Stocks Poised for Weekly Losses as Trade Tensions Heat Up
June 22 2018 - 5:20AM
Dow Jones News
By Riva Gold
-- Crude oil rises with OPEC in focus
-- Higher bond yields lift bank stocks
-- Dow poised to snap losing streak
Global stocks mostly inched higher Friday but remained on track
to end the week with losses as escalating trade friction led
investors to reassess prospects for growth.
The Stoxx Europe 600 edged up 0.4% in morning trading, following
a mixed session in Asia. Futures pointed to a 0.4% opening gain for
the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average.
European bank stocks led Friday's advance, supported by higher
government bond yields, which tend to boost lending income. Yields
on 10-year Treasurys rose to 2.921% from 2.899% Thursday afternoon.
Yields move inversely to prices.
The Federal Reserve determined Thursday that the largest U.S.
banks were healthy enough to withstand a severe economic
downturn.
Shares of oil-and-gas companies were little changed with Brent
crude oil up 1.3% at $74.02 a barrel amid a potentially contentious
meeting of major global crude producers. Iran said late Thursday it
was still opposed to a deal to lift oil output, fraying a sense of
consensus among OPEC members.
The broader Stoxx Europe 600 index remained on track to end the
week 1.8% lower, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average was poised
to lose 2.5% for the week. The Dow fell for an eighth-straight
session Thursday, its longest streak of declines in more than a
year.
The possibility that trade tensions could damage growth has
become more real to investors this week after President Donald
Trump called for a fresh round of tariffs on $200 billion of
Chinese goods. Plus, German auto maker Daimler issued an unexpected
profit warning late Wednesday saying Chinese retaliatory import
duties on vehicles built in the U.S. would hurt sales and
earnings.
"We're starting to see some corporate impact to some of the
rhetoric coming out of Washington," said Barbara Reinhard, head of
asset allocation at Voya Investment Management.
"Potentially targeting the auto sector has a far greater
economic impact than anything that has been done so far," she
added.
Europe's auto and parts sector fell another 0.3% Friday,
bringing losses for the week to 6.4%.
Japan's Nikkei Stock Average fell 0.8% Friday and 1.5% for the
week as a stronger Japanese currency and concerns around the impact
of trade on multinationals hit the index.
Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index was up 0.2% Friday but down 3.2% for
the week, while the Shanghai Composite Index edged up 0.5% Friday,
paring its weekly decline to 4.4%.
When it comes to trade risks, "I'm more worried about financial
conditions tightening than the direct impact," said Thomas Costerg,
economist at Pictet Wealth Management, referring to risks that the
uncertainty causes stocks to fall, credit spreads to widen and
business confidence to weaken.
"There is a risk that markets think things get out of control
and China imposes non-tariff barriers [...] but I think we'll end
up at a negotiated solution and the direct impact is limited, a bit
like a tax on the U.S. consumer," he added.
In currencies, the euro was last up 0.4% at $1.1652 as investors
parsed data on activity in the eurozone manufacturing and services
sectors. Business activity in the eurozone picked up in June for
the first month in five.
Eurozone nations separately agreed on the final elements of a
plan to get Greece out of its eight-year bailout program and make
its debt more manageable.
The British pound was up 0.4% at $1.3294, adding to Thursday's
gain after Bank of England officials said they expect growth to
pick up in the months ahead and chief economist Andy Haldane joined
dissenters voting for a rate increase, pushing up expectations for
a possible rate rise this summer.
Write to Riva Gold at riva.gold@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
June 22, 2018 05:05 ET (09:05 GMT)
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