The Trends Re-Appear
09/27/2004
Although I did not get the chance to mention on BBC this week, we are seeing some prolongued trends. Even the likes of 'beaten' Colt Telecom which is showing a strong steady trend - the type we trend followers and momentum traders like. It is clearly trying to reach 80p which would be a hefty profit for holders. I would keep a tight stop - a 3 day low and be outta there.
Big Food's rally shows strength too but is not totally convincing and I expect it to move to 90p before continuing upwards in a gentle slope back to 110p.
Corus in the short term is also looking well and healthy. NHP is a bit toppy after its strong rally as is SIG. So what view to take on them? I would wait for a break above recent highs before turning short-term positive.
Misys is also on the radar as a break-out stock to the upside - looking for a quick 10% rise from 200p to 220p here. Next's rise for the medium term fueled by positive news comment seems likely to continue even though in the short-term it is overbought and could fall as far back as £15.50.
You can meet me at IX Expo next month. Drop me an email with your address to alpesh@tradermind.com if you would like a free multi-media CDROM on 'Investing Better' posted to you.
Back at the ranch, I have mentioned the upside stocks. Looking at the downside - British Airways. Remember, last year it was at half the price it is today and it is on a downward trend as things stand.
Cadbury has also broken its uptrend and is on a downward path. Any fall below 415p would mean sellers pouncing to push it further south.
Value-Growth
The stocks on my radar which meet my proprietary criteria on value and growth measuring price to earnings growth, sales, profits, and numerous other factors include: Dart Group, Hilton Group, Brandon Hire, Dechra Pharma.
Crazy Small Stock
These are high risk volatile stocks which could move sharply higher or move sharply lower in my view, but will almost certainly not stand still. Names on the radar include Ideal Shopping Direct, Thomson Intermedia and First Calgary.
M&A Target HitList
Will someone put Laura Ashley out of its misery - albeit the stock has rallied of late. Other speculations on M&A include London Scottish Bank and Vitec.
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