Key On-Chain Metric Points to Stagnation, Will Ethereum Ever Break $2,000?
August 02 2023 - 11:00PM
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According to Etherscan data, the number of active ERC-20
addresses has not changed much in 2023. It has stayed between
200,000 and 300,000 while Ethereum prices stagnate below July 2023
highs. As of August 2, there were about 275,000 active ERC-20
addresses, up from 156,000 on June 18. Although activity has been
low overall, there was a significant increase on June 11, with over
446,000 active ERC-20 addresses. Ethereum’s price trajectory has
been tumultuous in tandem with this activity pattern, looking at
the charts. For instance, Ethereum bulls have failed to breach the
$2,100 liquidation level posted in the latter stages of H1
2023. Ethereum Prices Volatile, Few Coins Burned At the
moment, ETH prices hover around the $1,800 range, teetering
precariously and likely to drop, looking at candlestick
arrangements in the daily chart. Although Ethereum has been bullish
in the past two months, bulls have been tamed, and a drop below the
$1,800 level may signal a shift from bullish to bearish in the
medium term. With ETH under pressure, the number of active ERC-20
addresses remains constant and relatively lower than the 2021
peaks. This means there is less demand for ETH, which is used to
pay transaction fees. As a result, gas fees are lower because there
is less competition for block space. Typically, this would
encourage more people to participate and even deploy complex
contracts in decentralized finance (DeFi). Related Reading:
Ethereum ETFs Heat Up As Filings With SEC Climbs To Six
With EIP-1559 in the equation, low activity means fewer
coins are taken out of circulation. Despite low network activity,
the protocol continues to issue 2 ETH after each validated block,
watering down deflationary effects enforced by EIP-1559. DeFi
Activities Falling Falling activity could be attributed to the
waning interest in decentralized finance (DeFi) activities over
recent months. As of August 2, the total value locked (TVL)
remains below $50 billion, with a significant portion of
assets tied in Ethereum. DeFi projects like LidoDAO, Curve, and
Uniswap facilitate the trading of ERC-20 tokens. Furthermore,
on-chain data highlights USDT as the most actively
transacted token. Given its position as the third-largest coin by
market cap, with substantial circulation in Ethereum and Tron
networks, such a trend is expected. Looking back at ERC-20
transactions from June and July, it is evident that transfers
stayed constant despite temporary price increases. Ethereum prices
rose from $1,630 to $2,000 between mid-June and mid-July 2023, but
ETH is now lower. Related Reading: BNB Nears $250 Level As
Market Suffers Volatility; What’s Driving It? On-chain ERC-20
activity has remained stable despite price volatility. It’s unclear
whether there will be a change in activity as prices continue to
drop. However, lower prices may force token holders to wait and
see, leading to less activity. Feature image from Canva, chart from
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