Thierry Laduguie

An Opportunity to Buy Diageo

Sep 19 2019 @ 11:05
There are some shares that are solid in both bull and bear markets, one example is beverages company Diageo (DGE). In bull markets the stock tends to move up with the FTSE 100 index. In bear markets the stock outperforms the index, it has a strong relative strength. As the risk of a global recession […]
 

Global Slowdown is Bearish for Barclays

Aug 09 2019 @ 07:22
Stock markets rallied yesterday, the S&P 500 in particular was very strong. The US index has retraced nearly 62% of the recent decline from the all-time high. The FTSE 100 is lagging, the UK index has retraced 23% of its decline. Both FTSE 100 and S&P 500 are in a second wave up. Second waves are generally […]
 

The Great Paradox

Jul 04 2019 @ 06:42
The rally in the stock market extended yesterday, the FTSE 100 rallied above 7600 fueled by the declining GBP/USD and rising S&P 500. The S&P 500 is at new all-time high below 3000. The combination of rising S&P, declining GBP/USD is bullish for the FTSE 100. I have been expecting a rally in GBP/USD but the […]
 

Shares in Vodafone are Oversold and Ready to Rally

May 31 2019 @ 05:51
Markets are plunging this morning after Trump imposed tariffs on all goods from Mexico. At the same time China released some economic news, the Chinese manufacturing PMI came in lower than expected. So global growth is the main concern this morning, shares are falling and bonds are rallying. US yields are making new lows, which […]
 

Too Many Bullish Factors

Apr 11 2019 @ 10:11
Last night FOMC statement did not have a significant influence on the markets, investors were struggling to find anything bullish or bearish in the statement. Basically the Fed is not sure whether to raise rates, do nothing or cut rates. The committee is not concerned about a significant slowdown in economic growth. That would be […]
 

Excess Optimism is Negative for the Stock Market

Mar 14 2019 @ 07:53
Research shows that extreme optimism coincides with market tops. The question is, where are we now in the cycle? Has the mood reached extreme optimism? Possibly if we refer to some sentiment indicators. Let’s not forget the S&P 500 is up 19% since the December low, this surely can be described as an optimistic move. […]
 

The Increasing Threat of Deflation

Jan 10 2019 @ 07:27
The Fed has often said that inflation is low and many analysts are puzzled. Why is inflation so low after a massive money printing program by the Fed? The Fed has been worried by deflation since the last financial crisis, the purpose of QE was to create inflation, to boost asset prices and to create […]
 

Dead cat bounce in the S&P 500

Nov 29 2018 @ 06:27
An unexpected announcement from Fed chairman Jay Powell sent the S&P 500 sharply higher yesterday. Powell said U.S. interest rates are near neutral. What he meant is rates will not rise as much as investors had anticipated. At first the reaction in the stock market was positive, higher interest rates hurt the economy, so the […]
 

U.S. Economy Likely to Contract

Oct 16 2018 @ 05:43
The rally in the FTSE 100 is underway, the S&P 500 is struggling to break above 2775. This level has been tested four times in the last week, when a level is tested several times in general it will be broken. The S&P is struggling because technology stocks are slumping, the S&P is sensitive to […]
 

US Bond Yields are Going Higher, S&P 500 At Risk

Sep 26 2018 @ 05:10
The rally paused, the S&P 500 is pulling back. The reason for the pullback could be due to the high oil price and rising bond yields. Trump said he wants a lower oil price and he has a good reason, high oil prices fuel inflation. Recently we have seen rising inflation in emerging markets, could […]
 
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