Gazprom Banks on China
September 15 2015 - 8:20AM
Dow Jones News
HONG KONG—Gazprom's finance chief expects a major gas-supply
deal the Russian company struck with China last year to be
profitable despite the current slump in global energy prices.
In an interview with The Wall Street Journal, Gazprom Chief
Financial Officer Andrey Kruglov said the company views the current
fall in oil prices as part of a normal cyclical process.
"We are not a sprinter, we are marathon runners," Mr. Kruglov
said. "That's why we are trying to build up our position as a gas
exporter for Asian markets."
Mr. Kruglov said the company wouldn't deliver the first gas
under that deal until 2019 at the earliest, by which time pricing
conditions may have improved. He said the deal, under which the
price of the gas it sells will be linked to oil prices, would be
profitable for Gazprom even if oil were to remain at is current low
levels.
Gazprom has traditionally made most of its sales overseas to
European customers ranging from power utilities to other resource
companies, but Asia is playing a greater role in Gazprom's plans.
The company expects to make 30% of its sales abroad to Asian
countries by 2025, and over the longer term, its share of exports
to Asia and Europe will be roughly equal.
Gazprom took a step forward in its pivot toward Asia last year
when it agreed to sell gas to China over a 30-year period in a deal
valued at about $400 billion.
Gas companies globally have spent billions of dollars in recent
years on new projects, often in the hope of exporting more to meet
an expected fast rise in Chinese demand. But the slowdown in
China's economic growth this year has sent shivers through the
industry, with the country's gas demand rising by only 2% in the
first half of 2015, compared with double-digit growth rates in
recent years.
Mr. Kruglov said Gazprom still expected Chinese gas demand to
grow strongly, as it currently only accounts for around 2% of the
country's power generation needs, a much lower rate than in most
developed countries.
"That's why we are optimistic, despite the temporary slowing of
Chinese gas demand," he said.
Gazprom's China gas deal includes plans to build a pipeline from
Russia to China. Mr. Kruglov said Gazprom would be able to fund its
share of the estimated $55 billion pipeline from its own resources.
While Gazprom's net debt has risen in recent years, Mr. Kruglov
said it remained well within target relative to the company's
earnings.
He said Gazprom could look to tap overseas investors for as much
as $1 billion of new debt this autumn, if market conditions are
"acceptable."
Gazprom's prospects became further tied to China late last year
when it agreed a second deal to supply the country's western region
with as much as 30 billion cubic meters of gas over the next 30
years. However, the price at which it will sell that gas hasn't yet
been agreed: Mr. Kruglov said the deal was still under
negotiation.
"We are not ready to sell gas to anyone [under] unreasonable
conditions," he said, adding he was "optimistic" there would be a
favorable outcome to the talks.
While it is expanding in Asia, Gazprom faces threats within its
major European export market. Demand for its gas has stagnated
there and many within Europe are hoping to reduce the continent's
dependence on Russian gas. Earlier this year the European
Commission accused Gazprom of hindering gas-market competition and
of charging unfair prices to its customers in Central and Eastern
Europe.
Last week Gazprom held an auction to sell its gas to European
buyers at spot prices rather than at oil-linked prices, a move
analysts interpreted as a sign the company is willing to be more
flexible on the terms of its European sales.
Mr. Kruglov said European buyers could find that alternative gas
supplies -- for example, liquefied natural gas imported from
countries such as Qatar -- could be more expensive than Russian
gas.
"If [energy prices] are increased because of the replacement of
Russian gas, it will be quite sensitive for everyone," he said.
Mr. Kruglov said Western sanctions against Russia's oil and gas
industry, which have limited the amount of technology foreign
companies can sell to Russia, had so far mostly benefited the law
firms that are helping Gazprom amend relevant contract terms.
"This makes additional work for us," he said. "We can live with
it, but for sure it creates some barriers in our activity. …We
cannot ignore the sanctions."
Write to Andrew Peaple at andrew.peaple@wsj.com
Subscribe to WSJ: http://online.wsj.com?mod=djnwires
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
September 15, 2015 08:05 ET (12:05 GMT)
Copyright (c) 2015 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.