Thierry Laduguie

Don't Be Fooled by the Stock Market Relentless Rise

Nov 14 2013 @ 07:22
In the world of stocks and shares sentiment plays a big part in the valuation of a stock. The basic relationship is that when stocks are expensive and sentiment is bullish stocks become dearer, and when stocks are cheap and sentiment is bearish they become cheaper. Remember the merger between AOL and Time Warner in […]

FTSE 100: Last Move Up Before the Trend Goes Sideways

Oct 29 2013 @ 12:04
The bull run in the S&P 500 and FTSE 100 tenaciously continues but perhaps a time for caution is just around the corner. Based on recent economic reports investor sentiment has reached an extreme level in optimism. Investors are optimistic that the Fed will continue to support and push stock markets higher but the irony […]

Bullish Sentiment Drives the S&P 500 To New Highs

Oct 23 2013 @ 06:51
The nonfarm payrolls report came in below estimates yet stock markets powered ahead yesterday. We are back to the situation where bad news is good news. Investors are addicted to stimulus so if the news is not favourable, the economy will weaken and the Fed will continue to print money. That’s why stock markets went […]

Relief Rally Should Drive The FTSE 100 Higher In The Short Term

Oct 16 2013 @ 06:43
The FTSE is up more than 200 points from the recent low, one of my sentiment indicators is still declining. This bearish divergence should disappear and I expect sentiment to turn bullish to confirm the uptrend. But right now volatility is picking up and this will continue until we have an agreement on the debt […]

FTSE 100: the tide is turning

Oct 09 2013 @ 10:31
At the start of year most traders and investors thought it would be an easy ride. After all the stock market has been climbing relentlessly in the last four years on the back of QE or, as I put it, the Fed’s manipulation program. Four years ago the stock market was in a precarious state […]

FTSE 100: Sideways or Down in the Short Term

Oct 02 2013 @ 06:24
Today’s re-test of the 21st August low at 6386 is not a positive development. Chances are the decline will continue but not before we see a decent counter trend bounce. I say this because the FTSE is oversold as indicated by my own timing indicators. In addition the 34-day BTI is oversold too. When the indicators […]

FTSE 100: Upward Zigzag to 6800

Sep 16 2013 @ 08:09
On Friday I questioned the validity of a third wave down as the 34-day BTI was near a bottom. Today’s strong open would appear to support the alternate scenario, the FTSE is not at the start of the next major decline, instead the index is in the midst of an advance. Markets can change direction […]

FTSE 100: One Step Up, Two Steps Down

Aug 28 2013 @ 07:14
The two timing indicators, Top 20 Differential and 13-day BTI, became oversold last week but as I suspected the wave count on the S&P 500 was not complete so yesterday the index made a new low and today we have a completed five wave decline in the S&P. A five-wave decline accompanied by an oversold […]

FTSE 100: The Next Correction Will Be Painful

Jul 30 2013 @ 09:20
At today’s FOMC meeting the committee will have to make some big decisions. One main topic for policymaker’s consideration is whether or not to begin the process of tapering QE, and if they decide to taper, when to start. The timing of the tapering could have a massive impact on the stock market which has […]

The Stock Market Enters the Chaotic Zone – Part 2

Jun 20 2013 @ 09:26
I have always been a believer in “the trend is your friend” but on 22nd May I was on my guard when my unique sentiment indicator flashed a warning to the bulls. From that moment I was expecting the second chapter in the chaotic zone I wrote about on 5 April (see: to begin. […]
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