U.K. Retail Sales Rebounded in February
March 22 2018 - 6:10AM
Dow Jones News
By Wiktor Szary and Jason Douglas
LONDON--U.K. retail sales rebounded in February, new figures
showed Thursday, but the underlying picture remained weak,
signaling that the British shopper remained cautious at the start
of 2018 amid an ongoing consumer squeeze.
Sales grew by 0.8% on month in February--compared with a monthly
decline of 0.2% in January--twice the pace seen in a Wall Street
Journal survey of analysts.
With the exception of non-food stores, all retail sectors saw
growth in February, the Office for National Statistics said. This,
however, came after a 0.3% downward revision to January's monthly
growth.
Nearly halfway through the two-year Brexit negotiations, the
U.K. economy remains stuck in low gear, missing out on a global
expansion which has driven strong growth among its developed peers.
The U.K. posted the weakest rate of growth among the Group of Seven
advanced economies in the final quarter of last year.
The prolonged consumer squeeze is largely to blame. Accelerating
inflation, spurred by the pound's steep depreciation in the wake of
the 2016 Brexit vote, has outpaced growth in British workers' wages
for the past twelve months, dampening demand in the domestic-driven
economy.
But as British officials travel to Brussels to finalize a
transitional Brexit deal, which they hope will limit business
uncertainty linked to the country's departure from the European
Union, there are signs that the prolonged inflationary squeeze may
be starting to ease.
Figures published earlier this week showed that inflation, while
still significantly above the Bank of England's 2% target, slowed
visibly in February, to 2.7%, from 3% the previous month.
Britain's tight labor market also fueled faster wage growth at
the start of the year, loosening the squeeze on Britons'
wallets.
Bank of England officials expect this trend to continue,
forecasting that pay packets will grow at a faster pace over coming
months, just as inflation gradually returns to target. This would
give consumers--and the economy--even more breathing space.
These positive expectations were reflected in U.K. Treasury
chief Philip Hammond's new forecasts earlier this month, which
showed that growth in 2018 will be modestly higher than predicted
late last year.
Write to Wiktor Szary at Wiktor.Szary@wsj.com and Jason Douglas
at Jason.Douglas@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
March 22, 2018 05:55 ET (09:55 GMT)
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