UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549
Form 8-K
CURRENT REPORT
Pursuant
to Section 13 or 15(d)
of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934
Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): June 1, 2015
Atlas Resource Partners, L.P.
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)
Commission
File Number: 001-35317
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Delaware |
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45-3591625 |
(State or other jurisdiction
of incorporation) |
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(IRS Employer
Identification No.) |
Park Place Corporate Center One
1000 Commerce Drive, Suite 400
Pittsburgh, PA 15275
(Address of principal executive offices, including zip code)
800-251-0171
(Registrants telephone number, including area code)
(Former name or former address, if changed since last report)
Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the
following provisions:
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Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425) |
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Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12) |
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Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b)) |
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Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c)) |
Item 8.01. Other Events
On June 1, 2015, Atlas Resource Partners, L.P. (ARP) received an updated summary reserve report as of December 31, 2014
from Cawley, Gillespie, and Associates, Inc., the independent reserve engineer for ARPs assets located in the Rangely field in northwest Colorado. The updated summary reserve report is attached to this current report as Exhibit 99.3 and is
incorporated herein by reference.
Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits.
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23.1 |
Consent of Cawley, Gillespie, and Associates, Inc. |
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99.3 |
Rangely Summary Reserve Report of Cawley, Gillespie, and Associates, Inc. |
SIGNATURES
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by
the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.
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ATLAS RESOURCE PARTNERS, L.P. |
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By: Atlas Energy Group, LLC, its general partner |
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Date: June 1, 2015 |
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By: |
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/s/ Sean McGrath |
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Name: |
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Sean McGrath |
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Its: |
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Chief Financial |
EXHIBIT INDEX
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Exhibit No. |
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Description |
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23.1 |
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Consent of Cawley, Gillespie, and Associates, Inc. |
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99.3 |
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Rangely Summary Reserve Report of Cawley, Gillespie, and Associates, Inc. |
Exhibit 23.1
CONSENT OF INDEPENDENT PETROLEUM CONSULTANTS
We hereby consent to the incorporation by reference in the registration statement of Atlas Resource Partners, L.P. (the Partnership) on Form S-8
(File No. 333-180209, effective March 19, 2012) and Forms S-3 (File No. 333-182616, effective August 28, 2012, File No. 333-183995, effective October 2, 2012, File No. 333-193238, effective January 21, 2014,
File No. 333-193727, effective February 3, 2014, File No. 333-202827, effective March 27, 2015, File No. 333-203269, effective April 17, 2015, and File No. 333-203800, not
yet declared effective) and of the reference to Cawley, Gillespie & Associates, Inc. and the inclusion of our report dated June 1, 2015 in the Partnership and its subsidiaries filings heretofore or hereafter made with the
Securities and Exchange Commission under Sections 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended.
CAWLEY, GILLESPIE &
ASSOCIATES, INC.
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/s/ Robert D. Ravnaas, P.E. |
Robert D. Ravnaas, P.E. |
President |
June 1, 2015
Fort Worth,
Texas
Exhibit 99.3
CAWLEY, GILLESPIE & ASSOCIATES, INC.
PETROLEUM CONSULTANTS
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13640 BRIARWICK DRIVE, SUITE 100 |
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306 WEST SEVENTH STREET, SUITE 302 |
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1000 LOUISIANA STREET, SUITE 625 |
AUSTIN, TEXAS 78729-1707 |
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FORT WORTH, TEXAS 76102-4987 |
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HOUSTON, TEXAS 77002-5008 |
512-249-7000 |
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817- 336-2461 |
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713-651-9944 |
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www.cgaus.com |
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June 1, 2015
Mr. Trevor Mallernee
Atlas Resource Partners, LP
1026A Cookson Ave. SE
New Philadelphia, OH 44663
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Re: |
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Reserve Evaluation |
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Atlas Resource Partners, LP Interests |
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Total Proved Reserves |
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Certain Properties in Colorado and Wyoming |
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As of December 31, 2014 |
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Pursuant to the Guidelines of the |
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Securities and Exchange Commission for |
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Reporting Corporate Reserves and |
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Future Net Revenue |
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Dear Mr. Mallernee:
As requested, this report was prepared on January 20, 2015 for Atlas Resource Partners, LP (Atlas) for the purpose of
submitting our estimates of proved reserves and forecasts of economics attributable to the subject interests. We evaluated 100% of Atlas Rangely Weber Sand Unit Acquisition reserves, which are made up of oil and gas properties in Colorado and
Wyoming. It is our understanding that the reserves estimated in this report constituted approximately 12 percent of all reserves owned by Atlas. This report utilized an effective date of December 31, 2014, was prepared using constant prices and
costs, and conforms to Item 1202(a)(8) of Regulation S-K and other rules of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). The results of this evaluation are presented in the accompanying tabulation, with a composite summary of the values
presented below:
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Proved Developed Producing |
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Proved Developed Non-Producing |
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Proved Undeveloped |
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Total Proved |
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Net Reserves |
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Oil |
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Mbbl |
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9,625.9 |
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11,977.6 |
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5,074.3 |
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26,677.9 |
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Gas |
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MMcf |
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106.2 |
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0.0 |
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0.0 |
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106.2 |
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NGL |
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Mbbl |
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1,072.3 |
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1,211.4 |
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339.3 |
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2,623.0 |
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Revenue |
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Oil |
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M$ |
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848,235.6 |
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1,055,468.4 |
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447,149.0 |
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2,350,852.8 |
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Gas |
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M$ |
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435.3 |
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0.0 |
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0.0 |
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435.3 |
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NGL |
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Mbbl |
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76,391.7 |
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86,303.9 |
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24,172.8 |
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186,868.5 |
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Severance Taxes |
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M$ |
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27,751.9 |
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34,253.2 |
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14,139.7 |
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76,144.7 |
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Ad Valorem Taxes |
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M$ |
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40,398.8 |
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49,838.4 |
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20,573.2 |
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110,810.3 |
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Operating Expenses |
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M$ |
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391,818.8 |
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213,238.5 |
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41,043.2 |
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646,100.5 |
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Other Deductions |
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M$ |
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35,547.5 |
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7,803.1 |
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18,498.3 |
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61,848.9 |
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Investments |
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M$ |
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0.0 |
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264,391.7 |
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115,194.7 |
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379,586.4 |
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Net Operating Income (BFIT) |
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M$ |
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429,545.8 |
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572,247.6 |
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261,872.8 |
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1,263,666.1 |
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Discounted at 10% |
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M$ |
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253,633.7 |
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62,912.6 |
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67,168.6 |
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383,715.0 |
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Atlas Resource Partners, LP Interests
Reserve Evaluation
June 1, 2015
Page 2
Future revenue is prior to deducting state production taxes and ad valorem taxes. Future net
cash flow is after deducting these taxes, future capital costs and operating expenses, but before consideration of federal income taxes. In accordance with SEC guidelines, the future net cash flow has been discounted at an annual rate of ten percent
to determine its present worth. The present worth is shown to indicate the effect of time on the value of money and should not be construed as being the fair market value of the properties.
The oil reserves include oil and condensate. Oil volumes are expressed in barrels (42 U.S. gallons). Gas volumes are expressed in thousands of
standard cubic feet (Mcf) at contract temperature and pressure base.
Hydrocarbon Pricing
The base SEC oil and gas prices calculated for December 31, 2014 were $94.99/bbl and $4.35/MMBTU, respectively. As specified by the SEC, a
company must use a 12-month average price, calculated as the unweighted arithmetic average of the first-day-of-the-month price for each month within the 12-month period prior to the end of the reporting period. The base oil and gas prices are based
upon WTI-Cushing and Henry Hub spot prices, respectively, as published by the EIA for January 1, 2014 through December 1, 2014.
The base prices shown above were adjusted for differentials on a per-property basis, which may include local basis differentials,
transportation, gas shrinkage, gas heating value (BTU content) and/or crude quality and gravity corrections. After these adjustments, the net realized prices for the SEC price case over the life of the proved properties was estimated to be $88.12
per barrel for oil, $71.24 per barrel of NGL and $4.10 per MCF for gas. All economic factors were held constant in accordance with SEC guidelines.
Economic Parameters
Ownership was
accepted as furnished and has not been independently confirmed. Oil and gas price differentials, gas shrinkage, ad valorem taxes, severance taxes and lease operating expenses were calculated and prepared by Atlas and were reviewed by us for
reasonableness. Capital costs for new development wells, production equipment and workovers were scheduled as provided by Atlas. Capital costs were reviewed by us for reasonableness and compared to capital costs provided in previous years.
Adjustments were made as necessary after a review with Atlas. Lease operating expenses were either determined at the field or individual well level using averages calculated from historical lease operating statements. All economic parameters,
including lease operating expenses and capital costs, were held constant (not escalated) throughout the life of these properties.
SEC Conformance
and Regulations
The reserve classifications and the economic considerations used herein conform to the criteria of the SEC as
defined in pages 3 and 4 of the Appendix. The reserves and economics are predicated on regulatory agency classifications, rules, policies, laws, taxes and royalties currently in effect except as noted herein. Government policies and market
conditions different from those employed in this report may cause (1) the total quantity of oil or gas to be recovered, (2) actual production rates, (3) prices received, or (4) operating and capital costs to vary from those
presented in this report. However, we do not anticipate nor are we aware of any legislative changes or restrictive regulatory actions that may impact the recovery of reserves.
Atlas Resource Partners, LP Interests
Reserve Evaluation
June 1, 2015
Page 3
This evaluation includes multiple proved undeveloped locations in the Rangely Weber Sand Unit
in Rio Blanco County, Colorado. As requested, estimates of proved undeveloped reserves have only been included for properties that are economically producible at existing economic conditions. Each of these drilling locations proposed as part of
Atlas development plans conforms to the proved undeveloped standards as set forth by the SEC. In our opinion, Atlas has indicated they have every intent to complete this development plan within the next five years. Furthermore, Atlas has
demonstrated that they have the proper company staffing, financial backing and prior development success to ensure this five year development plan will be fully executed.
Reserve Estimation Methods
The
methods employed in estimating reserves are described in page 2 of the Appendix. Reserves for proved developed producing wells were estimated using production performance methods for the vast majority of properties. Certain new producing properties
with very little production history were forecast using a combination of production performance and analogy to similar production, both of which are considered to provide a relatively high degree of accuracy.
Non-producing reserve estimates, for developed and undeveloped properties, were forecast using either volumetric or analogy methods, or a
combination of both. These methods provide a relatively high degree of accuracy for predicting proved developed non-producing and proved undeveloped reserves for Atlas properties, due to the mature nature of their properties targeted for development
and an abundance of subsurface control data. The assumptions, data, methods and procedures used herein are appropriate for the purpose served by this report.
General Discussion
An on-site
field inspection of the properties has not been performed. The mechanical operation or condition of the wells and their related facilities have not been examined nor have the wells been tested by Cawley, Gillespie &
Associates, Inc. (CG&A) Possible environmental liability related to the properties has not been investigated nor considered. The cost of plugging and the salvage value of equipment at abandonment have not been included.
The estimates and forecasts were based upon interpretations of data furnished by your office and available from our files. To some extent
information from public records has been used to check and/or supplement these data. The basic engineering and geological data were subject to third party reservations and qualifications. Nothing has come to our attention, however, that would cause
us to believe that we are not justified in relying on such data. All estimates represent our best judgment based on the data available at the time of preparation. Due to inherent uncertainties in future production rates, commodity prices and
geologic conditions, it should be realized that the reserve estimates, the reserves actually recovered, the revenue derived therefrom and the actual cost incurred could be more or less than the estimated amounts.
Cawley, Gillespie & Associates, Inc. is a Texas Registered Engineering Firm (F-693), made up of independent registered professional
engineers and geologists that have provided petroleum consulting services to the oil and gas industry for over 50 years. This report has been prepared for Atlas use in filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission. This evaluation was
supervised by Robert D. Ravnaas, President at Cawley, Gillespie & Associates, Inc. and a State of Texas Licensed Professional Engineer
Atlas Resource Partners, LP Interests
Reserve Evaluation
June 1, 2015
Page 4
(License #61304). We do not own an interest in the properties, Atlas Resource Partners, LP and are not employed on a contingent basis. We have used all methods and procedures that we consider
necessary under the circumstances to prepare this report. Our work-papers and related data utilized in the preparation of these estimates are available in our office.
The professional qualifications of the undersigned, the technical person primarily responsible for the preparation of this report, are
included as an attachment to this letter.
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Sincerely, |
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CAWLEY, GILLESPIE & ASSOCIATES, INC. |
Texas Registered Engineering Firm F-693 |
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Robert D. Ravnaas, P.E. |
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President |
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APPENDIX
Explanatory Comments for Summary Tables
HEADINGS
Table I
Description of Table
Information
Identity of Interest Evaluated
Property Description Location
Reserve Classification and Development Status
Effective Date of Evaluation
FORECAST
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(Columns) |
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(1) (11) (21) |
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Calendar or Fiscal years/months commencing on effective date. |
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(2) (3) (4) |
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Gross Production (8/8th) for the years/months which are economical. These are expressed as thousands of barrels (Mbbl) and millions of cubic feet (MMcf) of gas at standard conditions. Total future production, cumulative
production to effective date, and ultimate recovery at the effective date are shown following the annual/monthly forecasts. |
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(5) (6) (7) |
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Net Production accruable to evaluated interest is calculated by multiplying the revenue interest times the gross production. These values take into account changes in interest and gas shrinkage. |
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(8) |
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Average (volume weighted) gross liquid price per barrel before deducting production-severance taxes. |
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(9) |
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Average (volume weighted) gross gas price per Mcf before deducting production-severance taxes. |
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(10) |
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Average (volume weighted) gross NGL price per barrel before deducting production-severance taxes. |
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(12) |
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Revenue derived from oil sales column (5) times column (8). |
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(13) |
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Revenue derived from gas sales column (6) times column (9). |
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(14) |
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Revenue derived from NGL sales column (7) times column (10). |
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(15) |
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Revenue derived from hedge positions. |
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(16) |
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Total Revenue sum of column (12) through column (15). |
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(17) |
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Production-Severance taxes deducted from gross oil, gas and NGL revenue. |
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(18) |
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Revenue after taxes column (16) less column (17). |
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(19) |
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Ad Valorem taxes. |
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(20) |
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$/BOE6 is the total of column (22), column (25), column (26), and column (27) divided by Barrels of Oil Equivalent (BOE). BOE is net oil production column (5) plus net gas production column (6) converted to
oil at six Mcf gas per one bbl oil plus net NGL production column (7) converted to oil at one bbl NGL per 0.65 bbls of oil. |
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(22) |
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Operating Expenses are direct operating expenses to the evaluated working interest and may include combined fixed rate administrative overhead
charges for operated oil and gas producers known as COPAS. |
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(23) |
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Average gross wells. |
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(24) |
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Average net wells are gross wells times working interest. |
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(25) |
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Work-over Expenses are non-direct operating expenses and may include maintenance, well service, compressor, tubing, and pump repair. |
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(26) |
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3rd Party COPAS are combined fixed rate administrative overhead charges for non-operated oil and gas producers. |
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(27) |
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Other Deductions may include compression-gathering expenses, transportation costs and water disposal costs. |
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(28) |
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Investments, if any, include re-completions, future drilling costs, pumping units, etc. and may include either tangible or intangible or both, and the costs for plugging and the salvage value of equipment at abandonment may
be shown as negative investments at end of life. |
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(29) (30) |
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Future Net Cash Flow is column (18) less the total of column (19), column (22), column (25), column (26), column (27) and column (28). The data in column (29) are accumulated in column (30). Federal income taxes have not been
considered. |
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(31) |
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Cumulative Discounted Cash Flow is calculated by discounting monthly cash flows at the specified annual rates. |
MISCELLANEOUS
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DCF Profile |
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The cumulative cash flow discounted at six different interest rates are shown at the bottom of columns (30-31). Interest has been compounded monthly. The DCFs for the Without
Hedge case may be shown to the left of the main DCF profile. |
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Life |
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The economic life of the appraised property is noted in the lower right-hand corner of the table. |
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Footnotes |
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Comments regarding the evaluation may be shown in the lower left-hand footnotes. |
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Price Deck |
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A table of oil and gas prices, price caps and escalation rates may be shown in the lower middle footnotes. |
APPENDIX
Methods Employed in the Estimation of Reserves
The four methods customarily
employed in the estimation of reserves are (1) production performance, (2) material balance, (3) volumetric and (4) analogy. Most estimates, although based primarily on one
method, utilize other methods depending on the nature and extent of the data available and the characteristics of the reservoirs.
Basic
information includes production, pressure, geological and laboratory data. However, a large variation exists in the quality, quantity and types of information available on individual properties. Operators are generally required by regulatory
authorities to file monthly production reports and may be required to measure and report periodically such data as well pressures, gas-oil ratios, well tests, etc. As a general rule, an operator has complete discretion in obtaining and/or
making available geological and engineering data. The resulting lack of uniformity in data renders impossible the application of identical methods to all properties, and may result in significant differences in the accuracy and reliability of
estimates.
A brief discussion of each method, its basis, data requirements, applicability and generalization as to its relative degree of
accuracy follows:
Production performance. This method employs graphical analyses of production data on the premise that all
factors which have controlled the performance to date will continue to control and that historical trends can be extrapolated to predict future performance. The only information required is production history. Capacity production can usually be
analyzed from graphs of rates versus time or cumulative production. This procedure is referred to as decline curve analysis. Both capacity and restricted production can, in some cases, be analyzed from graphs of producing rate
relationships of the various production components. Reserve estimates obtained by this method are generally considered to have a relatively high degree of accuracy with the degree of accuracy increasing as production history accumulates.
Material balance. This method employs the analysis of the relationship of production and pressure performance on the premise
that the reservoir volume and its initial hydrocarbon content are fixed and that this initial hydrocarbon volume and recoveries therefrom can be estimated by analyzing changes in pressure with respect to production relationships. This method
requires reliable pressure and temperature data, production data, fluid analyses and knowledge of the nature of the reservoir. The material balance method is applicable to all reservoirs, but the time and expense required for its use is dependent on
the nature of the reservoir and its fluids. Reserves for depletion type reservoirs can be estimated from graphs of pressures corrected for compressibility versus cumulative production, requiring only data that are usually available. Estimates for
other reservoir types require extensive data and involve complex calculations most suited to computer models which makes this method generally applicable only to reservoirs where there is economic justification for its use. Reserve estimates
obtained by this method are generally considered to have a degree of accuracy that is directly related to the complexity of the reservoir and the quality and quantity of data available.
Volumetric. This method employs analyses of physical measurements of rock and fluid properties to calculate the volume of
hydrocarbons in-place. The data required are well information sufficient to determine reservoir subsurface datum, thickness, storage volume, fluid content and location. The volumetric method is most applicable to reservoirs which are not susceptible
to analysis by production performance or material balance methods. These are most commonly newly developed and/or no-pressure depleting reservoirs. The amount of hydrocarbons in-place that can be recovered is not an integral part of the volumetric
calculations but is an estimate inferred by other methods and a knowledge of the nature of the reservoir. Reserve estimates obtained by this method are generally considered to have a low degree of accuracy; but the degree of accuracy can be
relatively high where rock quality and subsurface control is good and the nature of the reservoir is uncomplicated.
Analogy. This method which employs experience and judgment to estimate reserves, is based on observations of similar situations
and includes consideration of theoretical performance. The analogy method is applicable where the data are insufficient or so inconclusive that reliable reserve estimates cannot be made by other methods. Reserve estimates obtained by this method are
generally considered to have a relatively low degree of accuracy.
Much of the information used in the estimation of reserves is itself
arrived at by the use of estimates. These estimates are subject to continuing change as additional information becomes available. Reserve estimates which presently appear to be correct may be found to contain substantial errors as time passes and
new information is obtained about well and reservoir performance.
APPENDIX
Reserve Definitions and Classifications
The Securities and Exchange
Commission, in SX Reg. 210.4-10 dated November 18, 1981, as amended on September 19, 1989 and January 1, 2010, requires adherence to the following definitions of oil and gas reserves:
(22) Proved oil and gas reserves. Proved oil and gas reserves are those quantities of oil and gas, which, by analysis of
geoscience and engineering data, can be estimated with reasonable certainty to be economically produciblefrom a given date forward, from known reservoirs, and under existing economic conditions, operating methods, and government
regulations prior to the time at which contracts providing the right to operate expire, unless evidence indicates that renewal is reasonably certain, regardless of whether deterministic or probabilistic methods are used for the estimation. The
project to extract the hydrocarbons must have commenced or the operator must be reasonably certain that it will commence the project within a reasonable time.
(i) The area of a reservoir considered as proved includes: (A) The area identified by drilling and limited by fluid contacts, if
any, and (B) Adjacent undrilled portions of the reservoir that can, with reasonable certainty, be judged to be continuous with it and to contain economically producible oil or gas on the basis of available geoscience and engineering data.
(ii) In the absence of data on fluid contacts, proved quantities in a reservoir are limited by the lowest known hydrocarbons (LKH) as
seen in a well penetration unless geoscience, engineering, or performance data and reliable technology establishes a lower contact with reasonable certainty.
(iii) Where direct observation from well penetrations has defined a highest known oil (HKO) elevation and the potential exists for an
associated gas cap, proved oil reserves may be assigned in the structurally higher portions of the reservoir only if geoscience, engineering, or performance data and reliable technology establish the higher contact with reasonable certainty.
(iv) Reserves which can be produced economically through application of improved recovery techniques (including, but not limited to,
fluid injection) are included in the proved classification when: (A) Successful testing by a pilot project in an area of the reservoir with properties no more favorable than in the reservoir as a whole, the operation of an installed program in
the reservoir or an analogous reservoir, or other evidence using reliable technology establishes the reasonable certainty of the engineering analysis on which the project or program was based; and (B) The project has been approved for
development by all necessary parties and entities, including governmental entities.
(v) Existing economic conditions include prices
and costs at which economic producibility from a reservoir is to be determined. The price shall be the average price during the 12-month period prior to the ending date of the period covered by the report, determined as an unweighted arithmetic
average of the first-day-of-the-month price for each month within such period, unless prices are defined by contractual arrangements, excluding escalations based upon future conditions.
(6) Developed oil and gas reserves. Developed oil and gas reserves are reserves of any category that can be expected to be
recovered:
(i) Through existing wells with existing equipment and operating methods or in which the cost of the required equipment
is relatively minor compared to the cost of a new well; and
(ii) Through installed extraction equipment and infrastructure
operational at the time of the reserves estimate if the extraction is by means not involving a well.
(31) Undeveloped oil and
gas reserves. Undeveloped oil and gas reserves are reserves of any category that are expected to be recovered from new wells on undrilled acreage, or from existing wells where a relatively major expenditure is required for recompletion.
(i) Reserves on undrilled acreage shall be limited to those directly offsetting development spacing areas that are reasonably certain of
production when drilled, unless evidence using reliable technology exists that establishes reasonable certainty of economic producibility at greater distances.
(ii) Undrilled locations can be classified as having undeveloped reserves only if a development plan has been adopted indicating that
they are scheduled to be drilled within five years, unless the specific circumstances, justify a longer time.
(iii) Under no
circumstances shall estimates for undeveloped reserves be attributable to any acreage for which an application of fluid injection or other improved recovery technique is contemplated, unless such techniques have been proved effective by actual
projects in the same reservoir or an analogous reservoir, as defined in paragraph (a)(2) of this section, or by other evidence using reliable technology establishing reasonable certainty.
(18) Probable reserves. Probable reserves are those additional reserves that
are less certain to be recovered than proved reserves but which, together with proved reserves, are as likely as not to be recovered.
(i) When deterministic methods are used, it is as likely as not that actual remaining quantities recovered will exceed the sum of
estimated proved plus probable reserves. When probabilistic methods are used, there should be at least a 50% probability that the actual quantities recovered will equal or exceed the proved plus probable reserves estimates.
(ii) Probable reserves may be assigned to areas of a reservoir adjacent to proved reserves where data control or interpretations of
available data are less certain, even if the interpreted reservoir continuity of structure or productivity does not meet the reasonable certainty criterion. Probable reserves may be assigned to areas that are structurally higher than the proved area
if these areas are in communication with the proved reservoir.
(iii) Probable reserves estimates also include potential incremental
quantities associated with a greater percentage recovery of the hydrocarbons in place than assumed for proved reserves.
(iv) See
also guidelines in paragraphs (17)(iv) and (17)(vi) of this section (below).
(17) Possible reserves.
Possible reserves are those additional reserves that are less certain to be recovered than probable reserves.
(i) When
deterministic methods are used, the total quantities ultimately recovered from a project have a low probability of exceeding proved plus probable plus possible reserves. When probabilistic methods are used, there should be at least a 10% probability
that the total quantities ultimately recovered will equal or exceed the proved plus probable plus possible reserves estimates.
(ii)
Possible reserves may be assigned to areas of a reservoir adjacent to probable reserves where data control and interpretations of available data are progressively less certain. Frequently, this will be in areas where geoscience and engineering data
are unable to define clearly the area and vertical limits of commercial production from the reservoir by a defined project.
(iii)
Possible reserves also include incremental quantities associated with a greater percentage recovery of the hydrocarbons in place than the recovery quantities assumed for probable reserves.
(iv) The proved plus probable and proved plus probable plus possible reserves estimates must be based on reasonable alternative
technical and commercial interpretations within the reservoir or subject project that are clearly documented, including comparisons to results in successful similar projects.
(v) Possible reserves may be assigned where geoscience and engineering data identify directly adjacent portions of a reservoir within
the same accumulation that may be separated from proved areas by faults with displacement less than formation thickness or other geological discontinuities and that have not been penetrated by a wellbore, and the registrant believes that such
adjacent portions are in communication with the known (proved) reservoir. Possible reserves may be assigned to areas that are structurally higher or lower than the proved area if these areas are in communication with the proved reservoir.
(vi) Pursuant to paragraph (22)(iii) of this section (above), where direct observation has defined a highest known oil (HKO)
elevation and the potential exists for an associated gas cap, proved oil reserves should be assigned in the structurally higher portions of the reservoir above the HKO only if the higher contact can be established with reasonable certainty through
reliable technology. Portions of the reservoir that do not meet this reasonable certainty criterion may be assigned as probable and possible oil or gas based on reservoir fluid properties and pressure gradient interpretations.
Instruction 4 of Item 2(b) of Securities and Exchange Commission Regulation S-K was revised January 1, 2010 to state that a
registrant engaged in oil and gas producing activities shall provide the information required by Subpart 1200 of Regulation SK. This is relevant in that Instruction 2 to paragraph (a)(2) states: The registrant is permitted,
but not required, to disclose probable or possible reserves pursuant to paragraphs (a)(2)(iv) through (a)(2)(vii) of this Item.
(26) Reserves. Reserves are estimated remaining quantities of oil and gas and related substances anticipated to be
economically producible, as of a given date, by application of development projects to known accumulations. In addition, there must exist, or there must be a reasonable expectation that there will exist, the legal right to produce or a revenue
interest in the production, installed means of delivering oil and gas or related substances to market, and all permits and financing required to implement the project.
Note to paragraph (26): Reserves should not be assigned to adjacent reservoirs isolated by major, potentially sealing, faults until those
reservoirs are penetrated and evaluated as economically producible. Reserves should not be assigned to areas that are clearly separated from a known accumulation by a non-productive reservoir (i.e., absence of reservoir, structurally low reservoir,
or negative test results). Such areas may contain prospective resources (i.e., potentially recoverable resources from undiscovered accumulations).