Crude Pares Losses on Surprise Storage Drop
October 26 2016 - 12:40PM
Dow Jones News
By Alison Sider and Sarah McFarlane
U.S. oil pared losses but remained depressed after another week
of draining stockpiles took market participants by surprise.
Prices briefly popped above $50 a barrel after the U.S. Energy
Information Administration reported that crude storage levels fell
once again -- the seventh draw down in eight weeks -- before
pulling back.
U.S. crude futures were down 48 cents, or 0.96%, at $49.48 a
barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Brent, the global
benchmark, fell 64 cents, or 1.26%, to $50.15.
U.S. crude stockpiles dropped by 553,000 barrels in the week
ended Oct. 21, confounding expectations of a 2.1 million barrel
increase, according to analysts surveyed by The Wall Street
Journal. An industry group had forecast Tuesday that stockpiles
rose by 4.8 million barrels during the week,
"Clearly, the supply and demand balance are trending toward
tightening," said Jason Bloom, director of commodity strategy at
Invesco PowerShares.
The EIA also reported larger-than-expected draws from gasoline
and diesel inventories. The total amount of all oil and refined
products in storage fell by 8.7 million barrels.
Gasoline futures fell 2.21 cents, or 1.47% to $1.4784 a gallon.
Diesel futures fell 1.16 cents, or 0.74%, to $1.5515 a gallon.
Despite weeks of draining stocks, some analysts have a cautious
outlook on when supply and demand will come back into balance,
particularly with U.S. production ticking higher for a second week
in a row, according the EIA.
"We're entering winter with pretty robust inventories and
climbing production," said Rob Haworth, senior investment
strategist at the Private Client Reserve at U.S. Bank.
Analysts said the inventory report wasn't bullish enough to
shake off concerns about the Organization of the Petroleum
Exporting Countries' ability to reach a consensus about cutting
production.
The latest hurdle to any deal among major oil exporters came
from Iraq, OPEC's second-largest producer after Saudi Arabia, which
said it needs oil income to fund its continuing war against Islamic
State.
"It is increasingly evident that Iraq's ambitions are not in
line with OPEC's preliminary accord to reduce output," brokerage
PVM said.
Analysts say Iraq's refusal could entice smaller producers to
also snub the deal or ask for special exemptions in November, when
OPEC will meet to discuss the details of the cuts, including output
quotas for individual members.
"The only countries that can afford to cut production are Saudi
Arabia and Russia, but they would have the losing end of the deal
if they are the only ones to cut," said Jonathan Chan, a Phillip
Futures energy analyst.
Russia's unclear stance is also fueling uncertainty. It had
previously signaled its willingness to join an OPEC cut, but recent
comments by its oil officials show the country is likely pivoting
away.
The bulls in the market, however, think that, given OPEC members
are mostly petro-dependent economies, they may opt to scale back or
limit output for now to jump-start prices.
"We think OPEC has endured low oil prices for far too long, with
much damage already done on its fiscal space. That alone should
coax the cartel to initiate a production cut," said Barnabas Gan,
an economist at OCBC.
Jenny W. Hsu contributed to this article
Write to Alison Sider at alison.sider@wsj.com and Sarah
McFarlane at sarah.mcfarlane@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
October 26, 2016 12:25 ET (16:25 GMT)
Copyright (c) 2016 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.