.4 10.8 0.8 20.2
Total RWAs 55.6 11.4 104.8 6.3 178.1

 

(1) £4.6 billion of Central items & other relates to Ulster Bank RoI.

 

Total RWAs increased by £2.0 billion to £178.1 billion during the period mainly reflecting:

 

An increase in business movements totalling £3.2 billion, primarily driven by increased drawdowns and new facilities within Commercial & Institutional in addition to increased RWAs following the annual recalculation of operational risk. This is partially offset by a reduction in market risk driven by reduced market volatility.

 

A decrease in risk parameters of £0.3 billion, reflecting improved risk metrics within Commercial & Institutional.

 

A decrease in model updates of £0.3 billion, primarily reflecting a reduction in the IRB model adjustments following the new regulations at 1 January 2022.

 

Disposals relating to the phased withdrawal from the Republic of Ireland, reducing RWAs by £0.2 billion.

 

NatWest Group – Form 6-K Q1 Results 2023 

24  

 

 

Risk and capital management

Capital, liquidity and funding risk continued

Liquidity portfolio

The table below shows the liquidity portfolio by product, with primary liquidity aligned to internal stressed outflow coverage and regulatory liquidity coverage ratio (LCR) categorisation. Secondary liquidity comprises assets eligible for discount at central banks, which do not form part of the liquid asset portfolio for LCR or internal stressed outflow coverage purposes.

 

  Liquidity value
  31 March 2023   31 December 2022   31 March 2022
  NatWest   NatWest   NatWest
  Group (1)   Group   Group 
  £m   £m   £m
Cash and balances at central banks  120,136   140,820   166,176
AAA to AA- rated governments 25,454   18,589   31,385
A+ and lower rated governments 935   317   105
Government guaranteed issuers, public sector entities and government sponsored entities 174   134   266
International organisations and multilateral development banks 1,995   1,734   3,087
LCR level 1 bonds 28,558   20,774   34,843
LCR level 1 assets 148,694   161,594   201,019
LCR level 2 assets     121
Non-LCR eligible assets    
Primary liquidity  148,694   161,594   201,140
Secondary liquidity (2) 61,196   63,917   73,370
Total liquidity value 209,890   225,511   274,510

 

(1) NatWest Group includes the UK Domestic Liquidity Sub-Group (NWB Plc, RBS plc and Coutts & Co), NatWest Markets Plc and other significant operating subsidiaries that hold liquidity portfolios. These include The Royal Bank of Scotland International Limited, NWM N.V. and Ulster Bank Ireland DAC who hold managed portfolios that comply with local regulations that may differ from PRA rules.
(2)

Comprises assets eligible for discounting at the Bank of England and other central banks.

 

NatWest Group – Form 6-K Q1 Results 2023 

25  

 

 

Condensed consolidated income statement

for the period ended 31 March 2023 (unaudited)

 

  Quarter ended
  31 March 31 December 31 March
  2023 2022 2022
  £m £m £m
Interest receivable 4,501 4,046 2,430
Interest payable (1,599) (1,178) (403)
Net interest income  2,902 2,868 2,027
Fees and commissions receivable 740 770 693
Fees and commissions payable (157) (155) (149)
Income from trading activities 333 164 362
Other operating income  58 61 75
Non-interest income 974 840 981
Total income 3,876 3,708 3,008
Staff costs (1,040) (1,029) (901)
Premises and equipment (286) (292) (251)
Other administrative expenses (450) (597) (471)
Depreciation and amortisation (212) (220) (197)
Operating expenses (1,988) (2,138) (1,820)
Profit before impairment losses/releases 1,888 1,570 1,188
Impairment (losses)/releases (70) (144) 36
Operating profit before tax 1,818 1,426 1,224
Tax charge (512) (46) (386)
Profit from continuing operations 1,306 1,380 838
Profit/(loss) from discontinued operations, net of tax (1) 35 (56) 63
Profit for the period 1,341 1,324 901
       
Attributable to:      
Ordinary shareholders 1,279 1,262 841
Paid-in equity holders 61 61 59
Non-controlling interests 1 1 1
  1,341 1,324 901
       
Earnings per ordinary share - continuing operations 12.8p 13.7p 7.5p
Earnings per ordinary share - discontinued operations 0.4p (0.6p) 0.6p
Total earnings per share attributable to ordinary shareholders - basic 13.2p 13.1p 8.1p
Earnings per ordinary share - fully diluted continuing operations 12.8p 13.6p 7.4p
Earnings per ordinary share - fully diluted discontinued operations 0.4p (0.6p) 0.6p
Total earnings per share attributable to ordinary shareholders - fully diluted 13.2p 13.0p 8.0p

 

(1) The results of discontinued operations, comprising the post-tax profit, are shown as a single amount on the face of the income statement. An analysis of this amount is presented in Note 2 on page 30.
(2)

On 30 August 2022 the issued ordinary share capital was consolidated in the ratio of 14 existing shares for 13 new shares.  The number of shares for earnings per share has been adjusted retrospectively.

 

NatWest Group – Form 6-K Q1 Results 2023 

26  

 

 

Condensed consolidated statement of comprehensive income

for the period ended 31 March 2023 (unaudited)

 

    Quarter ended
    31 March 31 December 31 March
    2023 2022 2022
    £m £m £m
Profit for the period   1,341 1,324 901
Items that do not qualify for reclassification        
Remeasurement of retirement benefit schemes (1)   (39) (158) (508)
Changes in fair value of credit in financial liabilities designated at fair value through profit or loss (FVTPL)    (6) (52) 39
Fair value through other comprehensive income (FVOCI) financial assets   43 17 9
Tax (1)   (2) 51 122
    (4) (142) (338)
Items that do qualify for reclassification         
FVOCI financial assets   40 (6) (238)
Cash flow hedges   298 701 (983)
Currency translation   (59) (117) 35
Tax   (98) (192) 339
    181 386 (847)
Other comprehensive income/(loss) after tax   177 244 (1,185)
Total comprehensive income/(loss) for the period   1,518 1,568 (284)
         
Attributable to:        
Ordinary shareholders   1,456 1,506 (345)
Paid-in equity holders   61 61 59
Non-controlling interests   1 1 2
    1,518 1,568 (284)

 

(1) Following the purchase of ordinary shares from UKGI in Q1 2022, NatWest Group contributed £500 million to its main pension scheme in line with the memorandum of understanding announced on 17 April 2018. After tax relief, this contribution reduced total equity by £365 million.

 

NatWest Group – Form 6-K Q1 Results 2023 

27  

 

 

Condensed consolidated balance sheet as at 31 March 2023 (unaudited)

 

  31 March 31 December
2023 2022
  £m £m 
Assets    
Cash and balances at central banks 123,399 144,832
Trading assets 50,457 45,577
Derivatives 79,420 99,545
Settlement balances 6,057 2,572
Loans to banks - amortised cost 7,893 7,139
Loans to customers - amortised cost 374,214 366,340
Other financial assets 31,891 30,895
Intangible assets 7,171 7,116
Other assets 8,839 9,176
Assets of disposal groups 6,283 6,861
Total assets 695,624 720,053
     
Liabilities    
Bank deposits  20,880 20,441
Customer deposits 430,537 450,318
Settlement balances 6,674 2,012
Trading liabilities 57,724 52,808
Derivatives 73,770 94,047
Other financial liabilities 52,926 49,107
Subordinated liabilities 6,854 6,260
Notes in circulation 3,206 3,218
Other liabilities 5,337 5,346
Total liabilities 657,908 683,557
     
Equity    
Ordinary shareholders’ interests 33,817 32,598
Other owners’ interests 3,890 3,890
Owners’ equity 37,707 36,488
Non-controlling interests 9 8
Total equity 37,716 36,496
Total liabilities and equity 695,624 720,053

 

NatWest Group – Form 6-K Q1 Results 2023 

28  

 

 

Condensed consolidated statement of changes in equity

for the period ended 31 March 2023 (unaudited)

 

  Share             
  capital and       Total Non  
  statutory Paid-in Retained Other owners’ controlling Total 
  reserves (1) equity earnings reserves* equity  interests equity
  £m £m £m £m £m £m £m
At 1 January 2023 13,093 3,890 10,019 9,486 36,488 8 36,496
Profit attributable to ordinary shareholders and other equity owners                
      - continuing operations     1,305   1,305 1 1,306
      - discontinued operations     35   35 35
Other comprehensive income              
  - Remeasurement of retirement benefit schemes      (39)   (39)   (39)
  - Changes in fair value of credit in financial liabilities designated at FVTPL due to own credit risk     (6)   (6)   (6)
  - Unrealised gains: FVOCI       70 70   70
  - Amounts recognised in equity: cash flow hedges       230 230   230
  - Foreign exchange reserve movement       (59) (59) (59)
  - Amount transferred from equity to earnings       81 81   81
  - Tax      9 (109) (100)   (100)
Paid-in equity dividends paid     (61)   (61)   (61)
Shares repurchased during the period (2)   (293)   (293)   (293)
Shares issued under employee share schemes during the period     7   7   7
Share-based payments      (5)   (5)   (5)
Movement in own shares held  54       54   54
At 31 March 2023 13,147 3,890 10,971 9,699 37,707 9 37,716
               
              31 March
              2023
Attributable to:         £m
Ordinary shareholders             33,817
Paid-in equity holders             3,890
Non-controlling interests             9
              37,716
*Other reserves consist of:            
Merger reserve             10,881
FVOCI reserve             (38)
Cash flow hedging reserve             (2,556)
Foreign exchange reserve             1,412
              9,699

 

(1) Share capital and statutory reserves includes share capital, share premium, capital redemption reserve and own shares held.
(2) NatWest Group plc repurchased and cancelled 114.0 million shares for total consideration of £306.7 million excluding fees in Q1 2023 as part of the on-market share buyback programme. Of the 114.0 million shares bought back, 7.4 million shares were settled and cancelled in April 2023.

 

NatWest Group – Form 6-K Q1 Results 2023 

29  

 

 

Notes 

1. Presentation of condensed consolidated financial statements

The condensed consolidated financial statements should be read in conjunction with NatWest Group plc’s 2022 Annual Report on Form 20-F. The accounting policies are the same as those applied in the consolidated financial statements.

 

The directors have prepared the condensed consolidated financial statements on a going concern basis after assessing the principal risks, forecasts, projections and other relevant evidence over the twelve months from the date they are approved.

 

Comparative period results have been re-presented from those previously published to reclassify certain items as discontinued operations. For further details refer to Note 2 below.

 

Amendments to IFRS effective from 1 January 2023 had no material effect on the condensed consolidated financial statements.

 

2. Discontinued operations and assets and liabilities of disposal groups

Three legally binding agreements for the sale of UBIDAC business have been announced as part of the phased withdrawal from the Republic of Ireland. Material developments since year end 2022 are set out below.

 

Agreement with Allied Irish Banks, p.l.c. (AIB) for the transfer of performing commercial loans.

Successful migration of a further two tranches of performing commercial loans to AIB was completed during Q1 2023, with a cumulative €2.3 billion of gross performing loans being fully migrated by the end of the quarter. It is expected that remaining migrations will be materially completed by the end of H1 2023. Colleagues who are wholly or mainly assigned to supporting this part of the business have continued to transfer to AIB under Transfer of Undertakings, Protection of Employment (TUPE) arrangements. Losses on disposal of €13 million have been recognised in respect of the migrations completed during Q1 2023 (Q4 2022 - €47 million; Q1 2022 - nil).

 

Agreement with Permanent TSB Group Holdings p.l.c. (PTSB) for the sale of performing non-tracker mortgages, the performing loans in the micro-SME business, the UBIDAC Asset Finance business, including its Lombard digital platform, and 25 Ulster Bank branch locations in the Republic of Ireland.

During Q1 2023, c.€160 million of performing micro-SME loans and 25 branches were transferred to PTSB. The remaining performing non-tracker mortgages, micro-SME loans, Lombard Asset Finance business and all remaining eligible colleagues who will move under TUPE regulations, are also expected to transfer during 2023.

 

Agreement with AIB for the sale of performing tracker and linked mortgages.

In January 2023 the Competition and Consumer Protection Commission (CCPC) granted approval for the portfolio sale of performing tracker and linked mortgages to AIB. Completion of this sale is still expected to occur in Q2 2023.

 

The business activities relating to these sales that meet the requirements of IFRS 5 are presented as a discontinued operation and as a disposal group. Comparatives have been re-presented from those previously published to reclassify certain items as discontinued operations. This has resulted in a re-presentation of Q1 2022 comparatives: a reduction in operating profit before tax from continuing operations of £21 million and an increase in profit from discontinued operations of £21 million. Total profit for the period remains unchanged. Ulster Bank RoI continuing operations are now reported within NatWest Group Central items & other.

 

(a)Profit/(loss) from discontinued operations, net of tax

 

  Quarter ended 
  31 March 31 December 31 March
  2023 2022 2022
  £m £m £m
Interest receivable 15 17 78
Net interest income 15 17 78
Non-interest income 17 (63)
Total income 32 (46) 78
Operating expenses (4) (3) (11)
Profit/(loss) before impairment releases/losses 28 (49) 67
Impairment releases/(losses) 7 (7) (4)
Operating profit/(loss) before tax 35 (56) 63
Tax charge
Profit/(loss) from discontinued operations, net of tax 35 (56) 63

 

NatWest Group – Form 6-K Q1 Results 2023 

30  

 

 

Notes

2. Discontinued operations and assets and liabilities of disposal groups continued

(b)Assets and liabilities of disposal groups

 

    As at 
    31 March 31 December
    2023 2022
    £m £m
Assets of disposal groups      
Loans to customers - amortised cost   1,152 1,458
Other financial assets - loans to customers at fair value through profit or loss   5,131 5,397
Other assets   6
    6,283 6,861
       
Liabilities of disposal groups      
Other liabilities   9 15
    9 15
       
Net assets of disposal groups   6,274 6,846

 

3. Litigation and regulatory matters

NatWest Group plc’s 2022 Annual Report on Form 20-F, issued on 17 February 2023, included disclosures about NatWest Group's litigation and regulatory matters in Note 26. Set out below are the material developments in those matters (all of which have been previously disclosed) since publication of the 2022 Annual Report on Form 20-F.

 

Litigation

FX litigation

NWM Plc, NWMSI and/or NatWest Group plc are defendants in several cases relating to NWM Plc’s foreign exchange (FX) business. In 2015, NWM Plc paid US$255 million to settle the consolidated antitrust class action filed in the United States District Court for the Southern District of New York (SDNY) on behalf of persons who entered into over-the-counter FX transactions with defendants or who traded FX instruments on exchanges. In 2018, some members of the settlement class who opted out of that class action settlement filed their own non-class complaint in the SDNY asserting antitrust claims against NWM Plc, NWMSI and other banks.

 

In April 2019, some of the claimants in the opt-out case described above, as well as others, served proceedings in the High Court of Justice of England and Wales, asserting competition claims against NWM Plc and several other banks. The claim was transferred from the High Court of Justice of England and Wales in December 2021 and registered in the UK Competition Appeal Tribunal (CAT) in January 2022. In March 2023, NWM Plc entered into an agreement to resolve both the SDNY and CAT cases. The settlement amount paid by NWM Plc was covered by an existing provision.

 

In the FX-related class action in the SDNY on behalf of ‘consumers and end-user businesses’, the court granted the defendants’ motion for summary judgment on 30 March 2023, dismissing the plaintiffs’ claims. The court’s decision granting summary judgment, as well as a prior decision denying class certification in the case, are subject to appeal by the plaintiffs.

 

In December 2021, a claim was issued in the Netherlands against NatWest Group plc, NWM Plc and NWM N.V. by Stichting FX Claims on behalf of a number of claimants, seeking a declaration from the court that anti-competitive FX market conduct described in decisions of the European Commission (EC) of 16 May 2019 is unlawful, along with unspecified damages. The claimants amended their claim to also refer to a December 2021 decision by the EC, which also described anti-competitive FX market conduct. The defendants contested the jurisdiction of the Dutch court. In March 2023, the district court in Amsterdam accepted that it has jurisdiction to hear claims against NWM N.V. but refused jurisdiction to hear any claims against the other defendant banks (including NatWest Group plc and NWM Plc) unless the claimants are domiciled in the Netherlands. Only certain of the claimants are so domiciled and are therefore permitted to continue with their claims against all defendants, including NatWest Group plc and NWM Plc. The claimants have until the end of June 2023 to appeal that decision.

 

Madoff

NWM N.V. was named as a defendant in two actions filed by the trustee for the bankrupt estates of Bernard L. Madoff and Bernard L. Madoff Investment Securities LLC, in bankruptcy court in New York, which together seek to clawback more than US$298 million that NWM N.V. allegedly received from certain Madoff feeder funds and certain swap counterparties. The claims were previously dismissed, but as a result of an August 2021 decision by the United States Court of Appeals for the Second Circuit, they will now proceed in the bankruptcy court, where they have been consolidated into one action, subject to NWM N.V.’s legal and factual defences. In May 2022, NWM N.V. filed a motion to dismiss the amended complaint in the consolidated action and such motion was denied in March 2023. As a result, the claims will now enter the discovery phase.

 

NatWest Group – Form 6-K Q1 Results 2023 

31  

 

 

Notes

3. Litigation and regulatory matters continued

1MDB litigation

A Malaysian court claim was served in Switzerland in November 2022 by 1MDB, a Sovereign Wealth Fund, in which Coutts & Co Ltd was named, along with six others, as a defendant in respect of losses allegedly incurred by 1MDB. It was claimed that Coutts & Co Ltd is liable as a constructive trustee for having dishonestly assisted the directors of 1MDB in the breach of their fiduciary duties by failing (amongst other alleged claims) to undertake due diligence in relation to a customer of Coutts & Co Ltd, through which funds totalling c.US$1 billion were received and paid out between 2009 and 2011. The claimant sought the return of that amount plus interest. Coutts & Co Ltd filed an application in January 2023 challenging the validity of service and the Malaysian court’s jurisdiction to hear the claim.

 

On 20 April 2023, the claimant filed a notice of discontinuance of its claim against certain defendants including Coutts & Co Ltd. The claimant has subsequently indicated that it intends to issue further replacement proceedings. In that event, Coutts & Co Ltd will challenge the claimant’s ability to take that step and the Malaysian Court has provisionally scheduled a hearing on 15 June 2023 to consider the validity of any new proceedings.

 

Coutts & Co Ltd is a company registered in Switzerland and is in wind-down following the announced sale of its business assets in 2015.

 

4. Post balance sheet events

Other than as disclosed there have been no significant events between 31 March 2023 and the date of approval of these accounts that would require a change to or additional disclosure in the condensed consolidated financial statements.

 

Additional information

Other financial data

The following table shows NatWest Group’s issued and fully paid share capital, owners’ equity and indebtedness on a consolidated basis in accordance with IFRS as at 31 March 2023.

 

 

As at
31 March

2023

  £m
Share capital - allotted, called up and fully paid  
Ordinary shares of £1 10,424
Retained income and other reserves 27,283
Owners’ equity 37,707
   
NatWest Group indebtedness  
Trading liabilities  - debt securities in issue 789
Other financial liabilities – debt securities in issue 51,936
Subordinated liabilities 6,854
Total indebtedness 59,579
Total capitalisation and indebtedness 97,286

 

Under IFRS, certain preference shares are classified as debt and are included in subordinated liabilities in the table above.

 

The information contained in the table above has not changed materially since 31 March 2023.

 

NatWest Group – Form 6-K Q1 Results 2023 

32  

 

 

 

 

Appendix

 

Non-IFRS financial measures

 

 

 

Non-IFRS financial measures

NatWest Group prepares its financial statements in accordance with UK-adopted International Accounting Standards (IAS) and International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS). This document contains a number of non-IFRS measures, also known as alternative performance measures, defined under the European Securities and Markets Authority guidance or non-GAAP financial measures in accordance with SEC regulations. These measures are adjusted for notable and other defined items which management believes are not representative of the underlying performance of the business and which distort period-on-period comparison.

 

The non-IFRS measures provide users of the financial statements with a consistent basis for comparing business performance between financial periods and information on elements of performance that are one-off in nature. The non-IFRS measures also include a calculation of metrics that are used throughout the banking industry.

 

These non-IFRS measures are not a substitute for IFRS measures and a reconciliation to the closest IFRS measure is presented where appropriate.

 

1. Income excluding notable items

Income excluding notable items is calculated as total income less notable items.

 

The exclusion of notable items aims to remove the impact of one-offs and other items which may distort period-on-period comparisons.

 

  Quarter ended 
  31 March 31 December 31 March
  2023 2022 2022
  £m £m £m
Continuing operations      
Total income 3,876 3,708 3,008
Less notable items      
   Commercial & Institutional       
      Own credit adjustments (OCA) 6 (19) 18
   Central items & other      
      Loss on redemption of own debt (24)
      Effective interest rate adjustment as a result of redemption of own debt (41)
      Profit from insurance liabilities 92
      Liquidity Asset Bond sale (losses)/gains (13) 41
      Share of associate (losses)/profits for Business Growth Fund (12) 7 23
      Interest and FX risk management derivatives not in accounting hedge relationships 75 (46) 166
      Ulster Bank RoI mortgage fair value adjustments (51)
  56 (58) 224
Income excluding notable items 3,820 3,766 2,784

 

NatWest Group – Form 6-K Q1 Results 2023 

34  

 

 

Non-IFRS financial measures continued

2. Operating expenses - management view

The management analysis of operating expenses shows litigation and conduct costs on a separate line. These amounts are included within staff costs and other administrative expenses in the statutory analysis. Other operating expenses excludes litigation and conduct costs, which are more volatile and may distort period-on-period comparisons.

 

Statutory analysis      
  Quarter ended
  31 March 31 December 31 March
  2023 2022 2022
  £m  £m  £m 
Staff costs 1,040 1,029 901
Premises and equipment 286 292 251
Other administrative expenses 450 597 471
Depreciation and amortisation 212 220 197
Total operating expenses 1,988 2,138 1,820
   
Non-statutory analysis  
   
  Quarter ended
  31 March 2023
  Litigation and Other Statutory
  conduct operating operating
  costs expenses expenses
  £m £m £m
Continuing operations      
Staff costs 14 1,026 1,040
Premises and equipment 286 286
Other administrative expenses 42 408 450
Depreciation and amortisation 212 212
Total  56 1,932 1,988
       
  Quarter ended
  31 December 2022
  Litigation and Other Statutory
  conduct operating operating
  costs expenses expenses
  £m £m £m
Continuing operations      
Staff costs 16 1,013 1,029
Premises and equipment 292 292
Other administrative expenses 75 522 597
Depreciation and amortisation 220 220
Total  91 2,047 2,138
       
  Quarter ended
  31 March 2022
  Litigation and Other Statutory
  conduct operating operating
  costs expenses expenses
  £m £m £m
Continuing operations      
Staff costs 7 894 901
Premises and equipment 251 251
Other administrative expenses 95 376 471
Depreciation and amortisation 197 197
Total  102 1,718 1,820

 

NatWest Group – Form 6-K Q1 Results 2023 

35  

 

 

Non-IFRS financial measures continued

3. Cost:income ratio (excl. litigation and conduct)

NatWest Group uses the cost:income ratio (excl. litigation and conduct) in the Outlook guidance. This is calculated as other operating expenses (operating expenses less litigation and conduct costs) divided by total income. Litigation and conduct costs are excluded as they are one-off in nature, difficult to forecast for Outlook purposes and distort period-on-period comparisons.

 

The calculation of the cost:income ratio (excl. litigation and conduct) is shown below, along with a comparison to cost:income ratio using total operating expenses.

 

          Total
  Retail Private Commercial &  Central items  NatWest
  Banking Banking Institutional & other Group
Quarter ended 31 March 2023 £m £m £m £m £m
Continuing operations          
Operating expenses 696 155 1,003 134 1,988
Less litigation and conduct costs (3) (3) (44) (6) (56)
Other operating expenses 693 152 959 128 1,932
           
Total income 1,604 296 1,953 23 3,876
           
Cost:income ratio  43.4% 52.4% 51.4% nm 51.3%
Cost:income ratio (excl. litigation and conduct) 43.2% 51.4% 49.1% nm 49.8%
           
Quarter ended 31 December 2022          
Continuing operations          
Operating expenses 658 198 1,031 251 2,138
Less litigation and conduct costs 12 (10) (42) (51) (91)
Other operating expenses 670 188 989 200 2,047
           
Total income 1,617 310 1,819 (38) 3,708
           
Cost:income ratio  40.7% 63.9% 56.7% nm 57.7%
Cost:income ratio (excl. litigation and conduct) 41.4% 60.6% 54.4% nm 55.2%
           
Quarter ended 31 March 2022          
Continuing operations          
Operating expenses 645 139 922 114 1,820
Less litigation and conduct costs (54) (1) (42) (5) (102)
Other operating expenses 591 138 880 109 1,718
           
Total income 1,217 216 1,375 200 3,008
           
Cost:income ratio  53.0% 64.4% 67.1% nm 60.5%
Cost:income ratio (excl. litigation and conduct) 48.6% 63.9% 64.0% nm 57.1%

 

4. NatWest Group return on tangible equity

Return on tangible equity comprises annualised profit or loss for the period attributable to ordinary shareholders divided by average tangible equity. Average tangible equity is average total equity excluding average non-controlling interests, average other owners’ equity and average intangible assets.

 

This measure shows the return NatWest Group generates on tangible equity deployed. It is used to determine relative performance of banks and used widely across the sector, although different banks may calculate the rate differently. A reconciliation is shown below including a comparison to the nearest GAAP measure, return on equity. This comprises profit attributable to ordinary shareholders divided by average total equity.

 

  Quarter ended or as at
  31 March 31 December 31 March
  2023 2022 2022
NatWest Group return on tangible equity  £m £m £m
Profit attributable to ordinary shareholders  1,279 1,262 841
Annualised profit attributable to ordinary shareholders  5,116 5,048 3,364
       
Average total equity  37,195 35,866 40,934
Adjustment for average other owners' equity and intangible assets  (11,319) (11,350) (11,067)
Adjusted total tangible equity  25,876 24,516 29,867
       
Return on equity 13.8% 14.1% 8.2%
Return on tangible equity 19.8% 20.6% 11.3%

 

NatWest Group – Form 6-K Q1 Results 2023 

36  

 

 

Non-IFRS financial measures continued

5. Segmental return on equity

Segmental return on equity comprises segmental operating profit or loss, adjusted for paid-in equity and preference share cost allocation and tax, divided by average notional equity. Average RWAe is defined as average segmental RWAs incorporating the effect of capital deductions. This is multiplied by an allocated equity factor for each segment to calculate the average notional equity.

 

This measure shows the return generated by operating segments on equity deployed.

 

  Quarter ended or as at
  Retail Private Commercial & 
Quarter ended 31 March 2023 Banking Banking Institutional
Operating profit (£m) 794 133 994
Paid-in equity cost allocation (£m) (15) (5) (44)
Adjustment for tax (£m) (218) (36) (238)
Adjusted attributable profit (£m) 561 92 713
Annualised adjusted attributable profit (£m) 2,244 369 2,850
Average RWAe (£bn) 55.4 11.2 104.0
Equity factor 13.5% 11.5% 14.0%
Average notional equity (£bn) 7.5 1.3 14.6
Return on equity 30.0% 28.5% 19.5%
       
Quarter ended 31 December 2022      
Operating profit (£m) 872 110 726
Paid-in equity cost allocation (£m) (20) (6) (46)
Adjustment for tax (£m) (239 (29) (170)
Adjusted attributable profit (£m) 613 75 510
Annualised adjusted attributable profit (£m) 2,454 300 2,040
Average RWAe (£bn) 54.4 11.2 106.0
Equity factor 13.0% 11.0% 14.0%
Average notional equity (£bn) 7.1 1.2 14.8
Return on equity 34.7% 24.2% 13.7%
       
Quarter ended 31 March 2022      
Operating profit (£m) 567 82 464
Preference share and paid-in equity cost allocation (£m) (20) (3) (46)
Adjustment for tax (£m) (153) (22) (105)
Adjusted attributable profit (£m) 394 57 314
Annualised adjusted attributable profit (£m) 1,575 228 1,254
Average RWAe (£bn) 52.6 11.4 102.0
Equity factor 13.0% 11.0% 14.0%
Average notional equity (£bn) 6.8 1.3 14.3
Return on equity 23.1% 18.2% 8.8%

 

NatWest Group – Form 6-K Q1 Results 2023 

37  

 

 

Non-IFRS financial measures continued

6. Bank net interest margin

Bank net interest margin is defined as annualised net interest income, as a percentage of bank average interest-earning assets. Bank average interest earning assets are the average interest earning assets of the banking business of NatWest Group excluding liquid asset buffer.

 

Liquid asset buffer consists of assets held by NatWest Group, such as cash and balances at central banks and debt securities in issue, that can be used to ensure repayment of financial obligations as they fall due. The exclusion of liquid asset buffer has been introduced as a way to present net interest margin on a basis more comparable with UK peers and exclude the impact of regulatory driven factors.

 

A reconciliation is shown below including a comparison to the nearest GAAP measure, net interest margin. This is net interest income as a percentage of average interest earning assets.

 

    Quarter ended
    31 March 31 December 31 March
    2023 2022 2022
    £m £m £m
Continuing operations        
NatWest Group net interest income    2,902 2,868 2,027
Annualised NatWest Group net interest income    11,769 11,378 8,221
         
Average interest earning assets (IEA)   522,393 538,584 543,697
Less liquid asset buffer average IEA    (162,409) (182,797) (208,764)
Bank average IEA    359,984 355,787 334,933
         
Net interest margin   2.25% 2.11% 1.51%
Bank net interest margin    3.27% 3.20% 2.45%

 

    Quarter ended
    31 March 31 December 31 March
    2023 2022 2022
Retail Banking   £m £m £m
Net interest income    1,492 1,505 1,112
Annualised net interest income   6,051 5,971 4,510
         
Retail Banking average IEA   220,323 217,790 204,071
Less liquid asset buffer average IEA   (18,259) (20,383) (18,540)
Adjusted Retail Banking average IEA   202,064 197,407 185,531
         
Retail Banking net interest margin   2.99% 3.02% 2.43%
         
Private Banking        
Net interest income    229 251 143
Annualised net interest income   929 996 580
         
Private Banking average IEA   28,091 29,140 29,192
Less liquid asset buffer average IEA   (8,878) (9,956) (10,325)
Adjusted Private Banking average IEA   19,213 19,184 18,867
         
Private Banking net interest margin   4.83% 5.19% 3.07%
         
Commercial & Institutional        
Net interest income    1,261 1,276 803
Annualised adjusted net interest income   5,114 5,062 3,257
         
Commercial & Institutional average IEA   198,872 201,329 197,548
Less liquid asset buffer average IEA   (67,601) (71,039) (76,563)
Adjusted Commercial & Institutional average IEA   131,271 130,290 120,985
         
Commercial & Institutional net interest margin   3.90% 3.89% 2.69%

 

NatWest Group – Form 6-K Q1 Results 2023 

38  

 

 

Non-IFRS financial measures continued

7. Tangible net asset value (TNAV) per ordinary share

TNAV per ordinary share is calculated as tangible equity divided by the number of ordinary shares in issue.

 

This is a measure used by external analysts in valuing the bank and allows for comparison with other per ordinary share metrics including the share price.

 

  As at
  31 March 31 December 31 March
  2023 2022 2022
Ordinary shareholders’ interests (£m) 33,817 32,598 35,345
Less intangible assets (£m) (7,171) (7,116) (6,774)
Tangible equity (£m) 26,646 25,482 28,571
       
Ordinary shares in issue (millions) (1) 9,581 9,659 10,622
       
TNAV per ordinary share (pence) 278p 264p 269p

 

(1) The number of ordinary shares in issue excludes own shares held.

 

8. Customer deposits excluding central items

Customer deposits excluding central items is calculated as total NatWest Group customer deposits excluding Central items & other customer deposits.

 

Central items & other includes Treasury repo activity and Ulster Bank RoI.  The exclusion of Central items & other removes the volatility relating to Treasury repo activity and the expected reduction of deposits as part of our withdrawal from the Republic of Ireland. These items may distort period-on-period comparisons and their removal gives the user of the financial statements a better understanding of the movements in customer deposits.  

 

  As at
  31 March 31 December 31 March
  2023 2022 2022
  £bn £bn £bn
Customer deposits 430.5 450.3 482.9
Less Central items & other (8.7) (17.4) (35.0)
Customer deposits excluding central items 421.8 432.9 447.9

 

9. Net loans to customers excluding central items

Net loans to customers excluding central items is calculated as total NatWest Group net loans to customers excluding Central items & other net loans to customers. 

 

Central items & other includes Treasury reverse repo activity and Ulster Bank RoI. The exclusion of Central items & other removes the volatility relating to Treasury reverse repo activity and the reduction of loans to customers over 2022 as part of our withdrawal from the Republic of Ireland. This allows for better period-on-period comparisons and gives the user of the financial statements a better understanding of the movements in net loans to customers. 

 

  As at
  31 March 31 December 31 March
  2023 2022 2022
  £bn £bn £bn
Net loans to customers (amortised cost) 374.2 366.3 365.3
Less Central items & other (21.8) (19.6) (35.1)
Net loans to customers excluding central items 352.4 346.7 330.2

 

10. Loan:deposit ratio (excl. repos and reverse repos)

Loan:deposit ratio (excl. repos and reverse repos) is calculated as net customer loans held at amortised cost excluding reverse repos divided by total customer deposits excluding repos. This is a common metric used to assess liquidity.

 

The removal of repos and reverse repos reduces volatility and presents the ratio on a basis that is comparable to UK peers. A reconciliation is shown below including a comparison to the nearest GAAP measure, loan:deposit ratio. This is calculated as net loans to customers held at amortised cost divided by customer deposits.

 

  As at
  31 March 31 December 31 March
  2023 2022 2022 (1)
  £m £m £m
Loans to customers - amortised cost  374,214 366,340 365,340
Less reverse repos (21,743) (19,749) (26,780)
  352,471 346,591 338,560
       
Customer deposits  430,537 450,318 482,887
Less repos (5,989) (9,828) (16,166)
  424,548 440,490 466,721
       
Loan:deposit ratio  87% 81% 76%
Loan:deposit ratio (excl. repos and reverse repos) 83% 79% 73%

 

(1) Re-presented.

 

NatWest Group – Form 6-K Q1 Results 2023 

39  

 

 

Non-IFRS financial measures continued

11. Loan impairment rate

Loan impairment rate is the annualised loan impairment charge divided by gross customer loans. This measure is used to assess the credit quality of the loan book.

 

  Quarter ended or as at
  31 March 31 December 31 March
  2023 2022 2022
Loan impairment charge/(release) (£m) 70 144 (36)
Annualised loan impairment charge/(release) (£m) 280 576 (144)
       
Gross customer loans (£bn) 377.6 369.7 368.9
       
Loan impairment rate  7bps 16bps (4)bps

 

12. Funded assets

Funded assets are calculated as total assets less derivative assets. This measure allows review of balance sheet trends exclusive of the volatility associated with derivative fair values.

 

  As at
  31 March 31 December 31 March
  2023 2022 2022
  £m £m £m
Total assets 695,624 720,053 785,398
Less derivative assets (79,420) (99,545) (100,013)
Funded assets 616,204 620,508 685,385

 

13. AUMAs

AUMAs comprises both assets under management (AUMs) and assets under administration (AUAs) serviced through the Private Banking segment. AUMs comprise assets where the investment management is undertaken by Private Banking on behalf of Private Banking, Retail Banking and Commercial & Institutional customers. AUAs comprise third party assets held on an execution-only basis in custody by Private Banking, Retail Banking and Commercial & Institutional for their customers, for which the execution services are supported by Private Banking. Private Banking receives a fee for providing investment management and execution services to Retail Banking and Commercial & Institutional business segments.

 

This measure is tracked and reported as the amount of funds that we manage or administer, directly impacts the level of investment income that we receive.

 

14. Net new money

Net new money refers to client cash inflows and outflows relating to investment products (this can include transfers from savings accounts). Net new money excludes the impact of European Economic Area (EEA) resident client outflows following the UK’s exit from the EU and Russian client outflows since Q1 2022.

 

Net new money is reported and tracked to monitor the business performance of new business inflows and management of existing client withdrawals across Private Banking, Retail Banking and Commercial & Institutional.

 

15. Wholesale funding

Wholesale funding comprises deposits by banks (excluding repos), debt securities in issue and subordinated liabilities.

 

Funding risk is the risk of not maintaining a diversified, stable and cost-effective funding base. The disclosure of wholesale funding highlights the extent of our diversification and how we mitigate funding risk.

 

16. Third party rates

Third party customer asset rate is calculated as annualised interest receivable on third-party loans to customers as a percentage of third-party loans to customers. This excludes assets of disposal groups, intragroup items, loans to banks and liquid asset portfolios. Third party customer funding rate reflects interest payable or receivable on third-party customer deposits, including interest bearing and non-interest bearing customer deposits. Intragroup items, bank deposits, debt securities in issue and subordinated liabilities are excluded for customer funding rate calculation.

 

These metrics help investors better understand our net interest margin and interest rate sensitivity.

 

Legal Entity Identifier: 2138005O9XJIJN4JPN90

 

NatWest Group – Form 6-K Q1 Results 2023 

40  

 

 

 

SIGNATURE

 

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned, thereunto duly authorised.

 

NatWest Group plc

Registrant

 

/s/ Katie Murray

Group Chief Financial Officer

28 April 2023

 

NatWest Group – Form 6-K Q1 Results 2023 

41  

 

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