Oil Bounce Pushes Up Global Stocks
November 16 2018 - 7:01AM
Dow Jones News
By Christopher Whittall
A rally in oil prices helped steady markets in Europe and Asia
on Friday, even as Brexit loomed in the background.
Brent crude oil prices were up over 2% at $68.05 a barrel on
Friday. That put the global benchmark on track for its third
straight day of gains after steep falls earlier in the week sent it
into bear market territory, commonly defined as a 20% fall from a
recent peak.
U.S. futures pointed to an 0.5% decline for the S&P 500
after the index rose 1.1% on Thursday to snap a five-session losing
streak thanks to a rally in technology shares.
Investors in Europe remained sharply focused on the latest U.K.
political developments following several resignations from Prime
Minister Theresa May's government on Thursday. That caused European
stocks and the British pound to sink as concerns grew that the
U.K.'s plan to leave the European Union was unraveling.
The Stoxx Europe 600 was up 0.2% on Friday, buoyed by gains in
mining and energy shares. The British pound also stabilized after
there were no fresh resignations from the U.K. government, rising
0.2% against the dollar after notching its largest daily decline in
over two years on Thursday. But in one ominous sign, investors sold
U.K. bank stocks again, with shares in Royal Bank of Scotland PLC
down 2.9% after falling nearly 10% on Thursday.
Brexit "will remain very important for U.K. assets," said Salmam
Ahmed, chief investment strategist at Lombard Odier Asset
Management. Markets will likely "put pressure" on U.K. politicians
as they seek to come to an agreement on leaving the EU, he
added.
U.S. markets largely shrugged off Thursday's political headlines
in Europe, with most analysts seeing it as posing little risk to
the broader global economy.
But investors still appear skittish, as evidenced by large
intraday price swings in U.S. stock indexes in recent sessions.
That volatility has come amid dramatic swings in oil prices, a
slowdown in global growth, investors re-evaluating the outlook for
U.S. technology firms and concerns that U.S. company earnings may
have peaked.
Despite these headwinds, Mr. Ahmed said he doesn't expect a
sharp and prolonged downturn in stocks given his forecasts for
above-trend growth in much of the world next year.
"It's only been in very rare instances where risky assets go
into a proper bear market without a recession," said Mr. Ahmed.
"The underlying strong fundamentals mean that the probability of
a global recession next year is almost zero," he added.
In Asia, China's Shanghai Composite Index closed 0.4% higher,
while Korea's Kospi index advanced 0.2%. Japan's Nikkei Stock
Average fell 0.6%.
Bond markets were quiet Friday, with the yield on the 10-year
Treasury note little changed at 3.115%, according to Tradeweb.
Ten-year U.K. bond yields rose slightly after plunging in the
previous session as local investors sought havens.
In currencies, the WSJ Dollar Index, which measures the buck
against a basket of 16 other currencies, was flat.
Write to Christopher Whittall at
christopher.whittall@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
November 16, 2018 06:46 ET (11:46 GMT)
Copyright (c) 2018 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.