U.S. Oil Prices Decline on Global Slowdown Fears
January 23 2019 - 5:22PM
Dow Jones News
By Dan Molinski and Christopher Alessi
--U.S. oil prices fell Wednesday as investors remained focused
on global economic-growth concerns and how a slowdown might put a
dent in demand for oil.
--West Texas Intermediate futures, the U.S. oil standard, ended
0.7% lower at $52.62 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.
Prices have fallen the past two sessions and three of the past four
sessions, though prices are still up 16% so far this year.
--Brent crude, the global oil benchmark, fell 0.6% to $61.14 a
barrel on London's Intercontinental Exchange.
HIGHLIGHTS
Global Economy: The bullish sentiment that bolstered the oil
market during the first three weeks of 2019 has largely taken a
breather this week. "Right now, the market is kind of keyed in to
growth risks stemming from U.S.-China trade talks, and a slow start
out of the gate for the U.S., given the government shutdown," said
Chris Kettenmann, chief energy strategist at Macro Risk Advisors.
He said that while prices have rallied off late 2018 lows given
short-covering and as agreed-on production cuts by OPEC nations
start to bite, "the market is now looking for a little more
clarification on issues like growth...to know where the market will
be going."
Davos: As government officials and business executives gather at
the World Economic Forum in Davos this week, the International
Monetary Fund warned of economic risks around the globe. "We saw
both doom and gloom coming out of Davos," said Phil Flynn at Price
Futures in Chicago. "Talk of slowdown fears are making the rounds."
Among the concerns being voiced at Davos are Britain's planned exit
from the European Union and a slowdown in the Chinese economy. The
IMF lowered its global economic-growth forecast for 2019 to 3.5%
from 3.7%.
U.S. Inventories: Investors will next focus on weekly data on
U.S. oil inventories that could show crude stockpiles start to
bearishly creep higher after trending slightly lower the past two
months. The Energy Information Administration is due Thursday to
release its weekly report on U.S. oil inventories. Analysts
surveyed by The Wall Street Journal expect, on average, to see a
600,000-barrel decline in crude stockpiles, but a hefty,
2.7-million-barrel rise in gasoline supplies. But the American
Petroleum Institute, an industry group, said late Wednesday that
its own data for the week showed a 6.6-million-barrel increase in
crude supplies, a 3.6-million-barrel rise in gasoline stocks and a
2.6-million-barrel increase in distillate inventories, according to
a market participant.
INSIGHT
OPEC+: The oil market has been bolstered since the start of 2019
by the implementation of production cuts by the Organization of the
Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies. OPEC and 10 producers
outside the oil cartel, led by Russia, agreed late in 2018 to
collectively hold back crude output by 1.2 million barrels a day
for the first half of 2019, to rein in a burgeoning supply glut and
boost prices.
Overall, the "OPEC+ production deal and healthy oil-demand
growth should keep the oil market balanced in 2019," UBS Wealth
Management analysts said in a note Wednesday. "While trade war
fears continue to unsettle financial markets, oil-demand growth has
remained healthy."
AHEAD
-- The EIA is due to release its weekly oil inventory report on
Thursday morning.
Write to Dan Molinski at Dan.Molinski@wsj.com and Christopher
Alessi at christopher.alessi@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
January 23, 2019 17:07 ET (22:07 GMT)
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