Credit Suisse Sees Brazil Resuming Growth in 2017
February 06 2017 - 11:54AM
Dow Jones News
By Luciana Magalhaes
SÃO PAULO -- Credit Suisse Group AG's Brazil unit, one of the
largest investment banks in the country, expects the economy to
pick up this year and spur a rapid increase in the number of
initial public offerings, José Olympio Pereira, chief executive of
the unit, said in an interview.
Brazil's economy could be growing at a year-on-year pace of 2%
in the last quarter of 2017, while the number of IPOs this year is
likely to go back to the level of 2013, with about 10 offerings,
Mr. Pereira said. For the full year, the executive sees the economy
growing up to 0.5%.
Brazil has seen a drought in IPOs in the last two years amid its
deepest recession since the country started keeping records. In
2016, only one company, medical-diagnostic services provider Centro
de Imagem Diagnósticos SA, known as Alliar, went through with plans
to raise capital through a primary offering of shares on the
Brazilian stock exchange. The sale, which took place at the end of
October, broke a dry spell which had lasted from June 2015.
Currently there are at least three companies in the process of
planning a primary offering of shares, including two car-rental
companies and one in medical exams, according to a BM&FBovespa
spokeswoman.
The record for IPOs in Brazil was set in 2007, when more than 60
companies went public. Brazil is among the 10 largest economies in
the world, but fewer than 500 companies are listed on the local
BM&FBovespa exchange.
Mr. Pereira declined to point to specific sectors but said his
bank has a good pipeline of businesses for 2017 and noted that,
despite a recent scarcity of IPOs, money was still flowing into the
country, which saw big merger and acquisitions deals in 2016.
"If even during a difficult time money was still coming to
Brazil, imagine how it will be with a more favorable environment?"
he said.
Mr. Pereira listed some large cross-border deals that took place
in Brazil in 2016, including China's State Grid acquisition of a
majority stake in Brazil's electricity giant CPFL Energia for $4.5
billion. Brookfield Asset Management Inc., Canada's largest
alternative asset manager, said in September that it and its
partners would pay $5.2 billion for a 90% stake in a Brazilian
natural gas distribution network, purchasing it from oil giant
Petróleo Brasileiro SA, or Petrobras.
Credit Suisse is currently representing clients looking at other
assets belonging to Petrobras, though Mr. Pereira noted that doing
business in Brazil has changed since the start of a sprawling
anticorruption investigation, known as Operation Car Wash, at the
oil firm.
After selling $13.6 billion in assets over the last two years,
Petrobras still seeks to unload an additional $21 billion in assets
in the 2017-2018 period as it struggles to cut its huge debt
load.
The Car Wash probe has already ensnared some of the most
important business people in Brazil, along with high-ranking
politicians, and a prosecutor working on the case said recently
that he expects the investigation to continue for at least another
two to three years.
"Car Wash has made us very careful in terms of the people we
associate with.... We need to understand the behavior, or the level
of compliance, of our clients," he said, noting that the
anticorruption efforts will benefit Brazil in the long term,
despite "pains."
About U.S. President Donald Trump, Mr. Pereira said the bank
hasn't made any "strategic changes" ahead of the change in
government in the country.
Write to Luciana Magalhaes at Luciana.Magalhaes@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
February 06, 2017 11:39 ET (16:39 GMT)
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