Bank of Japan's Kuroda Says Fed Rate Increase Would Be Good for World Economy
August 26 2015 - 9:40PM
Dow Jones News
NEW YORKâBank of Japan Governor Haruhiko Kuroda said Wednesday a
Federal Reserve rate rise, whenever it happens, would be a welcome
development for the world economy.
If Fed officials raise their short-term interest rate target,
"that means that they are confident that the U.S. economic recovery
is strong and robust, and that is not only good for the U.S.
economy, but also for the world economy, including the Japanese
economy," Mr. Kuroda said at an event held by the Japan Society in
New York.
"I don't know when" the Fed might act to push its short-term
interest rate target off of current near-zero levels, Mr. Kuroda
said, but "if they decide to do it, it must be good for the world
economy."
Mr. Kuroda, who was broadly optimistic about the state of the
Japanese economy and the policies pursued by his bank and the
Japanese government, and he signaled it would be steady-as-she-goes
for current stimulus efforts.
"If necessary we will certainly make adjustments" to a
bond-buying program known as QQE, the official said. But he added
"at this stage the underlying trend of economic activity, as well
as inflation, is as we intended, so we think that 2% inflation
target would be achieved with the current QQE," Mr. Kuroda
said.
In his speech, the official said that for his central bank, "it
was necessary to dispel the deflationary mindset" that had beset
the Japanese economy. Mr. Kuroda said "there have been very
encouraging changes" in the nation's thinking regarding price
increases since the central bank embarked on QQE.
The official's said expectations of price pressures are rising,
and he said Japan's labor market is now very tight, which is
boosting wage rise pressures in a way the Bank of Japan would like
to see. "It is clear a positive feedback loop between wages and
inflation is now in place" that is helping to push price pressures
higher, Mr. Kuroda said.
He said the Bank of Japan wants to achieve 2% inflation "at the
earliest possible time."
Mr. Kuroda spoke at a time of considerable turbulence in global
financial markets and rising concern about the economic outlook's
facing the world's biggest nations. Financial markets have been in
flux amid mounting signs of economic distress in China. Weakness
there has hit global stock markets hard and raised questions about
the growth outlooks for nations like Japan and the U.S.
The uncertainty surrounding recent events has cast a shadow over
the Federal Reserve's upcoming policy meeting. A once broadly held
view the Fed would raise rate then has given way to calls in some
quarters for the central bank to hold back. Speaking Wednesday,
influential New York Fed President William Dudley said "the
decision to begin the normalization process at the September
[Federal Open Market Committee] meeting seems less compelling to me
than it did several weeks ago. But normalization could become more
compelling by the time of the meeting as we get additional
information" about the state of the economy.
Uncertainty over the Fed's willingness to raise the cost of
borrowing in the American economy comes as the Bank of Japan
continues to press forward with aggressive efforts to boost growth
and inflation in that economy. China's troubles have raised
questions about Bank of Japan efforts to push up inflation, and
Japanese equity prices have been hard hit in a sign of reduced
investor confidence central bank efforts will work.
Mr. Kuroda played down the effect of China's slowdown. "In the
long run, even the Chinese economy is likely to further slow down,"
he said. But, "I'm reasonably sure this year, next year, the
Chinese economy is likely to achieve 6% to 7% growth," Mr. Kuroda
said.
"Despite some decline of stock prices in Shanghai or a
correction of a rapid rise in stock prices, I'm reasonably sure"
China will continue to grow, he said, and leave Japan's recovery on
track.
Mr. Kuroda also played down any idea that national central banks
were deliberately trying to weaken their currencies in a bid to
gain a leg up on their international competitors. "I'm not
concerned about currency war. There has been no currency war," he
said.
Mr. Kuroda said Chinese central bank rate cuts aren't a problem
from his point of view. "We will welcome" that nation's lowering of
interest rates, he said.
Write to Michael S. Derby at michael.derby@wsj.com
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(END) Dow Jones Newswires
August 26, 2015 21:25 ET (01:25 GMT)
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