By Valentina Pop
For European Union leaders, Saturday's gathering in Rome to mark
the 60th anniversary of the bloc's founding treaty was to be an
unvarnished celebration of a successful experiment to rebuild a
continent scarred by two world wars.
But Brexit, economic malaise, immigration, Russian hostility,
U.S. indifference and growing nationalist sentiment across Europe
have ruined the birthday party.
Those looming problems, signified most pointedly by the absence
of British Prime Minister Theresa May at Saturday's commemoration,
have laid bare deep divisions between the bloc's richer and poorer
nations, between fiscal hawks in the north and debtor nations in
the south, and between former Communist nations in the east and
member nations in the west.
Keeping the six nations that originally signed the Treaty of
Rome in 1957 on the same page--let alone the 22 that followed--now
looms as a daunting challenge.
The eurozone economic crisis, which peaked in 2012, badly hurt
growth across Europe, increased unemployment and exposed a lack of
competitiveness among the 19 EU members who use the euro and make
up the zone.
The migration debacle three years later exposed the bloc's
simmering divisions, as governments publicly squabbled over who was
to blame, and Central and Eastern European countries balked at
allowing Brussels to set country quotas for taking refugees.
Now the bloc looks on nervously as the far-right, anti-EU Marine
Le Pen is a front-runner in the first round of French presidential
elections next month and as a populist, anti-Islam, anti-euro party
in Germany is set to make gains in parliamentary elections in
September.
For some EU members, the cure for the bloc's ills is another
galvanizing idea that, in some form, could be codified in the
declaration that is to culminate this weekend's commemoration.
But bold proposals, such as a common army or a Europe-wide
pension system, have drawn no support from EU leaders. Ahead of the
summit, the idea of looser degrees of integration in the EU also
hasn't garnered enough backing among the leaders.
The treaty's original signatories--France, Germany, Italy and
the Benelux states--repackaged as "multispeed Europe" the
longstanding idea of having the eurozone move ahead with more
economic and political integration. Meanwhile, the eight remaining
members of the bloc after Brexit would have looser ties.
Former Italian Prime Minister Enrico Letta says "multispeed
Europe" is "the only way to keep the 27 united, allowing the core
countries, the founders of the eurozone, to go further if they
want."
The bloc, he argues, has become too heterogeneous and the
divisions over the balance of power too deep for the union to
function efficiently.
But Central and Eastern European nations continue to oppose
"multispeed Europe," and have rejected efforts to enshrine it in
this weekend's concluding document.
Even though the degree of integration among EU members today
varies widely--with not all EU countries sharing the euro and
borderless travel, for instance--these countries have long feared
that such an arrangement would mean fewer subsidies.
More recently, they also view it as punishment for their
reluctance or refusal to take in refugees from Muslim
countries.
Radoslaw Sikorski, a former Polish foreign minister, says while
"multispeed Europe" is in many ways a reality today, some
politicians in his region equate it with "two-speed Europe," where
the periphery would have no say over decisions made at the
core.
"Two-speed is something core countries see as necessary to
preserve the eurozone and something that the periphery considers to
be a power grab," he says.
Mr. Sikorski says the bloc's east-west economic divide is
narrowing and won't last. In a few years, some Central European
nations, including the Czech Republic, will no longer qualify for
EU subsidies for poorer regions, he said.
Citing the victory of incumbent Prime Minister Mark Rutte over
anti-EU candidate Geert Wilders in Dutch elections earlier this
month, Mr. Sikorski believes the nationalist winds buffeting the EU
will subside.
"I hope Brexit and [U.S. President Donald] Trump, Marine Le Pen
and Russian cyberwarfare have frightened us sufficiently to think
about what we are about to lose," he said.
But perhaps not yet. On Thursday, Polish Prime Minister Beata
Szydlo said she wouldn't sign Saturday's planned declaration unless
it reflects her country's demand that the unity of the bloc be
preserved.
Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras also threatened this week to
withhold his approval unless there was progress in negotiations
with international creditors.
At the meeting's end, there probably will be a "moderately
ambitious" declaration, former Finnish Prime Minister Alexander
Stubb said. "But it won't change the world like the original Rome
declaration."
Write to Valentina Pop at valentina.pop@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
March 23, 2017 12:37 ET (16:37 GMT)
Copyright (c) 2017 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.