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FuelCell Energy Inc

FuelCell Energy Inc (FCEL)

0.8026
-0.0272
(-3.28%)
Closed May 18 4:00PM
0.82
0.0174
(2.17%)
After Hours: 7:59PM

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FCEL News

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FCEL Discussion

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Hoghead7 Hoghead7 23 minutes ago
Unfortunately, I'm not aware of any current investment. Hence $0 Q1 assets vs $100+M Q1 2023. I'm really banking on South Korea and hoping for a positive update during Q2 call.
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Hoghead7 Hoghead7 29 minutes ago
You would think we would be at EPS by at least $.01 based on likely $5M more revenue if we at least match Adv tech rev. Not sure if there may have been greater or lesser cap ex. I know there was no late fees for anything and cheaper revenue through generation. They are expanding and ramping up in Canada, and may be in CT in prep for MCFC needs.
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King James 1 King James 1 47 minutes ago
The one thing I feel confident of is that the more recurring revenue the more stable we are because we are generating income with "sunk" costs (not counting any repairs or maintenance). And with all the new hiring we did the work force should become more efficient with time. Since we are mandated to have (over 600 employees) the answer is to grow to need over that amount with more contracts for our platforms. We made (0.05) two qtr. Don't see how we do not beat that.
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King James 1 King James 1 1 hour ago
Wow! 30mil/quarter. That is a steep hill to climb. We need to hear from Korea. We get some from Exxon each qtr (2.5), I think one replacement module 3rd quarter, Any chance of anything from DOE like Plug?
Have you ever read any of the PPA's?.
I am curious about the REC that should be available with Sacramento, but if this is the first chance (or second if you count Toyota) to qualify, what would show up in the PPA? If I am right someone gets the REC which carries value for every 1 MW hour produced.
The moneys we have in investments I keep forgetting the amounts. Will have to review Q1 report. A lot to review. And if we sold shares we should have more cash?
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Hoghead7 Hoghead7 3 hours ago
Last 11 Q Adv Tech Rev average is $4.75M with low of $3.7M. 2nd low was $4.1M, then $4.3. Safe estimate would be $4.3M. $15M is conservative estimate for Generation, hoping we hit $16M. Not sure where any other revenue will come from so I'm thinking Very conservatively, $19.3M Revenue which would be a disappointment to say the least. But, I've been wrong far more often than right, and occasionally very wrong. That said we can hope Advanced Tech matches the high of $7.5M. So high end would be $23.5M without product or S&L revenue. Let's hope analysts are smart enough to figure similarly or lower. The good news is, we set the "Low watermark" and more revenue is definitely coming moving forward as S&L begins Q3 & grows in Q4! We actually had losses of $.8M & $1.1M In the S&L category based on losses with Toyota due to extensions before operational.
Cash 1/31/24 $297.5M vs $249.9M 1/31/23!
Restricted cash $5.96M vs $5.16M
Inventory $102.86M vs $84.45M
Other assets $13.15M vs $12.88M
Total assets declined $923.2M vs $955.5M
Based on $103.76M short term investments in 2023 vs 2024. Need to maintain available, unrestricted cash for balance sheet so can't have $ tied up in investment is my opinion. Burn has wide range of $20-$45M previously which should be improving with Toyota, Derby 1+2 operational and Groton now at full $7.4MW. SK would be HUUUGE right now and secure big cash flow until the company reaches profitability! C'mon $23M and loss of $.04 with cash burn under $25M. That would be a home run!!
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Hoghead7 Hoghead7 4 hours ago
13 business days to earnings if the 6th is correct. I'm going to look at 8 quarters averages for Advanced tech, and analysts estimates. I'm hoping there's some sort of revenue from sales and Adv tech is over $4M. We definitely beat the "low watermark, but I'm not confident by much. Although if the are even getting to 2023 revenue for the year, they need to average well over $30M per Q for the remainder of the year.
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hopester hopester 1 day ago
How nice!
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hopester hopester 1 day ago
Looks like sellers are still cashing in. Whether its shorts or holders , both believe the stock is headed lower. Where's the buyers . Only ones I see are the same old bottom fishers thinking the stock is cheap. Then funnily it gets cheaper.
Deny that Longies!
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King James 1 King James 1 1 day ago
The recent news of the biogas project for Sacramento Waste Water district made me wonder if it would qualify for REC's since it would run off of 100% biogas as reported in this newswire?

"The system runs directly on on-site biogas from the wastewater treatment process, without costly upgrading to pipeline quality gas, or the costly pipeline build out to connect that gas to a common carrier pipeline to produce clean power."

Sacramento Wastewater Biofuel Clean Energy Project
DANBURY, Conn., April 11, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- FuelCell Energy, Inc. (Nasdaq: FCEL)
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bagwa-john bagwa-john 1 day ago
Looks like a Friday afternoon short effort is under way across the boards. Same time same dips co-inky-dinks.
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hopester hopester 1 day ago
Now you're facing the facts. Guess work rarely is right.
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hopester hopester 1 day ago
$.50 getting more likely .
The hammer is doing it again.
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hopester hopester 1 day ago
You call it a "recent attack on shares". Now King Shames have you not been paying attention. This selling has been going on for 3 years; nothing new.
And there's been no "attack".Its all been an adjustment towhat the market sees the value of the companY is.
Besides right now the value is below zero; thus its currently OVERVALUED.
C'mon; Open your eyes.
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hopester hopester 1 day ago
Well done igotno ! You've shredded the illogic of it perfectly.
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hopester hopester 1 day ago
Mistake listening to the pushers.
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igotthemojo igotthemojo 1 day ago
"And judging by the 21% short value it seems many are not appreciating that share price in the secondary market is not always an indicator of the underlying performance of the company."

been hearing that since 20 bucks a share...after so many years and a pps now of 82 cents, maybe its time to realize that the underlying performance of the stock sucks...THATS why the pps is 82 cents!...

maybe things could get better...maybe Few will suddenly become competent...but until there is evidence suggesting that there is a reversal occurring, there is no reason to go long on this company....it is to be traded only...

"Work in progress, cash on hand, patent value, plant, equipment etc do not change value with the stock price."

if you dont make enough money to cover your expenses, that means you are losing money...fcel has been losing money for a very long time...if you have had enough time and cant get your company to profitability, thats a huge red flag...

"Work in progress"

apparently there isnt enough work in progress...

"cash on hand"

borrowed money or money created from dilution is not impressive...cash on hand from profits is what investors want to see...money as a result of beg, borrowing or stealing from investors is not....

"patent value"

fcel shares all patents with Exxon...thus, they are not worth as much as you think...

"plant, equipment"

plant, equipment, coffee pots and the ceo's shoes are good when liquidating...otherwise, they are just what you need to stay in business...

"I am not saying stock price is something you don't have to reckon with but with regard to FCEL it is presently out of perspective."

the stock price is what it is...82 cents for a share of fcel is what the price is...saying it isnt fair or it should be higher is meaningless...

"A scare tactic."

admitting you are frightened at the sight of the pps is healthy...because you should be...

" look at the progress made in the last 3-4 yrs."

that "progress" has taken the pps from the $20's to 82 cents...is that supposed to impress?...

"One domino is all it takes!"

and when you make a house of cards, all it takes is one card to bring it all down...
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bagwa-john bagwa-john 1 day ago
I loosened my grip on 500 shares of Ballard last week, but couldn't start buying until this week, but collected over 1700 new shares here, to add to my total. Crazy rule that the money from the sale has to clear first. Always handy to already have some ready cash in the account waiting, which I didn't have.
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King James 1 King James 1 1 day ago
I look at the recent attack on share price as part of a strategy to suppress the stock generally. Maybe it allows time for more institutional buyers or more longs to jump in.

And judging by the 21% short value it seems many are not appreciating that share price in the secondary market is not always an indicator of the underlying performance of the company. In other words generation revenue doesn't rise or fall with the daily or monthly stock price. Work in progress, cash on hand, patent value, plant, equipment etc do not change value with the stock price. I am not saying stock price is something you don't have to reckon with but with regard to FCEL it is presently out of perspective. A scare tactic.
I may be wrong but this "dead horse" has been beat up by critics so many times there is a certain amount of complacency with regard to changing the narrative. Like you said, look at the progress made in the last 3-4 yrs. Your summaries are a testimony to that. One domino is all it takes!
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King James 1 King James 1 1 day ago
Realistic in all expectations and I agree with hoping to get it right. Few is always measured in his choice of words. Low water was pretty clear but of course that doesn't say how much higher the water mark will go.
I may be too optimistic but we did get an extra day of generation across all modules due to leap year. If expenses have been curtailed, bottom line on Operations will improve. Sometimes three weeks can feel like an eternity.
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Hoghead7 Hoghead7 1 day ago
PS I believe there's actually a possibility they may be confident enough to make a statement regarding the non-compliance with NASDAQ guidelines, something to the effect of we expect to regain compliance after our Q2 earnings and conference call. That would make a powerful statement and would likely get back over a dollar before the conference call
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Hoghead7 Hoghead7 1 day ago
Really hoping I'm correct about earnings, I've been convinced before about certain revenue and ended up being wrong on more than one occasion. The only specific revenue I'm banking on this time is the generation revenue. On the rest we can go by averages. Per last business update during Q1 call there are no module replacements scheduled until Q3. Which means the full generation portfolio should be there, and Q3 should be similar although there is one small replacement which means a little bit of downtime on the module being replaced but that revenue is made up in service! Q2+Q3 generation should average over $15M. Then we will get a basis after Q3 of approximately how much we can expect from generation moving forward. Q4 we have more service scheduled, hence more downtime but a higher amount of money from service. So although generation may slip at times quarter to quarter, We will pick up more than what we lost from that in service. You would have to look back about eight quarters to get a real average on Advanced technologies. Sales will be based on a variety of things I'm not sure of how they account for. I don't know if the complete sale is counted after a project goes fully operational, or an increments. Might be a good question for the conference call. I believe over the next eight quarters, Advanced technologies will have a slight uptick in average revenue based on the new contract with ExxonMobil, which also has a variable. $10M minimum per year. So we can est at least $2.5M per Q average from Exxon alone. But I am relatively confident there's other revenue in the advanced technologies category, possibly another question for the conference call.
https://s21.q4cdn.com/256256048/files/doc_financials/2024/q1/FCEL-Q1-2024-Financial-Results-Presentation-FINAL-1.pdf
Service schedule is in the link above. And anyone reading all of that information has to be optimistic. How could anyone possibly read that business update, and have a vastly improved Q2, and not be extremely optimistic. So obviously we are hinging on Q2 validating the low watermark comment in Q1.
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King James 1 King James 1 1 day ago
Less than three weeks until Q2 report. Watch out shorts! Revenue beat and possible more good news. They had better be careful with that domino!
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Hoghead7 Hoghead7 1 day ago
One good thing, Volume seems to be back to reality. Hopefully we have a new average moving forward over the next couple of months of 15 to 20 million shares per day. Although I believe there's going to be at least a week of heavy volume when the share price goes up.
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Hoghead7 Hoghead7 1 day ago
Unfortunately there's going to be social media about non-compliance with the NASDAQ, I'm pretty sure it's already beyond the 30 days. We will likely see something by early next week. Hopefully there is some encouraging language suggesting confidence we expect to regain compliance well before any deadlines.
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Hoghead7 Hoghead7 1 day ago
Perspective! Everybody has an opinion, And it's usually based on whatever information they have including what others say. Some dig in to find facts some not so much. The rocket to $29.44 was unjustified. The significant decline after that was justified. Yes you heard me honestly and accurately. However, The decline to under $2 was completely unjustified. Which obviously suggests under $1 is ridiculous because it is. Clearly all non-profitable stocks without a clear path to profit have been punished significantly for an extended period of time. Primarily related to the overall economy inflation and interest rates. This company has vastly improved in many ways over the past 2 years, and maintain a stable financial profile (main reason to not have money invested in non-profitable companies in economies like this) throughout. They have already strengthened their image with people such as myself and obviously with institutions. The ongoing volatility is strictly related to manipulation. Every single individual and institution doing any diligence and having at least average intellect understands this company has a very bright future, In people invested long-term will profit significantly. There are people with a lot of money just playing games right now trying to make as much as they can in the interim because they can. In my humble opinion, anyone able to purchase shares under $1 is basically receiving a Golden ticket. Willy Wonka!! Because anyone with an average purchase price under $5 is going to make a very nice profit within the next couple of years at the latest. That does not mean people with a $10 average won't make money, I'm talking about 1,000% profit when I say a nice prophet. If anyone investing ever knew they can make even 25% profit a year they would be ecstatic. Well, at this point I'm 100% convinced I will make well over 500% profit average per year for the next 3 years. As long as there's not complete market destruction. One of if not the main reason the share price is where it is is because of COVID. That was the primary impact on inflation and the economy. At least modestly impaired supply chain and construction and significantly impacted inflation and interest rates. Within the next 3 years, This stock will have already hit $100. So by May, 2027 I along with any other long-term investors taking advantage of these to pressed prices will be able to comfortably retire if we so choose. And I only say within the next 3 years because no one in their right mind could have predicted the share price would be depressed and manipulated for 3 years. This could happen within months with the right news. Hence TICK TOCK!!!
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Hoghead7 Hoghead7 1 day ago
For those investors doing their diligence information like this is fabulous.
https://t.co/Lk3Aazdp1q
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King James 1 King James 1 1 day ago
Was there a large tranche of shares over 300,000 traded in premarket today?
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King James 1 King James 1 1 day ago
Thank you for the feedback. The devil is in the details with all similarly situated companies. Have you ever read an actual FCEL PPA agreement with any of the companies that FCEL has a relationship with? Is it possible for shareholders to view that level of detail?
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uksausage uksausage 1 day ago
Does Fuel Cell energy qualify to โ€œearnโ€ any REC - maybe for TriGen but all the rest of their energy is generated using Natural gas.

So not relevant at all for now. May be when nuclear systems are installed or they switch to certified green hydrogen. but no sign of them even looking for customer to use green hydrogen wit their SOFC - the reverse - they are looking to generate green hydrogen with the SOEC.
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hopester hopester 1 day ago
All should observe King Shames and Hogwash talk only to each other. Each is leaning on the other for daily reinforcement of their losing convictions.
Neither pays any mind to the message of the market and , the quarterly reports, or analysts research. Rather they create exaggerated scenarios based purely on wishful thinking.
Thus they sit with an $.86 cent stock that looks to go lower and can't get past $1.00. But it makes them feel good!
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hopester hopester 1 day ago
Most likely the same person. It's all part of the effort to convince others to Buy a/o Hold .
But record and the results has proven otherwise.
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King James 1 King James 1 2 days ago
Is that the same Krays from 2019, post 9880? You have been around a while.
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krays krays 2 days ago
Isnโ€™t Camfield7 and Hoghead 7 one and the the same person Barry?
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King James 1 King James 1 2 days ago
A REC is a tradable commodity. It has value. Where is the value if not with the owner?
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King James 1 King James 1 2 days ago
So if Connecticut mandates that "generators" of clean energy buy a certain amount of REC's and REC's are traded like other commodities, wouldn't that be an
" asset " for the company?

https://portal.ct.gov/pura/rps/renewable-portfolio-standards-overview

Connecticut Renewable Portfolio Standard
ย 
The Connecticut Renewable Portfolio Standard (RPS) is a state policy that requires electric providers to offset a specified percentage or amount of the energy they generate or sell by purchasing renewable energy credits (RECs) from renewable sources.
ย 
This policy creates a financial incentive for development of renewable energy projects by ensuring a market and steady stream of revenue for renewable generators.
ย 
Owners of electricity generation projects that qualify as renewable under one of the three classes of Connecticutโ€™s RPS receive one REC for every megawatt-hour (MWh) of electricity they produce.

These RECs are tradable commodities that allow the environmental attribute of the renewable energy to be bought and sold separately from the energy commodity itself.

etc etc
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igotthemojo igotthemojo 2 days ago
"Specifically how do the Renewable Energy Certificates fit in?"

i would suggest bending over, breath out and just shove real hard...
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Go Hawks13 Go Hawks13 2 days ago
So a stock that does not make profits, misses earnings almost every quarter, and revenue is decreasing is undervalued?????????????????????
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King James 1 King James 1 2 days ago
Do we own the REC's?


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King James 1 King James 1 2 days ago
Off subject: I have never read an actual FCEL PPA agreement with a power purchaser. Is it possible to see and read one? Specifically how do the Renewable Energy Certificates fit in?
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hopester hopester 2 days ago
Analysts project an $.08 loss/sh for the quarter. That's a 60% increase from the prior quarter. It's based on the lack of new contracts and another disappointing revenues report as Expenses eat into the numbers.
This will be the 10th straight quarter of losses since FEW was to change things. Instead he diluted the shares thereby diluting shareholder value by 50%.
Perma Bulls have been making wild statements about the earnings report coming. Ask them how they determine it. You'll find them making assumptions but no facts to base it on. Excuse after excuse and what is shown for it.
Quite Embarassing!
Delisting a clear possibility
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hopester hopester 2 days ago
The stockhas a negative value ie less than zero according to Peter Lynch's trusted formula.
The current price builds in the meager positive news given since the last quarter.
No professional analysts has changed his opinion and not one has a BUY rating on it.
The stock can easily move to $.50/sh and with equal ease, get de-listed.
No doubt, bounces along the way can come. But with each bounce Sellers come in, taking what they can,
FEW has not given one indication things will improve. No game changing news has been told to sooth worried shareholders.
Shorts know the facts and wisely have taken advantage.
"Manipulation" is no more than an excuse for facts.
Follow the market and stick with the trend. Avoid the promoters flowery talk, They cannot show real evidence of a change but spew out what they wish for.Wishing has never been a profitable way to own or buy a stock.
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fsulevine fsulevine 2 days ago
Yepโ€ฆ that is why I said to check its 5-day chart.
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King James 1 King James 1 2 days ago
It was 0.06 on the 13th!!!!! Don't blink in this market.!
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King James 1 King James 1 2 days ago
I have had June 6, on my calendar for months now. I forgot about the fees dragging down previous quarters being gone. I too believe we could have (0.04) v (0.05) maybe a little better. Either way showtime is drawing near. The dominos are set. All 451 + million of them. The word is six days for shorts to cover 94 million shares. In the words of Herbert Morrison, "Oh the humanity!"
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fsulevine fsulevine 2 days ago
Its back down to $1.33 now. Was halted at $2.12 when I posted my comment.
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King James 1 King James 1 2 days ago
Go Reddit! What a smokin gain for some lucky people!
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King James 1 King James 1 2 days ago
The stock is undervalued and has been systematically shorted for months. The price is manipulated down as much as possible and within a tight range.
I think the likelihood of delisting to be small although I can see how we might get a warning if the price stays here.
I doubt Few et all are not keenly aware. Not laissez faire in the matter and may have a plan to burn the shorts and drive the price in the opposite direction. There is no gain for them to ruin bonuses and cut their own throats. The expectation that we are a small cap struggling company may be a Trojan Horse. And as you know;
" Familiarity
Breeds
Contempt".
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hopester hopester 2 days ago
Stock continues to show no Buying interest as Sellers seize an opportunity to take small profits.
This show a lack of confidence even with Long term Holders who have been disillusioned by the company and its performance. Every reason shows they were right .
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fsulevine fsulevine 2 days ago
Not FCEL relatedโ€ฆ check out the 5-day chart for FFIE. Holy Moly!!! That Reddit group has done it again! Maybe they can come to our baby?
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hopester hopester 2 days ago
Analysts expectlosses to continue quarter after quarter for the next 5 years.
As one could see, the stock reacted to the last quarter negatively as analysts were unimpressed.
The estimate among 4 analysts is a loss of $.08/sh which translates into a 60%increase from the prior quarter.
That was $.05/sh loss.That's the reason the stock dropped and stllis going lower since that report.
The market follows intelligent research It pays no mindd to promotional one sided incomplete research .
https://www.nasdaq.com/market-activity/stocks/fcel/earnings
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