BERLIN—Volkswagen AG, the German car maker embroiled in an
emissions-cheating crisis, said Wednesday it swung to a €1.73
billion ($1.9 billion) third-quarter net loss and issued a
full-year profit warning, as the cost of repairing tainted
diesel-powered cars began to slam earnings.
The quarterly loss, Volkswagen's first in more than a decade,
compares with a net profit of €2.9 billion a year earlier. The loss
was caused by a €6.7 billion charge against earnings that the
company has taken to pay for a global recall of up to 11 million
cars containing software that allows them to dupe emissions
tests.
As the costs of the crisis continue to mount, Volkswagen warned
that full-year operating profit for both the group and the
passenger cars business will be "down significantly year-on-year."
But the company was unable to provide much detail as the final cost
of the recall, potential fines from regulators, and lawsuits remain
unknown.
"The initial impact of the current situation is becoming clear.
We will do everything in our power to win back the trust we have
lost," said Chief Executive Matthias Mü ller.
Volkswagen's interim report contained no surprises. It was well
received by investors, who pointed to the company's good cash
position and a minor increase in provisions to finance the recall.
Volkswagen initially earmarked €6.5 billion for it.
"We see it as a positive signal that management has pretty much
kept the provision for the diesel scandal unchanged," said Arndt
Ellinghorst, automotive analyst at Evercore ISI. "Together with the
very strong net liquidity this should reassure both equity and
fixed income investors."
Volkswagen shares were trading up more than 3% at about €108
throughout the morning on the Frankfurt Stock Exchange.
The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency disclosed on Sept. 18
that some Volkswagen diesel-powered cars contained software that
allowed them to perform better on emissions tests in the lab than
during road use.
The company has since admitted to deceiving environmental
authorities in the U.S. and Europe and faces regulatory and
criminal investigations in several countries as well as shareholder
and customer lawsuits.
Filling several pages in its financial report for the third
quarter, Volkswagen provided a list of potential risks, including
confirmation that it is under investigation by the U.S. Department
of Justice. It also cites investigations by attorneys general in
several U.S. states into allegations of false advertising for the
company's extensive "clean diesel" campaign.
So far, the emissions crisis, which erupted at the end of the
quarter, is having almost no impact on the company's operations.
Group revenue, which excludes sales from Volkswagen's joint
ventures in China, rose 5.3% to €51.5 billion, boosted by strong
sales in Western Europe and bucking the continued decline in
emerging markets such as Russia and Brazil.
The performance of the company's main car brands remained strong
in the quarter, though the deterioration of emerging markets such
as Russia and Brazil continued and sales and earnings in China
weakened. The slowdown in China, Volkswagen's biggest market, could
be of particular concern because of it big contribution to
Volkswagen's profit.
In the first nine months of the year, Volkswagen sales in China
fell more than 5% to 2.6 million vehicles and profit from its joint
ventures fell slightly to €3.8 billion from €3.9 billion a year
ago.
The question that Volkswagen still can't answer is how much the
crisis is going to cost in the end and how that will impact the
company's longer term financial health.
There were few answers in the interim report.
The final bill for the emissions crisis will be determined by
the costs of fixing customers' cars, potentially billions in fines
from the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency and other regulators,
as well as possible compensation for shareholders and
customers.
Moody's, the credit rating agency, has estimated that in the
worst case, Volkswagen's total cost for the emissions crisis could
be as high as €31 billion to the end of 2017. Volkswagen has called
that pure speculation.
One part of the math within Volkswagen's control is how it
manages the recall.
Volkswagen plans to begin a global recall of up to 11 million
vehicles next year, but the details are still sketchy. Many of the
cars affected will be fixed with a relatively simple and
inexpensive software update on the engine's controller.
But the company has said that older models will require a costly
hardware fix. That is why Volkswagen is considering swapping older
diesel models for new models, offering customers that turn in old
diesel models a hefty discount on a new car, according to a person
familiar with the situation.
Analysts warn that a kind of cash-for-clunkers program that
offers customers a steep discount on a new car could send the
recall costs, now slated at €6.7 billion, skyrocketing.
One factor working in Volkswagen's favor is that the company is
still generating a lot of cash and it has a number of assets that
it can turn into cash. Some analysts have suggested Volkswagen
could sell minority stakes in its profit-engines, Audi and Porsche,
for example.
Volkswagen recently sold its stake in Japanese auto maker Suzuki
Motor Corp, which led to a capital gain of €1.5 billion that helped
boost the company's net liquidity to €27.8 billion at the end of
September. Liquidity, which is cash and securities after
liabilities, was €21.5 billion at the end of June.
Frank Witter, Volkswagen's chief finance officer, said the car
maker has "very solid and robust liquidity resources. This will
help us manage the challenging situation caused by the financial
impact of the diesel issue."
Write to William Boston at william.boston@wsj.com
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(END) Dow Jones Newswires
October 28, 2015 09:15 ET (13:15 GMT)
Copyright (c) 2015 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.