Research Firm Reveals Its “Altcoin Trading Playbook”
September 28 2023 - 02:00PM
NEWSBTC
A research firm has revealed an altcoin trading playbook that could
serve as a guide for navigating the next cryptocurrency bull run.
K33 Research Shares Its Altcoin Trading Playbook In a new post on
X, K33 Research (formerly Arcane Research) explained that new
altcoins make better trades than old ones. The firm has given a few
reasons for why this is so. “In lack of price-driving fundamentals,
the narratives and liquidity matter,” explains the research
organization. “And new coins generally outperform old coins.”
Related Reading: Maker (MKR) Rockets To $1,500 With 15% Surge, Will
This Run Continue? K33 Research has used the example of some
“Ethereum killers” during the last bull market to show how the
newer coins outperform the older ones. The below chart shows how
the performance of these coins has been compared (note that the
Y-axis, the price, is normalized concerning September 22, 2020,
here). How the new vs old Ethereum killers performed during the
2021 bull mark | Source: K33 Research on X From the chart, it’s
apparent that Tron (TRX) and EOS (EOS), which were vouched as the
Ethereum killers during the 2017/18 bull market, failed to set new
all-time highs (ATHs) during the 2021 bull run. However, the new
kids on the block, like Solana (SOL) and Avalanche (AVAX), observed
much better returns than the old, established altcoins during the
latest bull market. Why do old altcoins have difficulty returning
to their former glory? According to K33 Research, there are a few
factors behind this. First, the coins that have gone through a
cycle have many holders at a loss, waiting to come into the green
to exit. These underwater investors provide additional selling
pressure during rallies that new coins, where everyone is in the
green during the initial rally, don’t have to face. The old coins
also have to deal with the rising circulating supply because of the
token unlocks, which, due to supply-demand dynamics, can hurt the
price if the demand side doesn’t catch up. How QTUM's returns waned
over time | Source: K33 Research on X Finally, the research firm
notes that old coins are also tied to narratives that have gone out
of fashion. On the other hand, new coins are the narratives when
they launch and, thus, appear interesting to investors. Related
Reading: Bitcoin Bearish Signal: Long-Term Holders Deposit To
Exchanges While new altcoins certainly have a leg up to old coins
regarding these factors, K33 Research notes that not all such coins
make for a good investment. The firm advises investors to look for
a few things to know whether a project may be worth investing in.
The first thing could be whether or not the total number of holders
is rising rapidly for the altcoin. A high amount of adoption means
the asset has more steam behind it for building sustainable moves.
The firm also says that a low float and high fully dilated value
(FDV) should be avoided. ETH Price At the time of writing, Ethereum
is trading at around $1,600, up 3% during the past week. ETH has
continued to move sideways recently | Source: ETHUSD on TradingView
Featured image from Kanchanara on Unsplash.com, charts from
TradingView.com, K33Research.com
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