Prairie Provident Resources Inc. (“Prairie Provident” or the
“Company”) (TSX: PPR) is pleased to announce the results of its
December 31, 2023 independent reserves evaluation (the “Sproule
Report”) conducted by Sproule Associates Limited (“Sproule”).
The Sproule Report highlights that despite
minimal capital spending, reserves additions were realized
year-over-year driven primarily by positive technical revisions
associated with lower fixed costs, reactivations, and
optimizations. A 16-year reserve life index on total proved
reserves underscores the potential of the assets to deliver
meaningful growth and shareholder value.
2023 Reserves
Highlights(1) |
December 31, 2023 |
Proved Developed Producing |
Total Proved |
Total Proved plus Probable |
Reserves (MMboe) |
9.4 |
21.1 |
30.1 |
Net Present Value, discounted @10% (MM$) |
118.1 |
310.7 |
490.2 |
Technical revisions (MMboe) |
0.6 |
0.1 |
(0.6) |
Category changes (MMboe) |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
Reserve Life Index (1) (years) |
7.3 |
16.3 |
23.3 |
Notes:
(1) PPR calculates Reserve
Life Index (RLI) based on the estimated reserves amount as at
December 31, 2023 for the relevant reserves category, as evaluated
by Sproule, divided by actual 2023 annual production. See
“Cautionary Statements – Disclosure of Oil and Gas Reserves Data
and Operational Information” and “Cautionary Statements – Reserve
Life Index”.
- Improved well
performance resulted in positive technical revisions, which were
offset through undeveloped location removals due to mineral
expiries. This resulted in overall positive proved developed
producing (PDP) and total proved (TP) technical revisions of 0.6
MMboe and 0.1 MMboe, respectively, and negative total proved plus
probable (P+P) technical revisions of 0.6 MMboe.
- 21 well
reactivations occurred in 2023, several outperforming year-end 2022
reserve estimates. This resulted in positive reserve additions of
0.3 MMboe, 0.1 MMboe, and 0.1 MMboe for PDP, TP, and P+P reserves,
respectively.
- Reserve life
index(1) of 7.3 years, 16.3 years, and 23.3 years, based on 2023
annual production(2) on a PDP, TP, and P+P basis, respectively. An
increase of approximately 15% on all categories,
year-over-year.
Reserves Summary
The following presentation summarizes certain
information contained in the Sproule Report, which was prepared in
accordance with National Instrument 51-101 Standards of Disclosure
for Oil and Gas Activities (“NI 51-101”) and the definitions,
standards, and procedures contained in the Canadian Oil and Gas
Evaluation Handbook (the “COGE Handbook”). Sproule evaluated 100%
of the Company’s reserves. The Sproule Report is based on forecast
prices and costs and applies Sproule’s forecast escalated commodity
price deck and foreign exchange rate and inflation rate assumptions
as at December 31, 2023. Estimated future net revenue is
stated without any provisions for interest costs, other debt
service charges, or general and administrative expenses, and after
the deduction of royalties, estimated operating costs, estimated
abandonment and reclamation costs, and estimated future development
costs.
Additional information regarding the Company’s
reserves data and other oil and gas information will be included in
the Company's Annual Information Form for the year ended December
31, 2023 (the “AIF”), which will be filed under the Company's
issuer profile on SEDAR+ at www.sedarplus.ca not later than April
2, 2024.
See also the “Cautionary Statements” below for
further explanations and discussion.
Summary of Corporate
Reserves(1)(2)(5)
The following table is a summary of the
Company's estimated reserves as at December 31, 2023, as evaluated
in the Sproule Report.
|
Light and Medium Oil |
Heavy Oil |
Conventional Natural Gas(3) (other than Solution Gas) |
Conventional Natural Gas (Solution Gas) |
Natural Gas Liquids |
Barrels of Oil Equivalent(4) |
Reserves Category |
(Mbbl) |
(Mbbl) |
(MMcf) |
(MMcf) |
(Mbbl) |
(Mboe) |
Proved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Developed Producing |
5,384 |
366 |
12,382 |
7,660 |
323 |
9,414 |
Developed Non-Producing |
2,182 |
- |
1,281 |
924 |
40 |
2,590 |
Undeveloped |
6,153 |
282 |
- |
14,703 |
233 |
9,119 |
Total Proved |
13,719 |
649 |
13,664 |
23,287 |
596 |
21,123 |
Probable |
5,705 |
513 |
3,903 |
11,451 |
244 |
9,020 |
Total Proved plus Probable |
19,424 |
1,162 |
17,567 |
34,739 |
840 |
30,143 |
Notes:
(1) Reserves are presented on a “company gross”
basis, which is defined as Prairie Provident’s working interest
(operating and non-operating) share before deduction of royalties
and without including any royalty interest of the
Company.(2) Based on Sproule’s December 31, 2023 forecast
prices and costs. Sproule's commodity price forecasts as of
December 31, 2023, which were used in the Sproule Report, can be
found at www.sproule.com/price-forecast/.(3) Including both
non-associated gas and associated gas but excluding solution gas
(gas dissolved in crude oil).(4) Oil equivalent amounts have
been calculated using a conversion ratio of six thousand cubic feet
of natural gas to one barrel of oil. See "Cautionary Statements –
Barrels of oil equivalent" below.(5) Columns may not add due
to rounding of individual items.
Net Present Values of Future Net Revenue
Before Income Taxes Discounted at
(%/year) (1)(2)(3)(4)(5)
The following table is a summary of the
estimated net present values of future net revenue (before income
taxes) associated with Prairie Provident's reserves as at December
31, 2023, discounted at the indicated percentage rates per year, as
evaluated in the Sproule Report.
|
0% |
5% |
10% |
12% |
15% |
Reserves Category |
(MM$) |
(MM$) |
(MM$) |
(MM$) |
(MM$) |
Proved |
|
|
|
|
|
Developed Producing |
17.1 |
122.6 |
118.1 |
103.9 |
91.5 |
Developed Non-Producing |
125.1 |
71.5 |
47.3 |
33.8 |
25.4 |
Undeveloped |
281.7 |
198.5 |
145.4 |
109.7 |
84.5 |
Total Proved |
423.9 |
392.7 |
310.7 |
247.4 |
201.4 |
Probable |
375.6 |
245.6 |
179.5 |
140.4 |
114.9 |
Total Proved plus Probable |
799.5 |
638.2 |
490.2 |
387.8 |
316.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Notes:
(1) Based on Sproule's December 31, 2023
forecast prices and costs. Sproule's commodity price forecasts as
of December 31, 2023, which were used in the Sproule Report, can be
found at www.sproule.com/price-forecast/.(2) Estimated future
net revenues are stated without any provision for interest costs,
other debt service charges or general and administrative expenses,
and after deduction of royalties, estimated operating costs,
estimated abandonment and reclamation costs, and estimated future
development costs.(3) Estimated future net revenue, whether
discounted or not, does not represent fair market
value.(4) Net present values of future net revenue after
income taxes are estimated to approximate the before income tax
values based on the estimated future revenues, available tax pools
and future deductible expenses.(5) Columns may not add due to
rounding of individual items.
Reconciliation of Company Gross Reserves Based on
Forecast Prices and
Costs(1)(2)
|
Mboe |
FACTORS |
Proved |
Probable |
Proved plus Probable |
December 31, 2022 |
22,138 |
9,723 |
31,861 |
Category Change – NP to DP |
102 |
38 |
141 |
Disposition |
(1 ) |
(0 ) |
(1 ) |
Technical Revisions |
142 |
(750 ) |
(608 ) |
Pricing (Economic Factors) |
37 |
9 |
46 |
Production |
(1,295 ) |
0 |
(1,295 ) |
December 31, 2023 |
21,123 |
9,020 |
30,134 |
Notes:
(1) Columns may not add due to
rounding.(2) Company Gross Reserves exclude royalty
volumes.
ABOUT PRAIRIE PROVIDENT:
Prairie Provident is a Calgary-based company
engaged in the exploration and development of oil and natural gas
properties in Alberta. The Company's strategy is to optimize cash
flow from our existing assets, providing low risk development, and
stable low decline cash flow.
For further information, please contact:
Ryan Rawlyk, President and CEOPhone: (403)
292-8180 or Email: info@ppr.ca
Cautionary Statements
Disclosure of Oil and Gas Reserves Data
and Operational Information
Prairie Provident’s Statement of Reserves Data
and Other Oil and Gas Information for the year ended December 31,
2023, providing additional information regarding our reserves data
and oil and gas activities in accordance with NI 51-101, will be
contained in our Annual Information Form for the year ended
December 31, 2023, which will be filed under the Company's issuer
profile on SEDAR+ at www.sedarplus.ca not later than April 2, 2024.
The reserves data estimates contained herein are estimates only and
there is no guarantee that the estimated reserves will be recovered
or that the related estimates of future net revenues will be
realized. There can be no assurance that the forecast prices and
cost assumptions applied by Sproule in evaluating the Company's
reserves will be attained, and variances between actual and
forecast prices and costs could be material. Actual reserves may be
greater than or less than the estimated volumes provided herein,
and it should not be assumed that the estimates of future net
revenues presented herein represent the fair market value of the
reserves. Estimates in respect of individual properties may not
reflect the same confidence level as estimates of reserves and
future net revenue for all properties, due to the effects of
aggregation. The Company's belief that it will establish additional
reserves over time with conversion of probable undeveloped reserves
into proved reserves is a forward-looking statement and is based on
certain assumptions and is subject to certain risks, as discussed
below under the heading "Forward-looking statements".
This news release discloses certain metrics
commonly used in the oil and natural gas industry – namely “reserve
life index” – that do not have standardized meanings or methods of
calculation under applicable laws, International Financial
Reporting Standards, the COGE Handbook or other applicable
professional standards. Accordingly, such measures, as determined
by the Company, may not be comparable to similarly defined or
labelled measures presented by other companies, and therefore
should not be used to make such comparisons. These metrics have
been included herein to provide readers with additional information
to evaluate the Company's performance, but should not be relied
upon for comparative purposes. Management uses oil and gas metrics
for its own performance measurements and to provide shareholders
with measures to compare Prairie Provident's operations over time.
Readers are cautioned that the information provided by these
metrics, or that can be derived from the metrics presented in this
news release, should not be relied upon for investment or other
purposes.
Reserve Life Index (“RLI”)
The Company calculates RLI based on the
estimated reserves amount as at December 31, 2023 for the relevant
reserves category, as evaluated by Sproule, divided by actual 2023
annual production. RLI provides a summary measure of the relative
magnitude of the Company's year-end 2023 reserves through an
indication as to how long they would last based on its 2023
production rate and assuming no additions to reserves.
Forward-looking statements
This news release contains certain statements
("forward-looking statements") that constitute forward-looking
information within the meaning of applicable Canadian securities
laws. Forward-looking statements relate to future performance,
events or circumstances, and are based upon internal assumptions,
plans, intentions, expectations and beliefs, and are subject to
risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results or events to
differ materially from those indicated or suggested therein. All
statements other than statements of current or historical fact are
forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are
typically, but not always, identified by words such as "expect",
"anticipate", "continue", "estimate", "may", "will", "project",
"should", "believe", "plan", "intend", "budget", "potential",
"aim", "target" and similar words or expressions suggesting future
outcomes or events or statements regarding an outlook.
In particular, but without limiting the
foregoing, this news release contains forward-looking statements
pertaining to: estimated volumes of Prairie Provident's oil and gas
reserves and their categorization; and estimated net present values
of future net revenue associated with evaluated reserves.
Forward-looking statements are based on a number
of material factors, expectations or assumptions of Prairie
Provident which have been used to develop such statements but which
may prove to be incorrect. Although the Company believes that the
expectations and assumptions reflected in such forward-looking
statements are reasonable, undue reliance should not be placed on
forward-looking statements, which are inherently uncertain and
depend upon the accuracy of such expectations and assumptions.
Prairie Provident can give no assurance that the forward-looking
statements contained herein will prove to be correct or that the
expectations and assumptions upon which they are based will occur
or be realized. Actual results or events will differ, and the
differences may be material and adverse to the Company. In addition
to other factors and assumptions which may be identified herein,
assumptions have been made regarding, among other things: future
commodity prices and currency exchange rates, including consistency
of future prices with current price forecasts; results from
drilling and development activities, and their consistency with
past operations; the quality of the reservoirs in which Prairie
Provident operates and continued performance from existing wells,
including production profile, decline rate and product type mix;
the continued and timely development of infrastructure in areas of
new production; the accuracy of the estimates of Prairie
Provident's reserves volumes; operating and other costs, including
the ability to achieve and maintain cost improvements; continued
availability of external financing and cash flow to fund Prairie
Provident's current and future plans and expenditures, with
external financing on acceptable terms; the impact of competition;
the general stability of the economic and political environment in
which Prairie Provident operates; the general continuance of
current industry conditions; the timely receipt of any required
regulatory approvals; the ability of Prairie Provident to obtain
qualified staff, equipment and services in a timely and cost
efficient manner; drilling results; the ability of the operator of
the projects in which Prairie Provident has an interest in to
operate the field in a safe, efficient and effective manner; field
production rates and decline rates; the ability to replace and
expand oil and natural gas reserves through acquisition,
development and exploration; the timing and cost of pipeline,
storage and facility construction and expansion and the ability of
Prairie Provident to secure adequate product transportation; the
regulatory framework regarding royalties, taxes and environmental
matters in the jurisdictions in which Prairie Provident operates;
and the ability of Prairie Provident to successfully market its oil
and natural gas products.
Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of
future performance or promises of future outcomes and should not be
relied upon. Such statements, including the assumptions made in
respect thereof, involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and
other factors that may cause actual results or events to differ
materially from those anticipated in such forward-looking
statements including, without limitation: changes in realized
commodity prices; changes in the demand for or supply of Prairie
Provident's products, the early stage of development of some of the
evaluated areas and zones; the potential for variation in the
quality of the geologic formations targeted by Prairie Provident’s
operations; unanticipated operating results or production declines;
changes in tax or environmental laws, royalty rates or other
regulatory matters; changes in development plans of Prairie
Provident or by third party operators; increased debt levels or
debt service requirements; inaccurate estimation of Prairie
Provident's oil and gas reserves volumes; limited, unfavourable or
no access to capital markets; increased costs; a lack of adequate
insurance coverage; the impact of competitors; and such other risks
as are detailed from time-to-time in Prairie Provident's public
disclosure documents (including, without limitation, those risks
identified in this news release and Prairie Provident's current
Annual Information Form).
The forward-looking statements contained in this
news release speak only as of the date of this news release, and
Prairie Provident assumes no obligation to publicly update or
revise them to reflect new events or circumstances, or otherwise,
except as may be required pursuant to applicable laws. All
forward-looking statements contained in this news release are
expressly qualified by this cautionary statement.
Barrels of oil equivalent
The oil and gas industry commonly expresses
production volumes and reserves on a “barrel of oil equivalent”
basis (“boe”) whereby natural gas volumes are converted at the
ratio of six thousand cubic feet to one barrel of oil. The
intention is to sum oil and natural gas measurement units into one
basis for improved analysis of results and comparisons with other
industry participants. A boe conversion ratio of six thousand cubic
feet to one barrel of oil is based on an energy equivalency
conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip. It does
not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead nor at the plant
gate, which is where Prairie Provident sells its production
volumes. Boe may therefore be a misleading measure, particularly if
used in isolation. Given that the value ratio based on the current
price of crude oil as compared to natural gas is significantly
different from the energy equivalency ratio of 6:1, utilizing a 6:1
conversion ratio may be misleading as an indication of value.
Prairie Provident Resour... (TSX:PPR)
Historical Stock Chart
From Sep 2024 to Oct 2024
Prairie Provident Resour... (TSX:PPR)
Historical Stock Chart
From Oct 2023 to Oct 2024