Global Economy Week Ahead: U.S. Jobs Report, Brazil GDP, Eurozone Inflation
May 27 2018 - 3:29PM
Dow Jones News
By WSJ Staff
The U.S. May jobs report caps a week that also will see gross
domestic product data from the U.S. and Brazil, eurozone inflation
figures, and an official gauge of factory activity in China.
WEDNESDAY: Brazil's first-quarter gross domestic product figures
could show signs of a slowdown in a fragile recovery from two years
of deep recession. Some analysts in recent weeks have cut their
full-year growth forecasts to as low as 2%, from 3%.
Brazil's central bank releases April budget figures.
Overspending has failed to pump up the economy and has raised
concerns ahead of a heated general election in October. As of
March, the shortfall stood at 7% of GDP.
The U.S. Commerce Department releases its second estimate of
first-quarter economic growth. The initial GDP release showed the
economy lost momentum at the beginning of 2018, coming in at a 2.3%
annualized rate. Economists are expecting the second estimate to
remain at 2.3%.
THURSDAY: China releases the official gauge of factory activity
for May (release time is Wednesday night in the U.S.). Economists
expect the manufacturing purchasing managers index to hold steady
at 51.4 in May. Production likely remained robust, but new orders
probably have been disrupted by ongoing trade tensions between
China and the U.S., they say.
After a disappointingly weak start to the year for the eurozone
economy, the European Central Bank is expected to finally receive
some encouraging news with the release of inflation figures for
May. Economists expect to see a rise in the annual rate of
inflation to 1.6%, from 1.2% in April, moving the metric closer to
the ECB's target of just under 2%. Rising energy prices are likely
to have pushed the rate higher, but a measure of core inflation
that excludes that factor is expected to record a more modest
increase, to 1% from 0.7% in April.
FRIDAY: The U.S. Labor Department publishes the May jobs report.
In April, the unemployment rate fell to 3.9%, the lowest level
since 2000, as the economy added a weaker-than-expected 164,000
jobs. Economists expect the unemployment rate to stabilize at 3.9%
in May, with about 188,000 jobs likely added in the month.
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
May 27, 2018 15:14 ET (19:14 GMT)
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