EARNINGS PREVIEW: Casinos Reap Benefits From More Visits
April 17 2012 - 12:27PM
Dow Jones News
TAKING THE PULSE: Much like last year, the biggest casino
operators' upcoming first-quarter results are expected to benefit
from economic growth that has driven more well-heeled gamblers from
East Asia to properties in Singapore and Macau. A modest but marked
economic recovery in the U.S. has also pumped up visitor numbers on
the Las Vegas Strip to levels close to their 2007 peak, before the
economic downturn, though rising fuel prices still threaten to damp
demand. Some regional casino operators are also facing stiff
competition from an increasingly crowded field in some parts of the
U.S. That's not the case in Macau, where demand easily outstrips
the tightly-controlled supply of table games.
COMPANIES TO WATCH:
Penn National Gaming Inc. (PENN) - reports April 19
Wall Street Expectations: Analysts polled by Thomson Reuters
project a 59-cent per-share profit with $701 million of revenue. A
year earlier, the company earned 48 cents a share and generated
$667 million of revenue.
Key Issues: Penn National's February earnings outlook revealed
how cautious the U.S. casino operator remains about the domestic
economy. Still-high unemployment remains a drag on its top line,
while cannibalization from competing casinos threatens to hurt
margins in some East Coast markets. Wall Street is a little more
sanguine, with analysts' consensus first-quarter profit view
already ahead of the company's target. Net revenue has steadily
climbed for more than a year, and Penn National recently reached a
deal with the state of Ohio to relocate two racetracks, which the
company had previously said it wanted to do.
Caesars Entertainment Corp. (CZR) - TBA
Wall Street Expectations: Analysts polled by Thomson Reuters
expect a $1.02 per-share loss with $2.11 billion of revenue. A year
earlier, Caesars's closely held predecessor posted a loss of $2.05
for each share held with $2.18 billion of revenue.
Key Issues: Investors snapped up shares of the U.S. casino giant
after it managed a tiny initial public offering in February, even
though the company said its owners would continue to float more
shares. Improvements on the Las Vegas Strip have been helpful to
Caesars and its properties there, but performance has lagged at
other properties in Atlantic City, Louisiana and Mississippi. The
company remains highly levered, and interest expenses will continue
to take a big bite out of earnings in the near term. In future
quarters, Caesars is hoping to see gains if Internet gambling
becomes legal in the U.S., but that is still murky.
Las Vegas Sands Corp. (LVS) - TBA
Wall Street Expectations: Forecasts call for a 59-cent per-share
profit on $2.57 billion in revenue. The company a year earlier
reported a profit of 28 cents a share, or 37 cents excluding the
impact of preferred dividends and other items, as revenue reached
$2.11 billion.
Key Issues: Las Vegas Sands gained a bigger foothold in Macau
this month with the official launch of Sands Cotai Central, its
fourth casino in the Chinese gambling enclave. The company is in a
good position with Macau gambling revenue still posting
double-digit increases, though advisory firm Janney has raised
questions about the company's near-term growth rate in Singapore,
which benefited in the fourth quarter because customers took home
less in winnings. The company's Las Vegas Strip casinos are also
poised to benefit from improving market fundamentals, though growth
will be more modest than in Macau.
MGM Resorts International (MGM) - TBA
Wall Street Expectations: Analysts forecast a loss of 16 cents a
share with $2.26 billion of revenue. A year earlier, MGM posted an
18-cent per-share loss--a loss of 16 cents excluding certain
items--on $1.5 billion in revenue.
Key Issues: MGM's heavy exposure to the Las Vegas Strip should
help its bottom line as visitor numbers improve and its
joint-venture stake in the newer CityCenter property--a source of
punishing write-downs in the past--delivers stronger revenue. The
company is gradually climbing out from under a heavy debt load and
recently sought consents from some bondholders that would allow its
biggest shareholder to cut its stake to less than 15% without
triggering a change of control.
Wynn Resorts Ltd. (WYNN) - TBA
Wall Street Expectations: Analysts project a $1.41 per-share
profit with $1.34 billion of revenue. A year ago, the casino
operator reported a $1.39 per-share profit--$1.38 excluding certain
items--as net revenue reached $1.26 billion.
Key Issues: Wynn's continued earnings growth has been
overshadowed in recent months by the company's headline-grabbing
spat with Japanese gambling tycoon Kazuo Okada. The company in
February forcibly bought out Okada's 20% stake in the company at a
steep discount and accused him of making improper payments to
gambling regulators in the Philippines. Okada has filed a
counterclaim. The risk of further litigation hasn't brought down
Wynn's stock price, however, as still-strong growth in Macau and
improving convention-related visits in Las Vegas help its top
line.
-By Drew FitzGerald, Dow Jones Newswires; 212-416-2909;
andrew.fitzgerald@dowjones.com
PENN Entertainment (NASDAQ:PENN)
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