Thierry Laduguie

Factors to Watch, FTSE 100, S&P 500

Sep 07 2016 @ 06:42
Sentiment turned bearish a few days ago and the stock market is expected to go down as a result but the S&P 500 is resilient. It’s possible a bottom is already in place in the S&P. The US economy is not firing on all cylinders but it is not slowing down either. That is a perfect […]

The Big Short

Jul 21 2016 @ 09:36
At the start of the year I warned that the FTSE 100 would go down to 5,000 by the end of the year. Given the devaluation of the pound following Brexit and improved economic activity in the US and China during the second quarter, this forecast is still valid but it may take longer for […]

Stock Market Pattern Points To a “Remain” Win

Jun 22 2016 @ 11:27
The BTI, a sentiment indicator, turned down on 10 June and is still declining. But on Monday it was up, sentiment is changing from bearish to bullish. When sentiment is bullish odds favour a stock market rally. I expect sentiment to turn bullish in the next few days but sentiment will only be bullish if […]

S&P 500 Near All-Time High, FTSE 100 Leading The Way

Jun 09 2016 @ 07:19
Sentiment is bullish and the S&P 500 is not far away from making a new all-time high. Stock markets don’t make all-time highs for the wrong reasons. It seems we live in a world where men and women can dictate the direction of the stock market. They’ve done it with quantitative easing, and now with […]

Bearish Divergence Between FTSE 100 and S&P 500

Jun 03 2016 @ 07:39
Recent price action in crude oil and the S&P 500 contradicts the position of the FTSE 100. There is a divergence between the FTSE and the S&P, the S&P is trading near this year’s high but the FTSE is well below its high (6427.5). Crude oil is trading well above the levels seen at the […]

EUR/USD, FTSE 100 in third waves down

May 19 2016 @ 10:06
EUR/USD DMI: Bearish Sentiment bearish MACD : bearish RSI: Neutral Moving averages crossover: bullish       EUR/USD: Indicators are mostly bearish and the Elliott wave is wave A down. The euro is tracing out wave A of a downward zigzag [A,B,C]. The pattern is a long term triangle [(A),(B),(C),(D),(E)]. wave (C) is over and […]

When The Stock Market is a One Way Bet, Be Cautious!

Apr 20 2016 @ 08:08
Sentiment is bullish but the wave count is complete and the Top 20 Differential is still overbought. The odds of a pullback in the FTSE 100 have increased. The question is, will the pullback be a short term affair of a long term correction? When the blue chips are overbought they tend to pullback. The […]

FTSE 100: Last Rally Before The Drop

Mar 16 2016 @ 13:45
On the Daily chart the pattern since January appears to be an expanded flat [a,b,c (circle)] for wave 2. The reason I mention this pattern is because the FTSE 100 has been trading in a tight range (sideways) since the peak at 6216. Well, if that level marked the end of the rally the FTSE […]

FTSE 100: Bear Market Rallies Can Turn Bears Into Bulls

Mar 03 2016 @ 06:03
Sentiment is bullish but the 13-day BTI became overbought twice on 26 February and 1 March, the FTSE 100 has yet to pullback. When the 13-day BTI is overbought there is a high probability the FTSE will pullback. This time it will be more than a pullback because the structure of the rally is complete, […]

FTSE 100 In The Midst Of a Crash

Jan 21 2016 @ 07:10
After yesterday’s sell off, the FTSE 100 is now in the midst of a crash. I use the word crash when the indicators are oversold but the FTSE continues to fall. These indicators have been developed for normal markets, but here we are not in a normal market. When the 13-day BTI and Top 20 […]
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