Bitcoin must reclaim this key 2025 level to avoid new lows — Research
March 24 2025 - 1:09PM
Cointelegraph


Bitcoin (BTC) neared $90,000 at the March 24
Wall Street open as analysis warned of “conflicting signs and
signals.”
BTC/USD 1-hour chart. Source:
Cointelegraph/TradingView
BTC price daily gains near 3% in risk-asset relief
Data from Cointelegraph
Markets Pro and TradingView
showed BTC/USD hitting $88,772 on Bitstamp — its highest levels
since March 7.
Bitcoin followed stocks by opening the week higher after almost
a month of sell-side pressure. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite
index were up 1.6% and 2%, respectively, at the time of
writing.
Commenting, trading resource The Kobeissi Letter
explained the
upside as a positive reaction to news that the US government was
easing the severity of new trade tariffs set to become effective on
April 2.
It quoted sources reporting that “sector-specific tariffs” would
emerge instead of blanket rules.
“The S&P 500 is now up +75 points on the news,” it
added.
S&P 500 4-hour chart. Source:
Cointelegraph/TradingView
Crypto market momentum had already gained thanks to rumors of
the US potentially using gains on
its gold reserves to purchase BTC.
“If we actually realize the gains on [these holdings], that
would be a budget-neutral way to acquire more Bitcoin,” Bo Hines,
executive director of the President’s Council of Advisers on
Digital Assets, said in an interview with the Crypto in America
podcast last week.
In his latest market analysis on March 24, Keith Alan,
co-founder of trading resource Material Indicators, suggested that
the news had not fallen on deaf ears.
Despite the relatively modest BTC price uptick, he wrote in an
X thread, “the
announcement that the administration was considering selling Gold
Reserves to buy Bitcoin certainly gave speculators some
hopium.”
“With gold in ATH territory, and BTC in a correction, this would
be an opportune time to take some profit on Gold and buy Bitcoin,”
he added.
XAU/USD 1-day chart. Source:
Cointelegraph/TradingView
BTC needs key support reclaim to avoid new lows
Continuing, Alan laid out two key prerequisites for sustained
BTC price upside.
Related: RSI
breaks 4-month downtrend: 5 things to know in Bitcoin this
week
The 21-day simple moving average (SMA), currently at $84,674, as
well as the 2025 yearly open at around $93,300, must both be
reclaimed as support.
BTC/USD 1-day chart with 21SMA. Source:
Cointelegraph/TradingView
“With conflicting signs and signals, how can we tell if Bitcoin
is returning to a path to ATH territory or if this is a developing
bull trap? The answer is knowing what your validation/invalidation
levels are,” he explained.
The yearly open, in particular, would be crucial, with Alan
arguing that until it is reclaimed, “there is an increased
likelihood that price will retest the lows.”
“If/when that happens, I'll be buying those dips when buying
resumes,” he concluded.
This article does not
contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and
trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own
research when making a decision.
...
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