XRP Price At Risk? SEC Chair’s Congressional Testimony Fuels Ripple’s Legal Battle
September 27 2023 - 06:00PM
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The cryptocurrency sector, particularly Ripple Labs, has been
embroiled in a scenario of concern and uncertainty following a
contentious exchange between the US Securities and Exchange
Commission’s (SEC) chair, Gary Gensler, and the House Financial
Services Committee in Congress which could affect the XRP
price. Despite Ripple’s partial legal victory against the
SEC, Gensler’s stance remains unchanged, as he emphasized the
regulatory body’s determination to pursue an interlocutory appeal
in the ongoing case. This has raised further questions and
apprehension within the industry. Congressman Highlights Ripple
Case’s Far-From-Over Status During the hearing, Congressman Stephen
F. Lynch expressed his concern about the potential pattern whereby
court battles become the norm to determine the classification of
individual tokens as securities. While Gensler did not
respond directly, he mentioned the SEC’s filing for an
interlocutory appeal, highlighting the regulator’s intent to
continue the legal battle. Lynch acknowledged that the case is far
from over. Related Reading: Chainlink (LINK) Brushes Off Market
Downtrend, Scores 11% In Last Week On August 17, Judge Torres
granted the SEC’s request to file an interlocutory appeal, granting
the regulatory body an opportunity to present a compelling case to
the Second Circuit. However, it’s important to note that this
permission only allows the SEC to file the motion for an
interlocutory appeal, presenting a significant opening for the
regulator to challenge the previous ruling and seek a different
outcome. These recent developments, as highlighted by Congressman
Lynch, indicate that the ongoing Ripple case may take considerable
time to resolve. As a result, XRP is likely to remain
stagnant, trapped in a consolidation phase, or potentially
retracing beyond its current levels. This could potentially push
the cryptocurrency to pursue another annual low, extending beyond
the $0.4225 mark reached on August 17. XRP Price Analysis Points To
Potential Macro Uptrend Despite the legal battles and the
uncertainty surrounding the current state of the crypto market,
some signs might point to a different scenario, where XRP could
follow a macro uptrend. Technical analysis highlights a
pattern resembling the last market cycle, which consists of five
phases: rise, crash, retrace, reaccumulation, and eventual
breakout. Drawing parallels to previous cycles, many coins have
experienced explosive growth beyond their previous all-time highs
after the reaccumulation phase. For instance, Bitcoin went
through its reaccumulation phase during the COVID-19 pandemic.
Still, due to the ongoing lawsuit, XRP has entered a more prolonged
reaccumulation phase in the form of an Elliott wave triangle,
similar to the previous cycle. Currently, the market is in
phase E, which suggests a potential retracement upwards, followed
by another dip to lower levels. Eventually, there is anticipation
for a breakout from this massive triangle, leading to a new
all-time high likely to occur next year or the year after. Related
Reading: LINKing The Dots: Why Chainlink Could Be The Altcoin To
Watch, Top Trader Says While some argue that the XRP price fate
depends on Bitcoin’s performance, it is worth noting that when
comparing XRP to BTC, it is also within an accumulation range and
exhibits a bullish outlook. From this perspective, XRP is expected
to outperform other alternative coins significantly. However, for
the XRP price to sustain an extended uptrend in the near term, it
must overcome significant resistance levels that pose potential
challenges. In the immediate time frame, XRP faces a resistance at
$0.5132, followed by two additional formidable barriers, which are
expected to be particularly challenging in the coming weeks. XRP’s
50-day and 200-day Moving Averages (MAs) are currently positioned
at $0.5194 and $0.5318, respectively. These MAs, once considered
reliable support levels, have failed to hold, necessitating a
significant catalyst for XRP to surpass them. This is evident
in the chart, depicting the partial victory on July 13, when XRP
surged above both MAs. However, since August, XRP has been trading
below them. Featured image from Shutterstock, chart from
TradingView.com
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