By Barbara Kollmeyer, MarketWatch European PMI data was weakest
in 16 months
MADRID (MarketWatch) -- Stock futures fell Thursday after a
batch of weak economic indicators from Europe and China, with the
U.S. also set for a big day of data on manufacturing, consumer
prices and existing-home sales.
"The market is consolidating at the higher end of this range,
which is obviously at records, but basically it's pretty good
considering the runup we've had," said Peter Cardillo, chief market
economist at Rockwell Global Capital.
Futures for the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJZ4) dropped 71
points, or 0.4%, to 17,586, while those for the S&P 500 (SPZ4)
fell 9.6 points, or 0.5%, to 2,039.90. Futures for the Nasdaq-100
index (NDZ4) slid nearly 20 points, or 0.5%, to 4,204.25.
Markit reported that the flash November reading for the
composite purchasing managers index in the eurozone dropped to
51.4, its lowest level in 16 months. After the release, European
stocks tumbled, as did the euro (EURUSD) versus the dollar.
The data confirms that the eurozone is still in rough shape.
Germany's own November preliminary manufacturing survey came in at
50.0, versus an expected 51.5. Stock futures were also dealing with
weakness in a similar gauge out of China, which showed factory
activity declined in November, after gaining in the prior month.
PMI data out of Japan was also weak.
The S&P 500 index (SPX) snapped a four-day run on Wednesday,
closing 3.1 points to 2,048.72, while the Dow industrials (DJI)
ended down a couple of points, but still managed its second-highest
close in history at 17,685.73. The Federal Reserve minutes revealed
scant detail about the central bank's policy plans.
Goldman's call for S&P 500 and data on tap: The investment
bank said in its equity outlook for 2015 that the S&P 500
should rise to 2,100 by the end of that year, making for a "modest"
5% total return. It added that the market reaction to the first
Federal Reserve rate hike in six years should be "benign."
But Goldman also said 2015 will be challenging for active equity
managers, with low volatility continuing to be a theme. The S&P
500 will rise to 2,150 by mid-year, but then slip during the second
half, it forecast.
At 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time, readings on weekly jobless claims and
October consumer prices are out. Plunging gasoline costs are
expected to trigger a 0.1% drop in the CPI index, said economists
polled by MarketWatch. Read data preview
(Also see: Consumer spending to benefit from gas that is cheaper
than milk
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/consumer-spending-to-benefit-from-gas-thats-cheaper-than-milk-2014-11-19.)
At 10 a.m. Eastern Time, the Philadelphia Fed's survey of
manufacturers for November should offer evidence on whether a
weaker global economy is dampening exports. At the same time,
existing-home sales for October will be released, as will leading
indicators for that month.
Cardillo said the data will probably continue to point to an
expanding economy, "so any pullback [in stocks] is just a normal
process of consolidation phase," he said.
Stocks in focus: Best Buy Co.(BBY) shares are up 7% after
earnings beat forecasts. Still to come: Sears Holdings Corp.(SHLD)
and Dollar Tree Inc.See Stocks to Watch
Salesforce.com(CRM) may see pressure after the cloud-computing
company's weak outlook overshadowed its slight beat on the third
quarter.
Caesars Entertainment Corp.(CZR) could add to a 16% late-session
boost after Bloomberg News reported the casino operator plans to
turn its largest unit into a real-estate investment trust.
Dollar Tree(DLTR) reported that fiscal third-quarter profit rose
to $133 million, or 64 cents a share, from $125.4 million, or 58
cents a share, in the year-earlier period.
Dollar surges anew against yen: The dollar(USDJPY) continued a
relentless march higher against the Japanese yen, pushing past
Yen118.24, while the Nikkei 225 index closed flat. Gold (GCZ4)
pared some losses, while oil (CLZ4) also pulled back as stock
futures fell.
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