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Igor Kuchma

Silicon Valley Bank Collapse Hits Stock Markets

Mar 14 2023 @ 06:41
The collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and Silvergate Bank caused if not panic, then some concern about the implications among investors. The result was a substantial decrease in the major US stock indices, with the S&P 500 falling 4.8%, NASDAQ Composite losing over 5%, and Russell 2000 losing 8.0%. With the risk of a domino […]
 

The sky's the limit…

Mar 06 2023 @ 08:48
Big market price swings, uncertainty in the economy, and geopolitical tensions… nothing stopped Berkshire Hathaway from outperforming the S&P 500 index in 2022. What is the secret of Buffett’s fund, or is it simply the result of share buybacks? In reality, apart from buybacks, the company’s shares were helped by strong financial results and new […]
 

Geopolitics Puts Pressure On Markets

Feb 27 2023 @ 09:26
It was a busy week for the markets, especially in terms of geopolitics. First, Vladimir Putin announced the suspension of Russia’s participation in the New START nuclear arms reduction treaty with the United States, while threatening to resume nuclear tests if the United States does so first. Second, the president of the world’s leading economy, […]
 

Oil giants are diving in piles of cash

Feb 20 2023 @ 08:56
The global economic recovery from the pandemic and the rise in geopolitical tensions have eventually sparked a perfect storm for energy markets. For households, this meant a surge in costs and expenses. For oil producers, on the other hand, it became a lifetime opportunity. The five largest oil groups – TotalEnergies, ExxonMobil, Chevron, BP and […]
 

Machines Are Taking Over The World

Feb 13 2023 @ 08:54
Sorry, Cyberdyne Systems Model 101, also known as the Terminator, we are finally heading for an automation apocalypse. In this sense, the fast development of artificial intelligence could lead to dramatic changes in both technology and society. As for the latter, the list of occupations where algorithms could replace humans includes: data analysts, graphic designers, […]
 

Recession is no longer a looming threat?

Feb 07 2023 @ 05:48
Uncertainty remains, yet economists look to the future with optimism. The IMF now expects the world GDP to grow 2.9% in 2023, and then rise to 3.1% in 2024. The US Treasury Secretary is feeling better about avoiding a recession and getting the economy to a soft landing. On the inflation side, the picture is […]
 

The bottom is yet to come

Jan 30 2023 @ 09:08
The “Black Rabbit” did not bring certainty to the markets. Although inflationary pressures are slowing and central banks seem increasingly willing to slow the rate hikes, analysts remain bearish in their forecasts. Most bankers anticipate further challenges for US equities as a result of the economic and labor slowdown. The fact that the risk premium […]
 

The year of fixed income?

Jan 23 2023 @ 08:42
So far this year, the yield on the US 10-year Treasury bond has fallen by more than 9%, while Germany’s has fallen by nearly 10% and France’s by 12%. The question then becomes, what are the inflows into fixed income due to? Has the economic outlook brightened? Actually, yes. Although eurozone growth is expected to […]
 

Euro or US Dollar?

Jan 16 2023 @ 06:58
On the back of smaller Fed rate hike expectations, the EUR/USD pair surged over 11% over the past three months. Against the Swiss franc, the European currency even returned to parity for the first time since July. Wells Fargo strategist Erik Nelson even thinks that EUR/CHF could exceed the level of 1.0265 in the near […]
 

New Year, Same Problems

Jan 09 2023 @ 07:11
The calendar changed but the problems remained. The markets remained volatile amid high uncertainty about the outlook. To be more precise, investors fear: Recession. Despite the optimistic data on the US and EU GDP growth in Q3, the IMF expects a deterioration in business activity this year. Overall, “this year is going to be tougher […]
 
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