Bitcoin Liquidity Crisis Gets Worse, Here’s What It Means For Price
March 24 2023 - 05:10AM
NEWSBTC
Conor Ryder, researcher at digital asset data provider Kaiko, has
examined the liquidity of the Bitcoin and crypto markets in a new
study, finding that the liquidity situation in crypto has
deteriorated further this month following the banking scares.
Bitcoin liquidity dropped to a 10-month low as market makers lost
access to USD payment rails. What The Liquidity Crisis Means For
The Bitcoin Price Most importantly, this means that the Bitcoin
market becomes increasingly volatile when liquidity is low. Prices
have less support on both the downside and upside, which Ryder says
could explain Bitcoin’s rapid rise since the beginning of the
month. Ryder shared the chart below in his analysis, explaining
that liquidity in the BTC markets is even significantly lower than
it was after the FTX and Alameda collapse. Kaiko refers to the drop
in liquidity at the time as the “Alameda gap,” which was created by
the absence of one of the industry’s largest market makers. “That
gap has yet to be filled, and with the banking issues of late,
liquidity has taken another blow,” notes Ryder, who also observed
that the closure of the Silvergate Exchange Network (SEN) and the
unwinding of Signet, have resulted in US exchanges being hit harder
than non-US exchanges from a liquidity perspective. Related
Reading: Bitcoin Back Above $27,600 As US Banking Crisis Is Far
From Over This is because market makers in the US are now facing
“unprecedented challenges” to their operations. “We can see the
difference in reaction between US and non-US exchanges with more
severe reactions to some of the liquidity issues of the last
month,” Ryder said. But the analyst also has some good news.
Liquidity has now recovered to levels seen in early March 2022.
Still, he warns that the loss of easy fiat access could have
longer-term implications. Related Reading: Will QE Drive Bitcoin
And Crypto To New All-Time Highs? Fidelity Exec Is Cautious
According to Ryder, the blow the US crypto industry has taken can
be seen in other metrics as well. Spreads for USD pairs are
suffering from higher volatility as a result of the uncertainty, as
is slippage: On a $100k sell order, Coinbase’s btc-usd pair has
increased by 2.5x the slippage it started the month at Binance’s
btc-usdt pair’s slippage meanwhile barely moved. Ex-Coinbase CTO
Balaji S. Srinivasan, who is currently in the spotlight with his $1
million bet on Bitcoin, stated in reference to Ryder’s research:
Interestingly, as the liquidity of Bitcoin markets decreases under
state pressure, it takes less buying to get USD/BTC to moon. I
don’t think the state can close it fully, but we shouldn’t wait.
Paradoxically, closing the exit makes the exit more desirable in
more ways than one. At press time, the Bitcoin price stood at
$28,176, facing the major resistance zone above $28,300. Featured
image from iStock, chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin (COIN:BTCUSD)
Historical Stock Chart
From Apr 2023 to May 2023
Bitcoin (COIN:BTCUSD)
Historical Stock Chart
From May 2022 to May 2023