SNB's Two-Pronged Monetary Policy Will Help Weaken Franc Over Time, Jordan Says
August 28 2015 - 12:54PM
Dow Jones News
By Neil MacLucas
The negative interest rates imposed by the Swiss National Bank
in January will help to weaken the Swiss franc over time, which
remains "significantly overvalued," according to Thomas Jordan, the
president of the bank's governing board.
The goal of the SNB's current two-pronged monetary
policy--negative interest rates and a readiness to intervene on
currency markets to weaken the franc--is to make Swiss assets less
attractive to global investors, Mr. Jordan said, in a paper
presented at a central bank conference in Jackson Hole.
On Jan. 15, the SNB scrapped a three-and-a-half-year policy that
had capped the franc at 1.20 francs per euro. The policy was
designed to blunt the strength of the currency--as it was bought by
investors seeking a haven--to shield Switzerland's export-reliant
economy, which depends on the eurozone for almost half of its
exports.
The SNB repealed the cap without warning and began charging
banks a 0.75% fee on deposits with the central bank.
In his comments, Mr. Jordan again defended the move, saying it
was necessary to avoid an uncontrolled expansion of its balance
sheet.
Since the cap's removal, the franc has moved steadily toward
parity with the euro as the European Central Bank has flooded the
market with euros under its massive bond-purchase program.
However, the franc has weakened in recent weeks, and is
currently trading around 1.0850 per euro, compared with 1.0400 per
euro about three months ago.
One result of the franc's strength has been a decline in the
cost of imports, especially those from the eurozone, which in turn
has pushed Swiss consumer inflation into negative territory.
"While most of the recent negative Swiss inflation is linked to
lower imported goods prices, inflation expectations have remained
well-anchored suggesting the SNB's commitment to medium-term price
stability remains credible," he said.
Mr. Jordan also reiterated the strong franc will mean lower
economic growth for Switzerland and poses considerable challenges
for the economy, he said.
The SNB, which has trimmed its forecast for Swiss growth this
year to 1%, from 2% before the cap's repeal, will next meet to
review monetary policy on Sept. 17.
Write to Neil MacLucas at neil.maclucas@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
August 28, 2015 12:39 ET (16:39 GMT)
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