Bitcoin Price Forecast: Dark Days Ahead As $29,200 Support Fails
August 01 2023 - 03:30PM
NEWSBTC
In his recent report, Charles Edward, a prominent crypto market
analyst, released an update on the state of the Bitcoin (BTC)
market. The report highlights the continuation of the downtrend for
Bitcoin, which has been losing its key support, the 50-day Moving
Average (MA). The bearish trend has been confirmed by
technical indicators and the pure fundamental Bitcoin Macro Index
algorithm, which has seen an increasing rate of contraction over
the last week. Is Bitcoin Headed For $25,000? The report provides
insights into both high and low timeframe technicals, with the next
support levels for Bitcoin at $28,000, $24,000, and low-$20,000,
each offering better relative opportunities. The low
timeframe technicals indicate a breakdown in support at $30,000 and
the emergence of a new bearish trend, with a target of circa
$25,000. The Capriole Bitcoin Macro Index, which combines over 40
of the most powerful Bitcoin on-chain, macro market, and equities
metrics into a single machine learning model, suggests a decent
long-term value for multi-year horizon investors, but with
decreasing fundamentals over the last week. Related Reading:
Litecoin Sharks Buy More Than 200,000 LTC Ahead Of Wednesday’s
Halving On the other hand, the Three Factor Model, a new
open-source algorithm, values the S&P500 using three
fundamental data points only, indicating that the markets are
fairly valued today, with room for more upside, despite recent
bearish signals. Despite the bearish outlook, the report suggests
that the macroeconomic backdrop remains favorable for Bitcoin over
the coming years. The Federal Reserve has paused rate hikes,
and the S&P500 has had its longest winning streak in years.
However, the technicals and fundamentals are currently showing a
“not yet” signal, indicating that the market may need to wait for a
positive trigger such as the approval of the Blackrock ETF.
Overall, the report suggests a long-term bullish outlook for
Bitcoin, but with caution in the short term until technicals or
fundamentals prove otherwise. According to Edwards, the
nearest points of technical opportunity are $28,000, $25,000, and
$21,000, or a daily close back into the $30,000 range. Low
Volatility, High Potential Bitcoin’s price volatility has been at
historic lows, with the cryptocurrency experiencing its
second-lowest level of yearly volatility ever. This fact has been
noted by many in the crypto community, including Crypto Con, who
points out that historically, low volatility has been a bullish
sign for Bitcoin. Low volatility can be seen as a sign of stability
and maturity for a cryptocurrency. It suggests that the market is
becoming more efficient and that there is less speculation driving
prices up and down. This can be a positive sign for long-term
investors, as it suggests that cryptocurrency is becoming more
reliable as a store of value. Related Reading: Ethereum DeFi Coins
Plunge As Curve Concerns Threaten Major Market Crash Moreover,
Bitcoin has historically performed well after periods of low
volatility. Every time Bitcoin’s volatility has dropped to similar
levels in the past, it has been followed by a significant price
increase. This suggests that, while the current low
volatility may be frustrating for traders looking for quick
profits, it could be a positive sign for long-term investors. In
conclusion, while the current low volatility in Bitcoin’s price may
not be exciting for traders, it could be a positive sign for
long-term investors. Historically, low volatility has been a
bullish sign for Bitcoin, and the cryptocurrency’s current
stability comes at a time when several positive macroeconomic
factors could drive its price up in the future. As of the time of
writing, Bitcoin has lost its crucial support line of $29,000 and
is currently trading at $28,900, representing a decline of over 1%
in the last 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from
TradingView.com
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