U.S. Government Bonds Slip After Fresh Signals From Fed
August 19 2016 - 11:46AM
Dow Jones News
By Aaron Kuriloff
U.S. government bond prices retreated Friday after fresh signals
from Federal Reserve officials that interest rates could increase
this year.
The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note climbed to
1.573% Friday, according to Tradeweb, up from 1.536% the previous
day. The two-year yield, which is highly sensitive to Fed policy,
rose to 0.742% Friday, from 0.710% Thursday. Yields rise as bond
prices fall.
While minutes from the Fed's July meeting signaled this week
that policy makers were split on the timing of a short-term
interest rate increase and waiting for a stronger consensus on
growth and inflation, comments by some officials suggested the
central bank could consider boosting rates as soon as
September.
Federal Reserve Bank of New York President William Dudley on
Thursday expressed confidence in U.S. economic growth and labor
market strength in the second half of the year, which could push
the officials to move.
"We definitely think second-half growth, and third-quarter
growth in specific, is going to be quite a bit stronger than what
we saw in the first half," he said.
Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco President John Williams,
who isn't a voting member of the rate-setting committee, said
Thursday officials should move to raise rates "sooner rather than
later," joining those concerned about overshooting inflation
targets.
"If -- and it's a big if -- economic conditions persist roughly
as they've been, and -- and it's a big and -- markets cooperate
reasonably well, we're looking at one rate hike this year," said
Guy LeBas, chief fixed-income strategist at Janney Montgomery Scott
LLC in Philadelphia.
Federal-funds futures, which are used by traders to place bets
on central bank policy, Friday showed an 18% chance of a rate
increase in September, up from 15% the previous day, according to
CME Group. The odds of an increase by December rose to just over
50%, compared with a 46.9% chance Thursday.
Investors and traders say they will look for fresh signals about
the courses of central bank policy from Fed Chairwoman Janet
Yellen, who is scheduled to speak in Jackson Hole, Wyo., next
Friday.
Write to Aaron Kuriloff at aaron.kuriloff@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
August 19, 2016 11:31 ET (15:31 GMT)
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