Weaker Pound Boosts U.K. Manufacturing in September, CBI Says -- Update
September 22 2016 - 9:12AM
Dow Jones News
By Wiktor Szary
LONDON--British manufacturers expect a rapid increase in output
over the next three months, an industry survey showed Thursday, as
the pound's significant depreciation caused by the country's vote
to leave the European Union continues to support overseas
demand.
Separately, the Bank of England said the outlook for the
stability of the financial system in the U.K. is "challenging,"
citing concerns stemming from the June vote and volatile financial
markets.
Economists continue to scour for signs of the impact Britain's
decision to leave the EU is having on the country's economy.
Earlier this week, the country's statistics office said that
despite some initial surveys in the immediate aftermath suggesting
a sharp deterioration in consumer and business confidence there so
far has been "no sign of a major collapse in confidence and, within
the data that is available, some indicators of strength."
But economists caution that the longer-term effect remains to be
seen and many expect growth to slow. The Bank of England has said
it anticipates the economy will slow in the second half of 2016 and
into 2017 as uncertainty triggered by the referendum result weighs
on spending and investment.
The Confederation of British Industry, an employers' lobby
group, on Thursday said its monthly survey of sentiment in the
manufacturing sector showed that the output expectations balance
rose steeply to plus 22 in September, from plus 11 in August. The
balance reflects the percentage of respondents expecting an
improvement against those predicting a decline. Sentiment in
September remained slightly below the pre-referendum level,
however.
The rise from the previous month was partly a result of the
weakened sterling, which has boosted exports demand, the CBI said.
The pound has fallen by some 10% against the dollar since the
morning of the referendum result.
However, the CBI also warned that manufacturers will face
"plenty of challenges ahead," as the U.K. adjusts to a new
relationship with the EU and the rest of the world.
Following a quarterly meeting on Sept. 20, the BOE's Financial
Policy Committee, which monitors the country's financial stability,
on Thursday highlighted two specific risks relating to the result
of the June vote.
One is a sharp fall in prices and transactions in the commercial
real-estate market, which could hurt lenders, and the second is the
risk that foreign investors turn sour on the U.K., undermining the
nation's ability to easily finance the gap between what the nation
spends at home and earns from abroad.
The FPC also flagged risks to the U.K. financial system from
abroad. It cited economic and political uncertainty across the
globe and struggling banks in parts of Europe. Officials also said
they're concerned about high prices and volatility in bond
markets.
Write to Wiktor Szary at Wiktor.Szary@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
September 22, 2016 08:57 ET (12:57 GMT)
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