ECB's Mario Draghi Urges Central Banks to Align Monetary Policy -- 2nd Update
June 28 2016 - 8:52AM
Dow Jones News
By Tom Fairless
SINTRA, Portugal--European Central Bank President Mario Draghi
urged major central banks to better coordinate their policies to
tackle the shared problem of ultralow inflation in his first major
speech since Britain voted to exit the European Union.
The comments, to an ECB conference in Portugal, indicate a shift
in emphasis for the eurozone's central bank, which had until
recently stressed its ability to hit its near-2% inflation target
regardless of the side-effects of its policy measures.
Addressing an audience of policymakers and academics, Mr. Draghi
said central banks should think about whether their policies are
"properly aligned" with those of their peers. He warned that
currency devaluations aimed at boosting competitiveness are a
"lose-lose" for the global economy."
"In a globalized world, the global policy mix matters--and will
likely matter more as our economies become more integrated," Mr.
Draghi said. "The speed with which monetary policy can achieve
domestic goals inevitably becomes more dependent on others."
The remarks indicate a "definite shift" in Mr. Draghi's
thinking, said Frederik Ducrozet, senior economist with Banque
Pictet & Cie SA in Geneva.
"It suggests that the ECB is increasingly concerned about those
'global factors' driving inflation that they cannot directly
influence," Mr. Ducrozet said.
The ECB has missed its inflation target for three straight
years, despite repeatedly expanding its bond-purchase program in
recent months and cutting interest rates further below zero. In a
speech in February, Mr. Draghi said neither global economic forces
nor the risk of side-effects would prevent the ECB from hitting its
inflation goal.
Investors are increasingly concerned that the central bank is
running out of tools to support the eurozone economy and drive up
inflation.
"I think the ECB does not have a lot of ammunition left, at
least a lot that would really make a difference," said Martin
Lueck, chief German investment strategist at BlackRock, Inc., which
manages assets worth $4.7 trillion.
Those concerns have been aggravated by the fresh economic
headwinds emanating from across the English Channel, after Britons
voted last week to leave the EU. European banks have come under
renewed pressure in the wake of that vote, a worry for the ECB
because banks help transmit the central bank's policies to
consumers and businesses.
A key benchmark, the Stoxx 600 Europe banks index, has fallen to
its lowest level since the summer of 2012, when the eurozone debt
crisis was at its height and Mr. Draghi declared the ECB would do
"whatever it takes" to save the euro.
Speaking at the same event in Portugal, ECB executive board
member Benoît Coeuré described the U.K. vote as a "major shock".
Mr. Draghi didn't address the issue in his speech, but over dinner
on Monday evening, he expressed "sadness" about the referendum
result.
In his speech, Mr. Draghi spoke of "persistent headwinds" from
overseas that have forced central banks to use their policy tools
with ever more intensity, resulting in "higher financial stability
risks and spillovers to economic and financial conditions in other
jurisdictions."
He said central banks "can always achieve [their] objective
eventually." But he said they could do so "faster, and with less
collateral effects, if the overall policy mix is consistent."
Analysts speculate that the ECB may be forced to boost its
stimulus again later this year to support the region's economy and
ease conditions in financial markets. Such a move might come after
the central bank unveils its new economic forecasts in
September.
The ECB accelerated its purchases of corporate bonds last week
to EUR2.65 billion ($2.92 billion) from around EUR1.9 billion the
previous week, according to ECB data, a much faster rate than
analysts had forecast. Bankers said the acceleration might partly
reflect an effort to front-load the program before the summer
trading lull.
Britain's unexpected referendum result comes at a particularly
awkward time for the ECB, as the central bank's top officials had
recently expressed confidence that they were nearing their
inflation objective.
Write to Tom Fairless at tom.fairless@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
June 28, 2016 08:37 ET (12:37 GMT)
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