By Jon Kamp 
 

Universal Health Services Inc. (UHS) Chief Executive Alan Miller believes state lawmakers who oppose the U.S. health-care overhaul law's Medicaid expansion will eventually yield to political pressure, which would help his company and other hospital operators.

The expansion of the Medicaid program for the poor is one of two main conduits--along with planned insurance marketplaces called exchanges--aimed at covering roughly 30 million more Americans combined under the health law. This expansion has investors excited, sending shares of Universal Health and other publicly traded hospitals up sharply this year, because it should mean more paying customers.

However, there are still questions about how this expansion will unfold, in part because it's still unclear whether some states with large uninsured populations, such as Texas, will ultimately sign on for Medicaid growth amid political opposition.

Universal Health founder Mr. Miller suggested they'll have to, however, for fear of turning down federal dollars for the added coverage.

"My guess is that you can't turn down free money," the CEO said, speaking in an interview with Dow Jones Newswires. Any governor that does "is very vulnerable," he said.

He also highlighted the political threat Republican governors will face, perhaps in re-election campaigns, if they turn down those federal dollars. "I don't know how you stand up to that," he said.

Still, Mr. Miller expressed sympathy with critics who worry the federal government's fiscal challenges will make it hard to cover the growing Medicaid program. States and the federal government typically share the Medicaid tab, but under the health-care law, the U.S. is to pay the full cost of coverage for newly eligible people for the first three years, and at least 90% of the cost in subsequent years.

The Obama administration, for its part, has long said it plans to keep its commitment to fund the Medicaid expansion at the rates set out in the law.

Meanwhile, there are already signs around the country of softening opposition among Republican state lawmakers. The governors of Florida, Arizona and Ohio recently proposed that their states expand the Medicaid program.

Texas hasn't joined that list, and Gov. Rick Perry has been a vocal Medicaid-expansion critic, but the populous state would be a big catch for hospital operators if it ever shifts gears. Universal Health has seven acute-care hospitals and 21 behavioral-health facilities in Texas that contributed nearly one-fifth of the company's revenue next year.

Analysts have suggested models under consideration in some states--which entail using federal dollars intended for Medicaid expansion for private insurance instead--may help bridge the political divide. Arkansas and Ohio are among states considering this idea.

Shares of Mr. Miller's King of Prussia, Pa.-based company have surged, climbing nearly 34% so far this year, and are currently trading around all-time-high levels. The CEO said his company's big focus on behavioral health has helped amid expectations the company's traffic will grow as people gain mental-health coverage through the health law.

Hospital stocks in general are surging, though, with companies like HCA Holdings Inc. (HCA) and Tenet Healthcare Corp. (THC) also showing sharp gains this year on broad hopes for coverage-expansion benefits.

-Write to Jon Kamp at jon.kamp@dowjones.com

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