U.S. Oil Prices Rise From 2018 Lows -- Update
November 14 2018 - 4:34PM
Dow Jones News
By Christopher Alessi and Dan Molinski
Oil prices rebounded slightly Wednesday from Tuesday's drop as
investors weigh concerns that global output could outstrip demand
against potential supply cuts from the Organization of the
Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies.
Light, sweet crude for December delivery ended 1% higher at
$56.25 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Brent crude
ended up 1% at $66.12 a barrel. Wednesday's price increase in the
U.S. crude-oil benchmark, known as West Texas Intermediate, ended a
12-session losing streak for WTI that was the longest of all time
going back to 1983 when crude oil futures first began trading in
New York.
WTI had its steepest plummet in over three years on Tuesday,
ending 7.1% down at its lowest closing price this year, $55.69 a
barrel, while Brent closed down 6.6%. Both benchmarks have slid
roughly 25% since reaching four-year highs at the start of October,
leaving them well into a bear market, which is roughly defined as a
20% decline from a recent peak.
"Investor sentiment in the oil market has deteriorated
meaningfully as evidenced by the drop in bullish positions from the
Commitments of Traders report," said Rob Haworth, a senior
investment strategist at U.S. Bank Wealth Management. "Prices are
near a key technical level from early last year and may find some
support in the near term. If stock-market sentiment improves, that
may be enough for oil prices to tread water into year-end."
Still, Mr. Haworth said much will hinge on how U.S. production
and inventory data unfolds with growing production and rising
inventories likely to pressure prices.
The Energy Information Administration is due to release its
weekly report on U.S. oil inventories on Thursday morning. Analysts
surveyed by The Wall Street Journal expect, on average, that
stockpiles rose 2.2 million barrels last week.
The American Petroleum Institute, an industry group, was due to
release its own report later Wednesday.
OPEC and its allies outside the cartel, led by Russia, signaled
Sunday they could decide in December to hold back output by around
1 million barrels a day, amid signs the market will be oversupplied
in 2019.
That prospect bolstered prices at the start of the week, before
President Trump sent out a tweet criticizing any cut by the Saudis
and OPEC, triggering a renewed selloff.
"OPEC's failure to respond to Trump's remarks yesterday
generated additional uncertainty," Commerzbank analysts said
Wednesday in a note.
The International Energy Agency warned Wednesday that global oil
supply was on pace to significantly outstrip demand, as Russia,
Saudi Arabia and the U.S. are pumping out crude at record
levels.
Ole Hansen, head of commodity strategy at Saxo Bank, said the
report had a silver lining, with the IEA reiterating its demand
growth forecast for this year and next, at 1.3 million barrels a
day and 1.4 million barrels a day, respectively.
That forecast contrasted with OPEC's monthly oil market report,
released Tuesday, which predicted a slowdown in global demand
growth by 40,000 barrels a day this year and 70,000 barrels a day
next year.
OPEC and its allies are set to gather in Vienna starting Dec. 6,
where they may decide to cut production to reduce global supplies
and boost prices.
Write to Christopher Alessi at christopher.alessi@wsj.com and
Dan Molinski at Dan.Molinski@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
November 14, 2018 16:19 ET (21:19 GMT)
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