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Yesterday ADVFN launched the Nifty Fifty, a new website which I am writing. While a stream on new investment ideas will appear in the next few days, starting in a few hours, it has only one article on it so far, yesterday’s editorial. And this is it. It outlines a bit of what is to come. In future content on the Nifty Fifty stays for members only but this is a brief glimpse.
Welcome to the new site. For 12 years, week in week out I served up a weekly editorial on t1ps.com – a website I founded in my bedroom. It was a personal communication with readers many of whom have now been reading my articles for almost twenty years. I talked about the troubled birth of my daughter Olivia, about football, life, the world but mainly about shares and investing. In many senses that communication was the centre of my working week. Of course t1ps is now in other hands.
And so I now write here at Nifty Fifty. The weekly editorial will be a core of this product. The deal with ADVFN is simple. I write and produce videos with complete editorial control. They own and manage the other aspects of the site. I am well looked after. But it is an explicit deal. Full editorial control is with me. Clem and Mike know that and are happy to work on those lines. So no punches will be pulled here. In fact I have almost completed a detailed sell note on ADVFN. Only kidding.
I start with a blank canvas. You will see that the site is empty. This, for now, is the only article here. That will all change and change fast.
At the heart of the offering are five portfolios (Growth, penny share, yield, gold and recovery). Over the next five months 10 stocks will appear in each portfolio. They will appear at the offer price and if sold will be sold at the bid. That is the honest way to present performance.
If any stock in the portfolio has material news I shall provided a detailed analysis of that news – not just a rehash of an RNS. I shall post broker notes where applicable. And i shall seek to record video interviews with the CEOs and FDs of the companies I cover.
As a bonus I shall try to get a few of the CEOs along every couple of months to present their case at investment evenings at my restaurant in Clerkenwell. I shall provide food and a few drinks and such events will only be open to members of the Nifty Fifty. And I shall be talking to a couple of my pals and producing the weekly Short Letter on stocks I’d avoid like the plague.
So the pages on this website will fill up quickly. I would imagine that ten portfolio slots will be filled within the next ten working days. All members will be alerted by email whenever anything appears on the site. So the canvas may be clean for now but it will fill rapidly.
It has been a tough year on the markets. I have lost a fortune for specific reasons but I look forward to writing as I used to be able to do, with freedom. One must always look to the future. I am sorry for anyone who has lost cash on the back of my investment calls over the past year. For what it is worth I apologise. It has been a bad year. But over 12 years my record is clear for all to see. C240 tips yielded an average gain of 42% with an average holding period of 36 months. The winners outnumbered losers two to one. The FTSE 100 was broadly unchanged over that period. So that is not a bad track record.
I hope to do better still here. I shall not write this site forever. I am 45 in a few months time. I aim to leave the UK for good in 2022 when my financial commitments to dependents are fully discharged and to do something else for the rest of my life. Until then you have my undivided attention. I hope that you enjoy the next ten years with me here on the Nifty Fifty.
And now to work. 10 new investment ideas for the five portfolios in the next 10 working days. I hope that you find them useful and rewarding.
Tom Winnifrith
PS. As ever if you have any questions for me, email me at tomat49@gmail.com
You can get more details on the Nifty Fifty or sign up for it HERE
Your offering is interesting but I struggle to see why the pricing is so high. From the description supplied I would suggest that a price of £99, certainly for the first year where the value is uncertain, would be more appropriate. This is another share tipping site, and an unproven one at that. A slightly different presentation method does not magically make it worth a high price. Whilst your analysis is always useful, your previous methodology, which contributed to an unfortunately high failure rate where losses were magnified unnecessarily, does not exactly engender confidence in the value of your recommendations. I struggle to see how this is different from your days at T1ps where you rated your membership value to be worth £73.
You get what you pay for.£299 compares well to fullermoney @ over £500 which gives less specific stock picks…I have been happy to pay the £299.and signed up this morning
Over the years Tom has given some excellent Tips…Last year has been a disaster but he eats his own cooking and has lost a lot more than anyone else.
This site will stand or fall on its results which will be very transparent.
My experience is that we need to sell the poorer performers sooner and run the better ones.
David
thank you
John
I do have a 12 year track record so it is proven – 240 tips avg gain 42.7%, avg holding period 36 months. I would suggest that it is the team on another site charging 73 quid that has no track record.
as for failure rate over 12 years, just over 2 winners for every loser and you see the overall record. That is in the small cap world a very low failure rate.
I did not rate membership worth £73 – that was the price set.
You get what you pay for.
Tom
Regrettably you don’t always get what you pay for. Such a suggestion implies that Tom’s contribution to T1ps must have been rubbish because the price was only £73. He has indeed given some excellent tips, but the overall value was significantly depleted by the very bad ones. His results tended to be good during strong bull markets, but we can all claim successes under such conditions. Going forward from here may present a much tougher trial – is this the right time to launch a high price tipsite?
Tom I’ve no wish to labour the point – and I do hope your site is successful – but your habit of quoting a purchase price which was valid only before the tip went public is misleading. I estimate that the immediate markup by marketmakers (fame has its price!) meant that the success rate for subscribers was reduced by around 11%-13%. A 30% gain is still excellent of course but over 36 months holding time we are now talking about 10% per annum. Including dividends that sort of gain could be reasonably expected from a selection of FTSE100 companies with little drama attached.
Hi Tom
I always thought ‘Nifty Fifty’ had something to do with the ‘Dogs of the Dow’ companies during the 1960ties. Apparently that’s not your take on it as you intend to cover growth, penny shares, yield, gold and recovery shares.
Anyway, we at Dividend Income Investor.com focus solely on historically undervalued dividend paying companies and our policy with regards to our own hard-cash Dividend Income Portfolio is the inform our subscribers well in advance when we place a limit buy or limit sell order.
Best of luck!
Steven Dotsch
Managing editor
Dividend Income Investor.com