Bitcoin & Top Assets See High Loss Taking, Is This Bullish?
August 16 2023 - 12:00PM
NEWSBTC
On-chain data shows Bitcoin and the other top assets are observing
a high amount of loss-taking currently. Here’s what this could
mean. Investors Of Bitcoin & Other Top Coins Are Capitulating
Currently According to data from the on-chain analytics firm
Santiment, the current trader capitulation that the largest assets
in the market are seeing may be a bottom signal. The indicator of
interest here is the “ratio of daily on-chain transaction volume in
profit to loss,” which, as its name already implies, tells us how
the profit-taking volume for any given coin compares with its
loss-taking volume right now. When this metric has a positive
value, it means that the profit-taking volume is higher than the
loss-taking volume currently. Thus, such a trend implies that the
market as a whole is harvesting profits at the moment. On the other
hand, the indicator having negative values suggests loss taking is
the dominant behavior among the traders of the cryptocurrency in
question right now. Related Reading: Bitcoin Prediction: Crypto
Analyst Forecasts New ATH by 2024 – Can It Happen? In the context
of the current discussion, the assets of relevance are Bitcoin
(BTC), Ethereum (ETH), XRP (XRP), Litecoin (LTC), and Cardano
(ADA). Here is a chart that shows the trend in the ratio of
transaction volume in profit to loss for these assets over the last
few months: Looks like the value of the metric has been negative
for all these assets in recent days | Source: Santiment on X As
displayed in the above graph, the indicator’s value for all these
top assets has dipped inside the negative territory recently. This
high loss realization from the investors has come as the market as
a whole has been unable to amass together any significant rally.
From the chart, it’s visible that these assets have seen the
investors capitulate at different points throughout the year, but
the current capitulation event has an interesting feature that was
missing from these previous instances: the loss-taking is currently
happening for all these large cryptocurrencies. It would appear
that traders as a whole have finally started to give up on the
market after experiencing endless consolidation, as they are ready
to take losses in order to make their exit. The scale of the
loss-taking itself is also extraordinary, as the only other time
this year that the loss volume overtook the profit volume to this
degree was way back in March. Historically, capitulation from
investors has made bottoms more probable to form. And from the
above chart, it’s visible that the March capitulation also leads to
Bitcoin hitting a bottom. Related Reading: Bernstein Predicts Spot
ETFs Could Claim 10% Of Bitcoin’s Market If Greenlit The likely
reason behind this pattern is that the investors who exit in losses
are generally the weak hands, who had a low conviction in the
asset, to begin with. In capitulation events, the coins that they
sell at losses are picked up by the more resolute investors, and
hence, the market gains a stronger foundation for building up
rallies. It’s possible that the high loss taking that Bitcoin and
the others are experiencing currently may also lead to a bottom, if
the historical precedence is anything to consider. BTC Price At the
time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around $29,100, down 2% in the
last week. BTC continues to move inside a narrow range | Source:
BTCUSD on TradingView Featured image from Art Rachen on
Unsplash.com, charts from TradingView.com, Santiment.net
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