By Sara Sjolin, MarketWatch

Retail sales ahead; China announces more stimulus

U.S. stocks look set for their first gain in three days on Wednesday, recovering from wobbles in the bond markets, as investors look ahead to a report on retail sales and whether it could further weaken the case for a summer Federal Reserve interest-rate hike.

Futures for the Dow Jones Industrial Average (YMM5) climbed 66 points, or 0.4%, to 18,098, while those for the S&P 500 index (ESM5) gained 8.25 points, or 0.4%, to 2,103.25. Futures for the Nasdaq 100 index (NQM5) added 21.75 points, or 0.5%, to 4,442.50.

On Tuesday, fluctuations in the bond market (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/treasurys-rebound-from-early-rout-2015-05-12) sent stock markets lower (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/us-stocks-pare-losses-as-bonds-regain-poise-2015-05-12) in Europe and the U.S. However, bond markets appear to have calmed down on Wednesday, with yields moving in tight ranges early in the day.

Data: The monthly report on retail sales is due at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time and is expected to show growth of 0.1% in April, down from 0.9% in March.

Such a slowdown would further underline the "general cooling of economic data that has been coming out of America, and partially [explain] why currency markets have generically pushed the date for interest rate rises out to September," said Alastair McCaig, market analyst at IG in a note.

Excluding auto sales, retail sales are forecast to be up 0.4%, the same rate as in March.

Also due at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time is the import-price index for April. A report on March business inventories follows at 10 a.m. Eastern.

There are no Federal Reserve speakers scheduled during the day.

Stocks to watch: Department-store chain Macy's Inc.(M) is forecast to report earnings of 62 cents a share for the first quarter, according to FactSet estimates. It reports ahead of the bell.

Retailer Ralph Lauren Corp.(RL) is expected to report fiscal fourth-quarter earnings of $1.32 a share.

After the market closes, Shake Shack Inc (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/what-to-look-for-in-shake-shack-earnings-2015-05-12).(SHAK), Cisco Systems Inc.(CSCO) and J.C. Penney Co.(JCP) are slated to report.

Shares of Hortonworks Inc.(HDP) jumped 12% in premarket trade after the data-software company late Tuesday reported a narrower-than-expected loss (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/hortonworks-revenue-billings-up-sharply-2015-05-12) for the quarter.

Pall Corp.(PLL) shares rose 5% premarket after announcing a deal (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/pall-corps-stock-surges-after-deal-to-be-bought-out-by-danaher-2015-05-13) to be acquired by Danaher Corp. (DHR)

Williams Partners L.P.(WPZ) is up 22% premarket after gas infrastructure company Williams Companies Inc.(WMB) announced an agreement to buy the public equity of Williams Partners in a stock deal valued at $13.8 billion (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/williams-partners-stock-soars-on-buyout-deal-with-williams-companies-2015-05-13).

Other markets: European markets moved firmly higher (http://www.marketwatch.com/storyno-meta-for-guid), also recovering from the bond-market-inspired slump on Tuesday. Additionally, fresh data showed the region's economy is picking up (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/eurozone-gdp-picks-up-boosted-by-france-italy-2015-05-13), with France and Italy returning to expansion.

Asian markets closed mixed.

The dollar moved slightly lower against most other currencies, while oil (http://www.marketwatch.com/storyno-meta-for-guid) and most metals advanced.

On Wednesday, China's Finance Ministry, central bank and top banking regulator announced a debt-for-bond swap program (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/china-stimulus-aims-at-restructuring-trillions-in-local-government-debt-2015-05-13-71035643) aimed at giving provinces and cities some breathing room in repaying debts.

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