$1,000 Invested in Tesla Stock 10 Years Back Would Be Worth This Much Today
March 22 2023 - 06:29AM
Finscreener.org
Investing in companies part of
rapidly expanding addressable markets or megatrends such as
electric vehicles allows you to generate outsized gains over time.
For example, the global shift towards clean energy solutions will
benefit electric vehicle (EV) manufacturers such as
Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA).
A market leader in the EV
segment, Tesla enjoys a first-mover advantage allowing it to report
$81.4 billion in sales in the last 12 months. Tesla has created
massive wealth for long-term investors, and the stock is up 7,570%
since March 2013. So, a $1,000 investment in Tesla stock ten years
ago would be worth $76,700 today.
But historical gains don’t matter
much to the companyU+02019s future investors, especially when Tesla
shares are currently down 56% from all-time highs. So let’s see if
investing in the EV giant right now makes sense.
Is Tesla stock a buy, sell or hold?
Tesla delivered 1.3 million EVs
in 2022 and ended Q4 of last year with a market share of 12%,
according to
Counterpoint
Research. Comparatively,
Tesla sold just over 100,000 vehicles in 2017.
A
report from Statista
estimates the global EV market to
grow at an annual rate of 17% through 2027 to $858 million,
providing Tesla with enough room to increase its top line. In fact,
analysts expect Tesla’s sales to rise by more than 25% in each of
2023 and 2024, according to data from Yahoo
Finance.
Rising competition from legacy
manufacturers such as Ford (NYSE:
F),
Toyota (NYSE:
TM), and Volkswagen and new entrants, including Lucid
Motors (NASDAQ:
LCID), is bound to act as
a headwind for Tesla. Additionally, Tesla was forced to cut EV
prices by 20% last year amid an inflationary environment. But the
company still ended 2022
with an operating income of $13.7 billion, indicating a
sector-leading margin of almost 17%.
Morgan Stanley expects Tesla stock to reach
$220
According to
Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS)
analyst Adam Jonas, the recent price cuts by Tesla should result in
higher demand. Jonas expects the company’s economies of scale in
the EV space allow it to lower vehicle prices and further compete
with other automobile peers.
During Tesla’s Q4 earnings call,
CEO Elon Musk, stated, “The most common question weU+02019ve been
getting from investors is about demand……. I want to put that
concern to rest.”
Musk confirmed vehicle orders for
January 2023 were twice the rate of production. Further, Tesla saw
the highest orders year-to-date in its history, primarily due to
price cuts.
Jonas has a 12-month price target
of $220 for Tesla. At the time of writing, TSLA stock is trading at
$198.
Tesla stock surged by almost 8%
after rating agency Moody’s upgraded the rating on the company to
Baa3. It also claimed, “Tesla will remain one of the foremost
manufacturers of battery electric vehicles, with an expanding
global presence and very high profitability.”
Despite a challenging macro
environment, Tesla more than doubled its net income year over year,
showcasing its pricing power. ItU+02019s pretty evident that the EV
behemoth can fund its growth plans with the profits and cash flows
it generates.
While Tesla stock is priced at 46
times forward earnings, its management is optimistic about
reaccelerating profitability growth by focusing on manufacturing
improvements.
Tesla remains a solid long-term
bet if it can
maintain market share
and improve its financials over
time.
Lucid (NASDAQ:LCID)
Historical Stock Chart
From Apr 2023 to May 2023
Lucid (NASDAQ:LCID)
Historical Stock Chart
From May 2022 to May 2023