Neutral on Energy Transfer - Analyst Blog
June 09 2011 - 12:21PM
Zacks
We are maintaining our long-term Neutral rating on
Energy Transfer Partners L.P. (ETP) based on its
growth momentum, which is aided by acquisitions and joint ventures,
strong volume expansion and modest price increases. These positive
aspects are somewhat diluted by the challenging macro environment,
weak natural gas fundamentals and cost overruns on development
projects.
In the first quarter of 2011, Energy Transfer gave a
disappointing performance, with earnings per unit of 71 cents
coming in below the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.03 and 74 cents
in the year-ago quarter. Revenue of $1,687.6 million was down 9.9%
year over year and missed our projection by 19.1%.
The partnership also reported lower distributable cash flows of
$337.1 million in the quarter (compared with $384.6 million in the
prior-year quarter), hurt by collapsing gas prices. Additionally,
market turmoil resulting from issues such as the recent subprime
crisis, which hindered access to debt/equity markets, will likely
impact Energy Transfer’s business prospects.
With acquisitions playing a major role in Energy Transfer’s
growth profile, failure on the part of management to complete
accretive transactions in a timely manner might place the
partnership in a disadvantageous position.
We believe these negative sentiments are counterbalanced by
Energy Transfer’s geographically dispersed asset mix that positions
it well to compete in the natural gas midstream and transportation
& storage businesses. The partnership has a significant market
presence in each of its operating areas, which are located in major
natural gas-producing regions of the U.S.
Energy Transfer’s recent collaboration with Regency
Energy Partners L.P. (RGNC) to acquire LDH Energy Asset
Holdings shows a lot of promise. We believe the acquisition will
broaden the partnership’s asset base with strong midstream services
and transportation and storage businesses apart from providing
additional consistent fee-based revenues in the coming months.
Further, we believe Energy Transfer’s two prominent pipeline
projects -- Fayetteville Express Pipeline and the Tiger Pipeline --
which came online several months ahead of schedule and
significantly below budget, will ultimately translate into
significant distributable cash flows for the partnership’s
unitholders in 2011 and in subsequent years.
Dallas, Texas-based Energy Transfer is a master limited
partnership that competes with other players such as
Enterprise Products Partners L.P. (EPD),
Kinder Morgan Energy Partners L.P. (KMP) and
Plains All American Pipeline L.P. (PAA).
ENTERPRISE PROD (EPD): Free Stock Analysis Report
ENERGY TRAN PTR (ETP): Free Stock Analysis Report
KINDER MORG ENG (KMP): Free Stock Analysis Report
PLAINS ALL AMER (PAA): Free Stock Analysis Report
REGENCY ENERGY (RGNC): Free Stock Analysis Report
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