2012 has not been a good year so far for many developed
economies and especially those in Europe. With the intensifying
euro zone debt crisis, a threat of another recession is looming
large in the region, despite promises from the ECB to increase
buying bonds of trouble members (Read: Five Great Global ETFs for
Complete Equity Exposure).
This trend doesn’t look like it’s going away anytime soon
either, as a heavy debt burden by many European nations, shocking
levels of unemployment, and terrible demographics could keep Europe
subdued for quite some time.
For investors seeking to maintain some level of European
exposure, these unstable conditions have propelled investors to
shift towards the relatively safer nations in the region instead.
In this regard, investors could consider broad Nordic region and
equities in any of the following nations-- Denmark, Norway, Sweden
and Finland—for potentially less risky exposure in the broader
European area.
These four, although having some key differences, are pretty
similar economies. Each uses a heavy handed government approach in
order to help manage their relatively small economic
footprints.
While this high tax approach is an anathema to many American
investors, it has worked quite well for many in this region. In
fact, all four rank very favorable on competitiveness surveys,
quality of life metrics, and average per capita GDP despite near
confiscatory tax rates and intense regulation.
So while these choices may not be the most ideologically
friendly to many Americans, they could provide a nice mix of
stability and growth in Europe while avoiding the worst of Europe’s
woes. Furthermore, should the economies in the broad EU continue to
struggle, the relatively strong balance sheets and government
spending in these four nations could help these nations to hold up
better than most (read: Beyond Germany: Three European ETFs
Tracking Strong Countries).
For investors seeking to make a play on these economies, there
are just a handful of stocks to choose from. However, there are a
couple ETFs in the space, each of which we have highlighted below
along with a brief country explanation for investors considering a
greater level of exposure to the Nordic region:
Denmark
The Danish economy is recovering from the recent financial
crisis and is looking to head towards an expansionary period. After
growing 1% in 2011, the economy is expected to grow 1.2% in 2012
and then 1.5% in 2013, as per Denmark's central bank. Both private
and public sector would generate healthy growth going forward.
The country is expected to have stable employment levels and
healthy public finances, which would keep the interest rates down.
Also, inflation rate remain at lower levels. Further, Denmark
enjoys significant account surplus, foreign-exchange reserves and
zero public debt.
The nation is a major exporter of machinery, instruments and food
products. Its trading partners are European Union countries (for
about 70% of exports) and U.S. (Read: Play Europe with This ETF
Pair Trade)
Hence, if the Eurozone crisis becomes more severe, Danish
exports will be hampered leading to a possible account deficit.
Also, the country lacks international competitiveness compared to
some of its robust neighbors, suggesting that the country could
lose out to others in the region. .
iShares MSCI Denmark Capped Investable Market Index Fund
(EDEN)
For broad exposure to the Danish market, investors should look
to EDEN. The fund has recently debuted in the space and has just
$2.7 million assets under management (Read: Ten Biggest U.S. Equity
Market ETFs). It seeks to match the price and yield performance of
the MSCI Denmark IMI 25/50 Index, before fees and expenses. The
index uses a capping methodology to limit the weight of any single
component to a maximum of 25% of the index.
The product uses a passive approach and holds 35 securities in
the basket. Like other iShares funds, this ETF does not offer a
huge level of diversification to investors, as it allocates nearly
66% of the assets in the top 10 holdings. Novo Nordisk constitutes
the top spot in the basket with the largest share at 24% while the
next two spots -- Danske Bank and AP Moeller-Maersk make for a
combined 14% share.
From a sector look, the fund is skewed towards the healthcare
sector followed by industrials and financials. Since EDEN is a new
product, it is not popular and trades in low volume of roughly
7,000 shares per day. The fund provides broad exposure to multi cap
Danish stocks. While giant and large companies account for about
47%, mid and small cap take the rest of the portion in the
basket.
The fund provides ample flexibility as it could invest in
derivative instruments like future contracts, options and swaps.
The fund charges an annual fee of 53 bps from investors putting it
in line with other ETFs targeting the region (Read: The Five Best
ETFs over the Past Five Years).
Norway
Norway is one of the healthiest economies in Europe due to its
low unemployment rate, interest rates, and inflation (Read: Norway
ETFs for Safer European Play). After growing at an annual rate of
2-3% over the last several years, the economy is expected to grow
at 2.25% this year, as per the IMF. This is well ahead of the euro
zone that could contract by 0.5%.
Strong growth in consumer spending, fiscal stimulus and recovery
in the housing markets are contributing to the healthy economic
growth. Norway is among the richest countries in the world with
large oil reserves, robust fiscal and monetary balance sheet, zero
public debt and substantial accumulated wealth.
Since the country is an export-oriented economy and about
two-thirds of its exports go to Europe, its economy is sensitive to
any downturn in the euro zone. At the same time, Norway’s banks
have limited direct exposure to the most vulnerable euro zone
countries. Additionally, the Norwegian economy remains vulnerable
to domestic issues like an overheated housing market.
Global X FTSE Norway 30 ETF
(NORW)
For broad exposure in the Norwegian market, investors should
look to NORW. The fund tracks the FTSE Norway 30 Index, which
reflects the performance of the broad stock market in Norway.
Launched in November 2010, the ETF uses a passive approach and
holds 32 securities in the basket.
The product is not widely spread across all sectors and
individual securities. It holds around 38% in the top three
companies. Statoil, Norway’s largest oil company is the top holding
with 19% weight, followed by Telenor with 10% weight and Seadrill
with 9% weight. The fund provides larger exposure (about 61%) to
giant and large cap companies.
From a sector look, the energy sector constitutes the top spot
in the basket with 49% share (Read: Two Energy ETFs Holding Their
Ground). The next two top sectors – financials and
telecommunications combined make up for 24% of assets.
The fund charges 50 bps in fees annually and has attracted about
$44.5 million of assets under management so far in the year. The
product trades with volumes of 36,000 shares per day on an average,
suggesting modest bid ask spreads.
iShares MSCI Norway Investable Market Index
(ENOR)
This new fund debuted in January 2012 and targets the Norwegian
market. With AUM of $5 million, the fund seeks to match the price
and performance of the MSCI Norway IM 25/50 Index, before fees and
expenses. The index uses a capping methodology to limit the weight
of any single component to a maximum of 25% of the benchmark.
The product is more diverse as compared to NORW (Read: Three
ETFs With Incredible Diversification). It holds 58 securities in
its basket with Statoil as the top firm (20.6%) followed by
Seadrill (8.7%) and Telenor (8.4%). Like NORW, the fund puts more
focus on the energy sector with 50% share. The next two sectors —
financials and materials, make up for a combined 21.5% share in the
basket.
Giant and large companies accounted for about 51% of the assets,
while mid and small cap take the rest of the portion in the basket.
The product is illiquid and less popular, and charges fees of 53
bps from investors.
Sweden
Similar to Denmark and Norway, a low unemployment rate, sound
public finances, substantial account surplus, and low interest and
inflation rates will drive growth in the Swedish economy. However,
the economy is vulnerable to the stressed European economies that
account for two-thirds of the country’s exports (Read: Beyond the
PIIGS, Three Troubled European ETFs to Watch). In fact, Sweden’s
banks have direct exposure to the most vulnerable euro-zone
countries. This dependence has somewhat brought stability in the
Swedish market as of late.
Recently, the government has tweaked down the economic growth
rate for this year to 0.4% from 1.3% forecasted previously. Even,
this new growth expectation is better that the euro zone growth
rates thanks to monetary reforms as well as robust policy
frameworks.
iShares MSCI Sweden Index Fund
(EWD)
This ETF is the only fund targeting Swedish market and provides
exposure to large caps (Read: Try Value Investing With These Large
Cap ETFs). Launched in March 1996, the fund seeks to match the
performance of the MSCI Sweden Index, before fees and expenses. It
uses a sampling methodology, which provides 36 securities in the
basket.
With AUM of $323 million, the fund puts roughly 59% of assets in
top 10 companies. The top three holdings are Hennes & Mauritz,
Ericsson LM-B and Nordea Bank. The product is heavy on industrials,
financials and consumer discretionary.
The ETF offers liquidity to investors since it registers trading
volume of 206,000 shares a day (Read: Guide to the 25 Most Liquid
ETFs). The fund also yields an impressive dividend of 3.58% per
year, greatly easing the 51 basis point expense ratio for
investors.
Finland
Finland is the only nation on the list that uses the euro as its
currency and thus, remains the best choice for investors looking to
invest in the Nordic region. The economy is expected to grow 0.8%
this year supported by relatively low public debt and favorable
current account balance. The nation does a great deal of exports
outside the euro zone or Germany, ensuring that the impact of the
crisis is not too severe for the nation.
iShares MSCI Finland Capped Investable Market Index Fund
(EFNL)
Investors seeking to play the Finnish equity market may go for
EFNL. This has debuted in January 2012 with assets of $2.1 million
under management (Read: iShares Launches Seven Developed Market
ETFs). The fund tracks the MSCI Finland IMI 25/50 Index, which used
a capping methodology to limit the weight of any single component
to a maximum of 25% of the index.
EFNL is reasonably spread across sectors as industrials take the
top spot at 31.1% followed by materials (16.2%) and financials
(16.2%). In terms of individual securities, Sampo and Kone dominate
with 11.6% and 10.1% of assets, respectively. The top 10 holdings
comprise 64.8% of the total fund.
The ETF holds 45 securities in its basket and is tilted towards
large and mid-caps with 37% concentration in each, although small
and micro caps do account for over 15% of assets (Read: Mid Cap ETF
Investing 101). Like its Danish counterpart, the fund provides
ample flexibility as it could invest in derivative instruments like
future contracts, options and swaps.
Thanks to the newness of the product, volume is light that
increases the total cost in the form of bid/ask spread beyond the
expense ratio of 0.53%.
Global X FTSE Nordic Region ETF (GXF)
For investors seeking broad exposure to all of the
aforementioned nations, Global X’s GXF is a great pick. The fund
tracks the FTSE Nordic 30 Index, charging investors 50 basis points
a year in fees and exposing investors to the 30 largest and most
liquid companies the four Nordic nations.
Investors should note that the fund has a heavy concentration in
financials, industrials, and health care, while energy and tech
round out the top five. Meanwhile, exposure is almost half in
Swedish securities, while Finnish companies make up just 10% in
assets, suggesting that there are definite biases in terms of
national exposure.
Still, the product is the only one on the market today that
offers targeted exposure to each of the four Nordic nations. This
could make GXF, or any of the other ETFs on this list, solid ways
to focus in on a region of Europe that many overlook for investment
but that can still have great fundamentals despite the overall
crisis in the EU.
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ISHARS-MS FNLND (EFNL): ETF Research Reports
ISHARS-MS NORWY (ENOR): ETF Research Reports
ISHARS-SWEDEN (EWD): ETF Research Reports
GLBL-X/F NOR RG (GXF): ETF Research Reports
GLBL-X NORWAY (NORW): ETF Research Reports
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