Global Stocks Rally After Fed Decision
December 17 2015 - 5:10AM
Dow Jones News
Global stocks surged on Thursday as investors around the world
reacted positively to the Federal Reserve's decision to raise
interest rates and the confidence in the U.S. economy that
underpinned the move.
European stocks moved higher in early trade, following sharp
gains across Asian markets and a higher close on Wall Street in
response to the widely expected move by the Fed to end a seven-year
experiment with near-zero interest rates.
The Stoxx Europe 600 rose 2.1% in early trade, with gains across
the board, while Japan's Nikkei Stock Average gained 1.6% and the
Shanghai Composite was up 1.8% on signs of a strengthening U.S.
economy.
While ultralow interest rates have boosted equity markets in
recent years, investors were reassured by the Fed's relatively
upbeat outlook on the world's biggest economy and its plans to
raise rates only gradually over the next three years.
"What we see today is basically a sigh of relief," said Johan
Javeus, chief strategist at SEB Group. "Equity markets are taking
comfort in the fact that this is not the path of a rapid hiking
cycle, and it will be data-dependent and focused on inflation."
"The messaging around the decision is about as positive as one
could expect for investors: a positive economic assessment paired
with fairly dovish central bank guidance," said Eric Lascelles,
chief economist at RBC Global Asset Management.
The decision also removed an immediate source of uncertainty in
markets.
The yield on the rate-sensitive two-year U.S. Treasury settled
above 1% for the first time in over five years on Wednesday.
Selling in bond and currency markets was relatively muted as
policy members had long telegraphed their intentions to markets for
a rate rise in 2015. The dollar continued to edge up early
Thursday. The euro was down 0.3% against the dollar at $1.0856,
while the dollar was up slightly against the yen at Y122.44.
While the Fed signaled it was moving to normalize monetary
policy for the first time since the financial crisis, other central
banks, including the Bank of Japan and European Central Bank, have
continued with easing measures.
Investors will now consider the implications of diverging
policy. The European Central Bank needs the euro to fall against
the dollar to stoke inflation, and if U.S. rate rises fail to boost
the dollar it could prompt the ECB to tweak its own monetary
policy.
In commodities, Brent crude oil was down 1% at $37.01 a barrel.
Higher interest rates usually make dollar-denominated commodity
prices more expensive for foreign purchasers. A
larger-than-expected increase in U.S. crude stockpiles also weighed
on prices.
Gold continued to decline, falling 0.9% to $1,066, after the Fed
decision. Tighter monetary policy typically make gold less
attractive to investors as it competes with yield-bearing assets
and the prospect of higher rates in the U.S. has driven the
commodity down for much of the year.
Still, some market participants remained worried that the Fed is
ending a period of near-zero rates at a time of weak global
growth.
"Maybe it's the first step in a long journey to equilibrium,"
said Riad Younes, portfolio manager at RSQ International Equity
Fund. "But the question is it a premature step?"
Plunging commodities prices and worrying signs in the junk bond
market have hit equities in the past week, while signs of stress in
emerging markets have raised concerns about global demand.
Emerging markets have been rattled for months about the prospect
of rising U.S. rates, which strengthen the dollar and make it
difficult for emerging markets to repay their debts.
"We're still living in challenging times," said Mr. Younes.
Gains for European equities were led by the auto sector, with
shares in Daimler AG up 2.9%. Banks and health care stocks also
rose sharply, with Novartis AG up 2.5% and HSBC Holdings PLC
gaining 2%.
Write to Riva Gold at riva.gold@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
December 17, 2015 04:55 ET (09:55 GMT)
Copyright (c) 2015 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.
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