Fed's Barkin Takes Wait-and-See Approach to Rate Setting
June 25 2019 - 7:30PM
Dow Jones News
By Kim Mackrael
OTTAWA -- Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond President Thomas
Barkin said he doesn't know whether a rate cut would be needed this
year, as officials grapple with mixed economic data and uncertainty
over U.S. trade policies.
Mr. Barkin made the comments during a press conference Tuesday
in Ottawa, Canada's capital city. He said some recent data points,
including a slowdown in May hiring, have clouded an otherwise
strong economic picture. There are also signs the business
environment has become less attractive for investment, he
added.
"As you look at the investment numbers and the numbers that are
underlying the investment numbers, they do look weaker," said Mr.
Barkin, who isn't currently a voting member of the interest-rate
setting Federal Open Market Committee. "My plan is to watch the
data, and we'll decide."
Mr. Barkin's comments came one week after the Fed held interest
rates steady in a range between 2.25% and 2.5% and suggested cuts
are possible if the economic outlook doesn't improve. Earlier
Tuesday, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said officials are debating
whether uncertainty over U.S. trade policy would cause the economy
to slow and warrant rate cuts later this year.
Mr. Barkin said he continues to see monetary policy as modestly
accommodative, and that he hasn't seen a meaningful contraction in
sectors of the economy that tend to be closely linked to interest
rates, such as home-lending rates and consumer-lending rates.
He said it can take time for changes in monetary policy to flow
through the economy, including the central bank's pivot away from
rate increases in January. The Fed is also aware of the limits on
its ability to influence the economy with rate changes, Mr. Barkin
added.
"I think you just have to be very humble, as a central banker,
around how much any particular increase or decrease is actually
going to move activity, inflation and the like," he said.
Write to Kim Mackrael at kim.mackrael@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
June 25, 2019 19:15 ET (23:15 GMT)
Copyright (c) 2019 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.